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Security of Energy supply is a major concern for all modern societies, intensified by skyrocketing demand in India and China and increasing international competition over fossil fuel deposits. Energy Security: An Interdisciplinary Approach gives A comparative analysis from both consumers' and producers' perspectives. It uniquely combines economics, geology, international relations, business, history, public management and political science, in one comprehensive volume, highlighting the vulnerabilities and need to move to more sustainable energy sources.
The author provides a number of useful case studies to demonstrate the theory, including perspectives from consuming regions such as the United States, the European Union, and China, and from exporting regions; the Middle East, Africa, Russia and the Caspian Sea.
Key features include:
This study holds important information for policymakers, politicians, energy specialists, scientists and post-graduate and final year students of energy and international relations. With its clear written style, it will also engage other professionals who are interested in international political economy and the future of global energy.
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Seitenzahl: 590
Veröffentlichungsjahr: 2011
Contents
Cover
Title Page
Copyright
About the Author
Preface
Acknowledgements
List of abbreviations
Glossary
Chapter 1: Introduction
1.1 Energy Security
1.2 Diversification of Energy Mix
1.3 Conclusion
Chapter 2: United States
2.1 Oil
2.2 Natural Gas
2.3 Coal
2.4 Nuclear Power
2.5 Ethanol
2.6 The Quest for an Energy Strategy
2.7 Conclusion: The Way Forward
Chapter 3: European Union
3.1 The EU Energy Outlook
3.2 Russia
3.3 Central Asia/Caspian Sea Region
3.4 Mediterranean Sea
3.5 The Gulf Cooperation Council
3.6 Turkey
3.7 Conclusion: The Way Ahead
Chapter 4: China
4.1 Regulatory Authority
4.2 Oil
4.3 Coal
4.4 Natural Gas
4.5 Nuclear Power
4.6 Renewable Energy
4.7 Overseas Exploration and Production
4.8 Conclusion
Chapter 5: Persian Gulf
5.1 Socio-economic and Political Challenges
5.2 Saudi Arabia
5.3 Iran
5.4 Iraq
5.5 Conclusion: The Way Forward
Chapter 6: Africa
6.1 Algeria
6.2 Libya
6.3 Egypt
6.4 Sudan
6.5 Angola
6.6 Nigeria
6.7 United States and Africa
6.8 Europe and Africa
6.9 Conclusion: The Way Ahead
Chapter 7: Caspian Sea
7.1 Hydrocarbon Resources – An Assessment
7.2 The Legal Status of the Caspian Sea
7.3 Geopolitical Rivalry and Pipeline Diplomacy
7.4 Conclusion: The Way Forward
Chapter 8: Russia
8.1 Oil Sector
8.2 Natural Gas
8.3 The Energy Strategy-2030
8.4 The Arctic Hydrocarbons
8.5 Russia–EU Energy Partnership
8.6 Russia, the Middle East, and OPEC
8.7 Energy Sector Organization
8.8 Conclusion: The Way Forward
Chapter 9: OPEC and Gas OPEC
9.1 OPEC: History and Evolution
9.2 OPEC: Objectives, Membership, and Organization [10]
9.3 OPEC Summits [14]
9.4 OPEC: Long-Term Strategy [15]
9.5 Gas OPEC
9.6 GECF and OPEC
9.7 Oil vs. Gas
9.8 Conclusion
Chapter 10: International Energy Agency
10.1 The Founding of the IEA
10.2 The International Energy Program
10.3 Structure of the IEA
10.4 Energy Security
10.5 How Did the System Work?
10.6 Conclusion
Chapter 11: Conclusion
11.1 Energy Security
11.2 The International Energy Forum (IEF)
11.3 Joint Oil Data Initiative
11.4 Conclusion: The Way Forward
Index
This edition first published 2011 © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Bahgat, Gawdat. Energy security : an interdisciplinary approach / Gawdat Bahgat. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-0-470-68904-2 (hardback) 1. Energy policy. 2. Energy development. 3. Power resources. I. Bahgat, Gawdat. II. Title. HD9502.A2B335 2011 333.79–dc22 2010046393
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library.
Print ISBN: 9780470689042 ePDF ISBN: 9780470980187 oBook ISBN: 9780470980170 ePub ISBN: 9780470980163
About the Author
Dr. Gawdat Bahgat is a professor at the Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies, National Defense University, in Washington, DC, United States of America. Dr. Bahgat has taught political science and international relations at several universities. His areas of expertise include energy security, counter-terrorism, proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, international political economy, the Middle East, the Caspian Sea and Central Asia, and US foreign policy.
Dr. Bahgat is the author of seven books and about 200 scholarly articles. His work has been translated into several foreign languages. He has been invited to and presented papers at conferences in Australia, Europe, and the Middle East, and is a frequent contributor to several media outlets. He holds a PhD in political science from Florida State University, an MA in Middle Eastern Studies from American University in Cairo, and a BA in political science from Cairo University.
Preface
Energy is the lifeblood of civilization. Both as individuals and nation states we depend heavily on energy. In almost everything we do, we rely on one or several sources of energy. Many people and governments used to take the availability of energy sources for granted. Our deepening reliance on energy and the rise of a combination of geopolitical, geological, and environmental challenges have cast doubt on this assumption that energy will always be there. Little wonder that energy security has become a major concern to almost all countries in the world.
In recent years policy-makers and scholars have examined different aspects of energy security. These include production, consumption, reserves, refining, shipping, and investment among others. Indeed, the last few decades have witnessed a proliferation of political and academic conferences, industry journals, and books on energy security. Each side has sought to promote its interests with little ground for neutrality and objectiveness.
I have been working on energy for more than two decades. The policy of energy, at national and international levels, and the growing literature are immensely stimulating. For a long time, consumers and producers perceived their interests as mutually exclusive. Since the early 1990s, a consensus has emerged that there is common ground. Long-term stability of energy markets and prices is generally seen as more favorable than short-term gains by one side or the other. These shared interests are the main theme of the analysis in this volume. In all the following chapters I argue that interdependence is the underlying characteristic of today's energy markets.
This book reflects what I learned in my teaching, research, and consulting in more than 20 years. The first chapter introduces readers to some of the major themes and concepts used in this study. This is followed by a close examination of energy outlooks in the major producing and consuming regions. In the last part the analysis focuses on the two most important international energy organizations – the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and the International Energy Agency. The concluding chapter summarizes the main findings and discusses the International Energy Forum as an embodiment of the emerging cooperation between producers and consumers. In this volume the concept of energy security is addressed from both consumers' and producers' perspectives.
In my decades-long journey of learning, teaching, researching, and writing about energy I have accumulated a huge debt to many colleagues, friends, and students. In writing this book I had the privilege of working with the most professional editorial team at John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. In particular I would like to thank Clarissa Lim, Neville Hankins, and Shalini Sharma. Nicky Skinner gave me unlimited support at crucial stages while writing the book and Simone Taylor's encouragement inspired me to transform my abstract thoughts into a book proposal.
Writing a book is a huge adventure, with so many ups and downs. Professional and personal support from family and close friends is crucial in this undertaking. I would like to thank Helen Hooker, Sandra Dickson, Beth Sims, Theresa McDevitt, Helen Wedlake, and Patrizia Bassani. Finally, I would like to thank my friends and colleagues at the Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies, the National Defense University. Despite all the assistance I have received in the course of writing this book, all errors of facts or judgment are mine alone.
Acknowledgements
To Sandra Dickson, Beth Sims, and Theresa McDevitt: thank you for your love and support all these years.
List of abbreviations
3-D Three-dimensional
ACG Azeri, Chirag, and deep-water Guneshli
ACOTA Africa Contingency Operations Training and Assistance
AEC Atomic Energy Commission
AFRICOM US–Africa Command
AIOC Azerbaijan International Operating Company
ANILCA Alaska National Interest Lands Conservative Act
ANWR Arctic National Wildlife Refuge
AOC Arabian Oil Company
APEC Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
Aramco Arabian–American Oil Company
Bcf Billion cubic feet
Bcm Billion cubic meters
B/d Barrels per day
BG British Gas
BI Baku Initiative
BP British Petroleum
BPS Baltic Pipeline System
BTC Baku–Tbilisi–Ceyhan
BTE Baku–Tbilisi–Erzurum
CABC China–Africa Business Council
CADfund China–Africa Development Fund
CASOC California–Arabian Standard Oil Company
CCP Caspian Coastal Pipeline
CCS Carbon Capture and Storage
CEO Chief Executive Officer
CERM Coordinated Emergency Response Measures
CERT Committee on Energy Research and Technology
CNOOC China National Offshore Oil Corporation
CNPC China National Petroleum Corporation
CPC Caspian Pipeline Consortium
CTL Coal-to-liquids
DOE Department of Energy
DST Daylight Saving Time
EC European Commission
ECG Energy Cooperation Group
ECO Economic Cooperation Organization
ECT Energy Charter Treaty
EGAS Egyptian Natural Gas Holding Company
EGPC Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation
EIA Energy Information Administration
EISA Energy Independence and Security Act
ELG Energy Leading Group
ENEF European Nuclear Energy Forum
EO Executive Order
EPA Environmental Protection Agency
EPCA Energy Policy and Conservative Act
EPSA Exploration and Production-Sharing Agreement
ESPO East Siberia Pacific Ocean
ESSAP Energy Security and Solidarity Action Plan
ETS Emission Trading Scheme
EU European Union
EURATOM European Atomic Energy Community
FOCAC Forum on China–Africa Cooperation
FSR Former Soviet Republics
F–T Fischer–Tropsch
GCA Gaffney, Cline and Associates
GCC Gulf Cooperation Council
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GECF Gas Exporting Countries Forum
GIF Generation IV International Forum
GNEP Global Nuclear Energy Partnership
GNP Gross National Product
GoM Gulf of Mexico
IAEA International Atomic Energy Agency
ICT Industrialized and Other High-Income Countries and Territories
IEA International Energy Agency
IEF International Energy Forum
IEP International Energy Program
ILSA Iran–Libya Sanctions Act
INOC Iraq National Oil Company
INOGATE Interstate Oil and Gas Transport to Europe
IOCs International Oil Companies
IPC Iraqi Petroleum Company
JODI Joint Oil Data Initiative
JV Joint Venture
KMG KazMunaiGaz
KRG Kurdistan Regional Government
LNG Liquefied Natural Gas
LPG Liquefied Petroleum Gas
Mcf Million cubic feet
MEND Movement for the Emancipation of Niger Delta
MEPI Middle East Partnership Initiative
MGS Master Gas System
MMS Minerals Management Service
Mmt Million metric tons
MOU Memorandum of Understanding
MPLA Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola
NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization
NDRC National Development and Reform Commission
NEA National Energy Administration
NGO Non-Governmental Organization
NGVs Natural Gas Vehicles
NIOC National Iranian Oil Company
NIORPDC National Iranian Oil Refining, Production, and Distribution Company
NNPC Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation
NOC National Oil Corporation (Libya)
NOCs National Oil Companies
NPC National Petroleum Commission
NPT Non-Proliferation Treaty
NRC Nuclear Regulatory Commission
NSCSA National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia
OCS Outer Continental Shelf
OECC Organization for European Economic Cooperation
OECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
OFID OPEC Fund for International Development
OLADE Latin American Organization for Energy Cooperation
OPEC Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries
PEZ Pipeline Exclusion Zone
PSA Production-Sharing Agreement
PSI Pan-Sahel Initiative
Sabic Saudi Basic Industries Corporation
SCO Shanghai Cooperation Organization
SEQ Standing Group on Emergency Questions
SGD Standing Group for Global Energy Dialogue
Sinopec China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation
SLT Standing Group on Long-Term Cooperation
SOCAR State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic
SOM Standing Group on the Oil Market
SPR Strategic Petroleum Reserve
TAP Trans-Adriatic Pipeline
Tapline Trans-Arabian Pipeline
Tcf Trillion cubic feet
TGI Turkey–Greece Interconnector
TOE Ton Oil Equivalent
ToP Take-or-Pay
TPC Turkish Petroleum Company
TSB Technical Service Basis
TSC Technical Services Contract
TSCTI Trans-Sahara Counter-Terrorism Initiative
UAE United Arab Emirates
UK United Kingdom
ULCCs Ultra Large Crude Carriers
UN United Nations
UNCLOS United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea
UNITA National Union for the Total Independence of Angola
UNSC United Nations Security Council
US United States
USAID United States Agency for International Development
USGS United States Geological Survey
VLCCs Very Large Crude Carriers
WTI West Texas Intermediate
WTO World Trade Organization
Glossary
This glossary explains some of the technical terms that are used in this book or that readers are likely to encounter. It does not purport to be at all comprehensive.
Acquisition (foreign crude oil):
All transfers of ownership of foreign crude oil to a firm, irrespective of the terms of that transfer. Acquisitions thus include all purchases and exchange receipts as well as any and all foreign crude acquired under reciprocal buy–sell agreements or acquired as a result of a buy-back or other preferential agreement with a host government.
Alternative-fuel vehicle:
A vehicle designed to operate on an alternative fuel (e.g., compressed natural gas, methane blend, electricity). The vehicle could be either a dedicated vehicle designed to operate exclusively on alternative fuel or a non-dedicated vehicle designed to operate on alternative fuel and/or a traditional fuel.
Barrel of oil:
Standard oil industry measure of volume: 1 barrel is equivalent to 42 US gallons (159 liters).
Biofuels:
Liquid fuels and blending components produced from biomass feedstocks, used primarily for transportation.
Biomass:
Organic non-fossil material of biological origin constituting a renewable energy source.
Brent blend:
The principal grade of UK North Sea crude oil in international oil trading. Used as the “marker” for other North Sea grades which trade at differentials to it, reflecting quality and location.
British thermal unit:
The quantity of heat required to raise the temperature of 1 lb of liquid water by 1°F at the temperature at which water has its greatest density (approximately 39°F).
Buy-back oil:
Crude oil acquired from a host government whereby a portion of the government's ownership interest in the crude oil produced in that country may or should be purchased by the producing firm.
Carbon dioxide (CO2):
A colorless, odorless, non-poisonous gas that is a normal part of the earth's atmosphere. It is a product of fossil-fuel combustion as well as other processes. It is considered a greenhouse gas as it traps heat radiated by the earth into the atmosphere and thereby contributes to the potential for global warming.
Climate change:
A term used to refer to all forms of climatic inconsistency, but especially to a significant change from one prevailing climatic condition to another.
Coal:
A readily combustible black or brownish-black rock whose composition consists of more than 50% by weight and more than 70% by volume of carbonaceous material. It is formed from plant remains that have been compacted, hardened, chemically altered, and metamorphosed by heat and pressure over geological time.
Coal gasification:
The process of converting coal into gas. The basic process involves crushing coal to a powder, which is then heated in the presence of steam and oxygen to produce a gas. The gas is then refined to reduce sulfur and other impurities.
Concession:
The operating right to explore for and develop petroleum fields in consideration for a share of production in kind (equity oil).
Conventional oil:
Crude oil that, at a particular time, can be technically and economically produced through a well, using normal production practice and without altering the natural viscous state of the oil. Non-conventional oil is more expensive to explore and develop, although there have been major cost reductions in the past few years.
Crude oil:
A mixture of hydrocarbons that exists in liquid phase in natural underground reservoirs and remains liquid at atmospheric pressure after passing through surface separating facilities.
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