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Tim Bruton

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Beschreibung

An essential guide through the rapid evolution of PV technology

Photovoltaics from Milliwatts to Gigawatts: Understanding Market and Technology Drivers toward Terawatts covers the history of silicon based PV, from the earliest discoveries to present and future practice.

Divided into 9 chapters, the book includes the following topics: Early History; The 1973 Oil crisis and the drive for alternative energies; The emergence in the 1980's of the off grid PV market, the significant small scale PV consumer market and the establishment of a manufacturing industry; Advantages of silicon for solar cells; The evolution of PV installations; The history of the incentive programme for PV; Difficulties of alternative technologies in challenging silicon dominance; Current status of the silicon manufacturing technology and The future.

Key features:

  • An authoritative first-hand account of an emerging technology from laboratory to global significance for electricity generation by an industry expert.
  • Provides a framework for policy makers on future trends in the PV industry.
  • Examines the lessons learnt from the interaction of research laboratories, major industry and government.
  • Signposts the route to future high efficiency silicon solar cells giving new researchers a background for further development.
  • Highlights the critical success factors for the emerging alternative manufacturing technologies.

An essential PV guide aimed at researchers and students in electrical engineering and physical sciences through the rapid evolution of PV technology to commercial viability and the challenges ahead for increased performance, efficiency and global deployment.

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Table of Contents

Cover

Title Page

Copyright Page

Dedication Page

Preface

1 The Photovoltaics: The Birth of a Technology and Its First Application

1.1 Introduction

1.2 Sunlight and Electricity

1.3 Photovoltaics Demonstrates Success

1.4 Gallium Arsenide and III–V Alloys for Space

1.5 Summary

References

2 The Beginnings of a Terrestrial Photovoltaics Industry

2.1 Introduction

2.2 The 1973 Oil Crisis

2.3 The Way Ahead for Terrestrial Photovoltaics Technology

2.4 Rise of the US Photovoltaic Manufacturing Industry

2.5 Developments in Europe

2.6 The Transition in Cell Technology from Space to Terrestrial Applications

2.7 Alternatives to Silicon for Solar Cells

2.8 Summary

References

3 The Early Photovoltaic Global Market and Manufacturers

3.1 Introduction

3.2 Off‐Grid Professional Market

3.3 Off‐Grid Domestic Market

3.3.2 Water Pumping

3.4 Summary

References

4 Silicon Technology Development to 2010

4.1 Introduction

4.2 Technologies Supplying the Global Market

4.3 Advantages of Silicon as a Solar Cell Material

4.4 Silicon Solar Cell Design Features

4.5 Silicon Solar Cell Manufacturing from 1980 to 1990

4.6 Solar Cell Development to 2000

4.7 Module Technology

4.8 Summary

References

5 Evolution of Photovoltaic Systems

5.1 Introduction

5.2 The Off‐Grid Market

5.3 The Decentralised Grid‐Connected Market

5.4 Utility‐Scale Grid‐Connected Photovoltaic Systems

5.5 Novel Applications

5.6 Summary

References

6 History of Incentives for Photovoltaics

6.1 The Chicken and Egg Problem

6.2 Capital Subsidies on System Purchase

6.3 Feed‐in‐Tariffs

6.4 Power Purchase Agreements and Other Incentives for Large‐Scale Systems

6.5 Summary

References

7 Difficulties of Alternative Technologies to Silicon

7.1 Introduction

7.2 Sheet Silicon Processes

7.3 Thin‐Film Solar Cell Technologies

7.4 Concentrator Technologies

7.5 Summary

References

8 Current Status of Crystalline Silicon Manufacturing and Future Trends

8.1 Introduction

8.2 Approaches to High‐Efficiency Silicon Solar Cells on p Type Silicon Wafers

8.3 Solar Cells with n Type Silicon

8.4 The Future of Photovoltaic Technology: Toward Terrawatts

8.5 Silicon Module Reliability

8.6 Summary

References

9 Lessons Learnt

9.1 Introduction

9.2 Role of Governments

9.3 Role of the Research Community

9.4 Role of the Manufacturing Industry in Europe and the United States

9.5 Role of China as a Photovoltaics Manufacturing Base

9.6 Potential for Continued Market Growth

9.7 Future Technology Development

9.8 Final Analysis

References

Index

End User License Agreement

List of Tables

Chapter 2

Table 2.1 Roadmap for the achievement of low‐cost solar systems [9]

Table 2.2 Development of the FPSA block tests [11]

Table 2.3 Module procurement and structures in the FPSA block tests [12]

Table 2.4 Solar cell parameters for a screen‐printed silver front contact and...

Chapter 3

Table 3.1 Impact of the installation of 1.5 million solar lights in Africa

Table 3.2 World market by sector in the mid‐1980s

Chapter 4

Table 4.1 Improved process sequence, co‐firing Al BSF and SiNx fire‐through

Chapter 5

Table 5.1 Annual installations and cumulative installed capacity by country i...

Table 5.2 Electricity generation costs for photovoltaics and other technologi...

Chapter 6

Table 6.1 Global growth in incentives for renewable energy [19]

Table 6.2 Most competitive tenders for the supply of photovoltaic electricity...

Chapter 8

Table 8.1 Main causes of loss in silicon solar cells

Table 8.2 Most efficient solar modules (60‐cell) in 2020, by manufacturer and...

Chapter 9

Table 9.1 Ranking of the world’s largest photovoltaics manufacturers for 2008...

List of Illustrations

Chapter 1

Figure 1.1 Evolution of electricity‐generating technologies to 2050

Figure 1.2 Charles Fritts’ first photovoltaic array, produced in New York Ci...

Figure 1.3 Ohl’s patented solar cell structure [20]

Figure 1.4 Schematic of the first successful silicon solar cell

Figure 1.5 (A) Normalised spectral response of a p on n silicon solar cell. ...

Figure 1.6 Vanguard TV‐3 satellite on display at the Smithsonian Air and Spa...

Figure 1.7 Decrease in short‐circuit current of n on p and p on n silicon so...

Figure 1.8 Schematic of the Telstar silicon solar cell [46]

Figure 1.9 Current–voltage curve for a Telstar cell at 28 °C at 100 mW/cm

2

[4...

Figure 1.10 Evolution of recorded mono‐ and multicrystalline silicon solar c...

Figure 1.11 Textured (100) monocrystalline silicon wafer.

Figure 1.12 Bandgap and lattice constant for the important III–V alloys [62]...

Figure 1.13 Structure of a 25.7% GaAs solar cell under the AM1.5 Global spec...

Figure 1.14 (a) Structure of a tandem cell, showing the tunnel junction....

Figure 1.15 Structure of a very high‐efficiency triple‐junction tandem III–V...

Figure 1.16 Assembly of solar arrays for use in space

Chapter 2

Figure 2.1 Crude oil prices in $/barrel from 1946 to 2016.

Figure 2.2 Import and export of crude oil in the United States from 1920

Figure 2.3 US federal investments in energy R&D 1961–2008

Figure 2.4 Schematic manufacturing process for silicon photovoltaic modules...

Figure 2.5 Module lifetime over the duration of the FPSA programme [10]

Figure 2.6 Solarex’s ‘solar breeder factory’, Frederick, MD

Figure 2.7 Pellworm Island 200 kWp‐array European demonstration project

Chapter 3

Figure 3.1 Photovoltaic panels on an oil production platform

Figure 3.2 Ogami Island lighthouse, Nagasaki, 1966.

Figure 3.3 Hybrid photovoltaic–diesel microwave repeater station in Papua Ne...

Figure 3.4 Typical photovoltaic‐powered ICCP system in the Libyan Oil Field....

Figure 3.5 Photovoltaic‐powered parking meter

Figure 3.6 Photovoltaic‐powered vehicle speed measurement

Figure 3.7 UK roadside emergency telephone

Figure 3.8 Solar‐powered street light on a building site

Figure 3.9 Two‐axis tracked mirror‐enhanced solar revivers at the Carrisa Pl...

Figure 3.10 First European central grid‐connected photovoltaic power plant (...

Figure 3.11 Lighting in Africa: (a) photovoltaic‐powered;(b) candle

Figure 3.12 Photovoltaic‐powered pump supplying water for crop irrigation in...

Figure 3.13 Typical solar‐powered products from the early 1980s.

Chapter 4

Figure 4.1 Global photovoltaics market by technology, 1980–2017

Figure 4.2 Schematic of a p/n junction solar cell, showing the flow of photo...

Figure 4.3 Essential features of a simple silicon solar cell

Figure 4.4 Dark (upper) and light (lower) current/voltage characteristics of...

Figure 4.5 Typical solar cell from 1990

Figure 4.6 Schematic layout of a Siemens reactor used in the production of s...

Figure 4.7 Wacker Silso casting furnace

Figure 4.8 Cross‐section of part of a Wacker Silso ingot

Figure 4.9 Cross‐section of a directionally solidified multicrystalline sili...

Figure 4.10 Minority carrier lifetime and solar cell efficiency as a functio...

Figure 4.11 First HCT wire saw

Figure 4.12 Conceptual image of a silicon car being cut by multiple wires...

Figure 4.13 Schematic inline remote‐plasma PECVD system for silicon nitride ...

Figure 4.14 LBIC scan of a 1980s‐type 100 mm round monocrystalline cell

Figure 4.15 Rear silver grid pattern on a pseudo square CZ wafer

Figure 4.16 Textured surface of an acid‐etched multicrystalline wafer [82]...

Figure 4.17 Typical module construction

Chapter 5

Figure 5.1 Schematic evolution of the photovoltaics market as price fell

Figure 5.2 Evolution of the world photovoltaics market by sector

Figure 5.3 Levelised cost of electricity in different off‐grid locations ver...

Figure 5.4 Solar lighting in a Zambian home

Figure 5.5 Annual photovoltaic capacity additions for off‐grid nonresidentia...

Figure 5.6 Eco House Oxford

Figure 5.7 Block diagram of a typical 1000 Roof Programme domestic system [1...

Figure 5.8 Cumulative installations in the German market from 1990 to 2002, ...

Figure 5.9 Growth of the Japanese distributed grid‐connected market from 199...

Figure 5.10 Large domestic grid‐connected system in Germany

Figure 5.11 Large solar system integrated into the facade of Stadtwerke, ULM...

Figure 5.12 Flow of modules into main global markets

Figure 5.13 Evolution of cumulative installed photovoltaic capacity by regio...

Figure 5.14 Large‐scale solar system on a supermarket with high self‐consump...

Figure 5.15 Photovoltaics LCOE and value of electricity for a residential 5 ...

Figure 5.16 Price of polysilicon to the photovoltaics industry, 1995 to 2012...

Figure 5.17 550 MWp Topaz Solar Farm, United States

Figure 5.18 Unmanned ground surveillance drone capable of 90 days’ continuou...

Chapter 6

Figure 6.1 Growth of annual installations in the world photovoltaics market ...

Figure 6.2 Cumulative installed capacity for on‐ and off‐grid photovoltaics ...

Figure 6.3 German cities offering significant FITs (circle area) in 1999 [14...

Figure 6.4 Relative proportions of centralised and distributed on‐grid photo...

Figure 6.5 Cumulative installation of centralised and distributed on‐grid ph...

Figure 6.6 Installation of grid‐connected centralised and decentralised phot...

Figure 6.7 Structure of a typical solar PPA, as described by the US Environm...

Figure 6.8 El Romero Solar Field, Atacama Desert, Chile

Figure 6.9 RPS targets for four leading US states plus Washington, DC [29]...

Chapter 7

Figure 7.1 Growth of a silicon ribbon by the dendritic web process [5]

Figure 7.2 Schematic of EFG growth equipment [5]

Figure 7.3 Growth of a silicon string ribbon [5]

Figure 7.4 Schematic of the RGS process [5]

Figure 7.5 Progress in cell efficiency of direct wafer solar cells [32]

Figure 7.6 Amorphous silicon structure

Figure 7.7 Schematic of a single‐junction p‐i‐n amorphous silicon solar cell...

Figure 7.8 Spectral response of a typical stabilised a‐Si/a‐Si/Ge tandem sol...

Figure 7.9 Sanyo’s ‘Solar Ark’ with amorphous silicon panels

Figure 7.10 Throughput and yield of the Solarex a‐Si module manufacturing pl...

Figure 7.11 Efficiency of a crystalline silicon film with a minority carrier...

Figure 7.12 Interconnection scheme for crystalline silicon on glass [92]

Figure 7.13 Schematic structure of a CIS or CIGS solar cell

Figure 7.14 Annual shipments of thin‐film photovoltaic modules by technology...

Figure 7.15 Topaz Solar Farm, Sacramento, CA with 550 MWp of First Solar mod...

Figure 7.16 Mechanism for a DSSC [164]

Figure 7.17 Schematic of a bulk heterojunction OPV, showing the interpenetra...

Figure 7.18 Best solar cell efficiencies with time for different thin‐film t...

Figure 7.19 Perovskite crystallographic structure, where A is a short‐chain ...

Figure 7.20 External quantum efficiency (EQE) of PVK and silicon solar cells...

Figure 7.21 Flatcon 500× receiver at FhG.ISE [182]

Chapter 8

Figure 8.1 Structure of an LGBC solar cell

Figure 8.2 Structure of a PESC [27]

Figure 8.3 Modelled efficiency versus wafer thickness for varying degrees of...

Figure 8.4 Structure of a PERL silicon solar cell [32]

Figure 8.5 Total reflectance from an aluminium‐coated silicon oxide/nitride ...

Figure 8.6 Q.ANTUM PERC solar cell [42]

Figure 8.7 Conventional PERC cell with (a) full rear‐surface aluminium cover...

Figure 8.8 Bifacial 8.27 kWp photovoltaic noise barrier installed in Aubrugg...

Figure 8.9 Trina Solar Duomax Twin 60 bifacial glass–glass module

Figure 8.10 Effect of oxygen and boron doping on the relative loss of minori...

Figure 8.11 Structure of a HIT cell with n type silicon wafer and passivatin...

Figure 8.12 Structure of an IBC‐SHJ cell [95]

Figure 8.13 Quantum efficiency and reflectance spectra for the 26.3% HJ‐IBC ...

Figure 8.14 Cross‐section of a rear‐contact solar cell with point diffusions...

Figure 8.15 A typical SunPower installation with bifacial modules tracked to...

Figure 8.16 Two‐dimensional schematic diagram of an ANU/Trina Solar IBC cell...

Figure 8.17 Schematic process for assembling a triple‐junction solar cell on...

Figure 8.18 Proof‐of‐concept monolithic perovskite on an SHJ solar cell [127...

Figure 8.19 Absorption profile of an optimised perovskite silicon tandem cel...

Figure 8.20 Relative severity of different modes of module failure as a perc...

Chapter 9

Figure 9.1 Projected growth of global electricity demand 2000–2060, accordin...

Guide

Cover Page

Photovoltaics from Milliwatts to Gigawatts

Photovoltaics from Milliwatts to Gigawatts

Copyright

Dedication

Preface

Table of Contents

Begin Reading

Index

WILEY END USER LICENSE AGREEMENT

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From the rising of the sun to the place where it sets, the name of the Lord is to be praised.

Psalm 113 v3 (NIV)

Photovoltaics from Milliwatts to Gigawatts

Understanding Market and Technology Drivers toward Terawatts

 

Tim Bruton

TMB Consulting

Woking, UK

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

This edition first published 2021© 2021 John Wiley & Sons Ltd

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Library of Congress Cataloging‐in‐Publication Data

Names: Bruton, Tim, 1946– author. Title: Photovoltaics from milliwatts to gigawatts : understanding market and technology drivers toward terawatts / Tim Bruton. Description: Hoboken, NJ : Wiley, 2021. | Includes bibliographical references and index. Identifiers: LCCN 2020030557 (print) | LCCN 2020030558 (ebook) | ISBN 9781119130048 (cloth) | ISBN 9781119130055 (adobe pdf) | ISBN 9781119130062 (epub) Subjects: LCSH: Silicon solar cells. | Photovoltaic power generation–History. | Photovoltaic power systems. | Solar energy industries. Classification: LCC TK2963.S55 B78 2021 (print) | LCC TK2963.S55 (ebook) | DDC 621.31/244–dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020030557LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020030558

Cover design: WileyCover image: © alexsl / Getty Images

For my grandchildren:Bethan, Benjamin, Carys, Daniel, Isaac, Jemima, Joseph, Joshua, Samuel

Preface

Harnessing the power of the sun has been a challenge to the human race for thousands of years. In the last quarter of the twentieth century and into the twenty‐first, the deployment of photovoltaic solar energy conversion assumed great importance. In its early years, it promised security of energy supply and price stability for many countries, and today it is a reliable route to carbon‐free energy production, a vital tool in the fight to halt manmade climate change. I have been highly privileged in being able to see this dramatic story evolve. I joined the embryonic BP Solar research team in August 1983 when the world market was a mere 20 megawatts and the future uncertain. In the subsequent 37 years, I have seen the technology grow from those early days when many applications were at the milliwatt scale to now, when single photovoltaic power stations of over 1 GWp are in operation. That this has happened is due to the interactions of many actors from the fields of science, manufacturing, and politics.

My ambition in this book is to relate how solar cells transitioned from a high‐cost, small‐volume, niche market to the global status they enjoy today. The text follows the developments in fundamental understanding, cell processing, and scale‐up of manufacturing (and subsequent drop‐off in product cost). I tend to use the conversion efficiency of solar cells from solar radiation to useful electricity as a criterion for assessing the progress of particular technologies, but with the caveat that high efficiency must be achieved cost‐effectively. Throughout the period in question, I was principally involved at BP Solar and then at NaREC in silicon solar cell design and manufacturing, although along the way I also had responsibilities for thin‐film silicon, cadmium telluride, III‐V cells, and concentrators. I have taken the opportunity to detail progress in these areas, but also to give my own explanation for why they have not been able to displace silicon as the prime solar cell material. The opinions expressed in this book are entirely my own and are not the views of any of my previous employers.

Throughout my career, I had the privilege of working with many able and dedicated people. In particular, I am indebted to Nigel Mason, Stephen Roberts, Daniel Cunningham, Keith Heasman, and Stephen Ransome for their steadfast support and friendship through the years. Following the merger of BP Solar with Solarex in 2000, I was able to connect with a different generation of pioneers, and it was inspiring to be able to share ideas with Steve Shea, John Wohlgemuth, and the late David Carlson. I have also enjoyed interactions with many others through supporting manufacturing in the United Kingdom, Spain, India, Australia, and the United States. There are many other colleagues from my time in BP Solar and NaREC who helped in innumerable ways, and space does not allow me to acknowledge them all by name. I must thank my wife, Margaret, who selflessly supported me throughout my career and without whom this book would not have been written.

1The Photovoltaics: The Birth of a Technology and Its First Application

1.1 Introduction

‘For more than a generation, solar power was an environmentalist fantasy, an expensive and impractical artefact from the Jimmy Carter era. That was true right up to the moment it wasn’t’ [1]. This quotation neatly encapsulates the theme of this book: how a technology grew from a high‐cost product in a specialist application to a global technology supplying a significant proportion of the world’s electricity against a background of at best scepticism and at worst open hostility. In 2018, 102 GWp of photovoltaic modules were installed globally, leading to a total installed capacity of 509 GWp, while an independent study showed that photovoltaics was the lowest‐cost means of generation of new‐build electricity‐generating capacity, including nuclear and fossil fuel sources [2]. At the end of 2019, photovoltaics provided 3% of the global electricity supply, but the expectation is that this percentage will continue to rise until it is the dominant electricity‐generating technology by 2050, with 60% of global output [3,4]. Figure 1.1 shows the expected growth of all generating technologies to 2050.

This dramatic development of photovoltaic installations has been the work of many inspired individuals. Their stories are told in other places [5–7]. The aim of this book is to describe how the technology changed from small‐area solar cells of 10% efficiency conversion of sunlight to electricity to the mass‐production cells of today, with efficiencies in the range 20–24%, and the route to >30% becoming clear. The present chapter describes how the potential for photovoltaic conversion was first recognised and how it moved into the early stages of commercialisation as a high‐technology product for use in powering space satellites. Later chapters will describe how this space technology became a terrestrial one and the driving forces and technology developments that made it the global force it is today. Furthermore, the options for going beyond the current technology will be reviewed and the route to achieving terawatt global installations discussed.

It should be no surprise that photovoltaics has achieved the advances it has. Since the invention of the semiconductor transistor in 1948, solid‐state electronics has transformed the way in which we live. Computers, mobile phones, the Internet, and so much else would not exist without the underlying semiconductor technology. Photovoltaic solar energy conversion is the application of solid‐state technology to the energy field. Electricity is generated simply by the absorption of sunlight in a semiconducting diode. There are no moving parts. No liquid or gaseous fuels are needed. There are no effluents requiring disposal and no noise is generated. Sunlight is abundant, delivering to the earth’s surface 6000 times humanity’s total energy usage [8]. It is the only renewable resource capable of delivering the world’s energy needs carbon‐free by 2050, and it will remain available for the next 5 billion years. The photovoltaic technology is easily scalable, so that small cells can generate the few milliwatts required for consumer devices such as calculators and watches, while larger ones can be used to assemble modules for deployment at the gigawatt level. It is these advantages which spurred many advocates to continue to promote photovoltaics in the face of significant opposition.

Figure 1.1 Evolution of electricity‐generating technologies to 2050

Source: DNV GL Energy Transition Outlook 2018

1.2 Sunlight and Electricity

1.2.1 The Early Years

While the potency of the sun has been recognised from ancient times, its role has been mainly that of a source of heat and lighting [9]. It was only relatively recently that the connection between sunlight and electricity was established. Through the nineteenth century, there was an important discovery in this regard about once every decade. Probably the first connection between light and electricity was made by Edmond Becquerel in Paris in 1839 [10]. He observed the flow of an electric current when gold or platinum electrodes were immersed into an electrolyte (acidic or alkaline) and exposed to uneven solar radiation. Some ten years later, Alfred Smee in London observed a current in an electrochemical cell on exposure to intense light, which he called a ‘photo‐voltaic’ circuit – linking the Greek word for light phos and the name ‘Volta’, the original inventor of the galvanic cell [11].

The next step was the observation of photoconductivity in a solid material. A British engineer, Willoughby Smith, in search of a high‐resistance metal for use in testing the trans‐Atlantic telegraph cable, was recommended selenium. He purchased some selenium rods of between 5 and 10 cm in length and 1 and 1.5 mm in diameter [12]. These were hermetically sealed in glass cylinders, with leads to the outside. They worked well at night, but in bright daylight they became too conducting. Smith concluded that there was no heating effect and that the change in resistance was purely due to the action of light [13]. This stimulated further research into the properties of selenium. The British scientists William Grylls Adams and Richard Evans Day observed current flowing in their selenium sample when no external voltage was applied and were able to show that ‘a current could be started in the selenium by the action of light alone’ [14]. They had demonstrated for the first time that light caused the flow of electricity in a solid material. They used the term ‘photoelectric’ to describe their device, and Adams believed it could be used as a means of measuring light intensity [15].

The narrative now switches to America, where Charles Fritts made the first working solar module by covering a copper plate with a layer of selenium and applying a semitransparent gold layer as the top electrode [16]. An example is shown in Figure 1.2. Fritts described the module as producing a ‘current that is constant and of considerable force … not only by exposure to sunlight but also to dim diffused light and even to lamplight.’ He supplied samples to the German electricity pioneer Werner von Siemens, who greeted them enthusiastically, announcing Fritts’ module to be ‘scientifically of the most far‐reaching importance’. However, its low efficiency – below 1% – made it of little commercial importance. Indeed, there was considerable scepticism at the time, with solar cells viewed as some kind of perpetual‐motion machine. The principles of their operation were not understood. One of the leading physicists of the day, James Clerk Maxwell, while welcoming photoelectrcity as ‘a very valuable contribution to science’, wondered ‘is the radiation the immediate cause or does it act by producing some change in the chemical state’ [16].

Figure 1.2 Charles Fritts’ first photovoltaic array, produced in New York City in 1884 [16]

(Courtesy New World Library)

The underlying science of photovoltaics was given a big boost by the parallel discoveries and developments in photoemission. Hertz observed in 1887 that ultraviolet light caused a significant increase in the sparks in an air gap between electrodes and that it was a function of the wavelength of the light rather than its intensity [17]. While a number of physicists worked on the effect, it was Albert Einstein in 1905 who explained it in terms of different wavelengths behaving as particles of energy, which he called ‘quanta’ but which were later renamed ‘photons’. These quanta had different energies depending on their wavelength. Einstein was awarded the Nobel Prize in 1921 for this work [15]. While these discoveries and other advances in quantum mechanics at the start for the twentieth century did not directly explain photovoltaic effects, they did provide a scientific basis for understanding the interaction of light and materials.

Although research continued on developing solar cells, little progress was made. However, photovoltaics still had its advocates in the 1930s. Ludwig Lange, a German physicist, predicted in 1931 that ‘in the distant future huge plants will employ thousands of these plates to transform sunlight into electric power … that can compete with hydroelectricity and steam driven generators in running factories and lighting homes’ [15]. A more pragmatic view was taken by E.D. Wilson at Westinghouse Electric, who stated that the efficiency of the photovoltaic cell would need to be increased by a factor of 50 in order for them to be of practical use, and this was unlikely to happen [15]. Actually, as will be shown in later chapters, a factor of 20 was achieved, and this was sufficient to create the current global markets.

While progress in other areas of technology was immense in the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, little real advancement in photovoltaics had been made since Becquerel’s discovery a hundred years previously. Entering into the second half of the twentieth century, everything would change.

1.2.2 The Breakthrough to Commercial Photovoltaic Cells

It is well known that the birth of the commercially successful photovoltaic cell dates back to April 1954, when Pearson, Chapin, and Fuller demonstrated the first 6% efficient cell using a p/n junction in silicon. It is no surprise that this discovery occurred at Bell Telephone Laboratories, which was one of the world’s premier research laboratories until its forced break‐up in 1984. As the research arm of the American Telephone and Telegraph Company, it had a long history of successful innovation, with nine Nobel Prizes awarded over time for work done there. Perhaps its most notable success was the demonstration in 1948 of the point‐contact germanium transistor. This illustrates the strength and depth of both the theoretical understanding and expertise in semiconductor processing at Bell labs [18].

Figure 1.3 Ohl’s patented solar cell structure [20]

Source: R.S. Ohl: US Patent Application filed 27th May 1941

Russel Ohl, a Bell Labs scientist interested in exploring the crystallisation of silicon, is recognised as the discoverer of the p/n junction in this material, in 1941 [19]. In directionally solidifying 99.85% pure silicon, Ohl noted a change in the structure of the solidified ingot, with the upper portion becoming columnar and the lower portion showing no structure; a striated region appeared between the two, forming a barrier to conduction. The upper zone was p type while the lower zone was n type [20]. This can be easily understood as a result of the segregation of dopants during the crystallisation process. While measuring the resistance of rods containing the barrier, Ohl noted a sensitivity to light, which he termed a ‘photo electromotive force’. He proceeded to patent this as a solar cell, although its efficiency was similar to that of the selenium cells, at about 1% [20]. Figure 1.3 shows Ohl’s silicon structure, the n type region being fine‐grained crystallites and the cell contacts plated rhodium. The low efficiency is not surprising given the relatively impure starting material, its multicrystalline nature, and the fact that the n type region was 0.5 mm thick. The relatively low efficiency meant little further work was done until a new approach at Bell Labs.

Success came in the 1950s. The first transistor had been demonstrated at Bell in 1948 using germanium, and had entered commercial production in 1951 [21]. However, germanium had some disadvantages in its fragility and stability, and silicon offered a better option – although a working silicon transistor was not demonstrated until 1954. Two scientists working on this were Calvin S. Fuller and Gerald L. Pearson. Fuller was an expert in doping silicon, while Pearson was an experimentalist. There were three iterations before a good working solar cell was demonstrated [22]. Initially, while not looking for a solar cell, Fuller produced a p type gallium‐doped silicon sample, which Pearson dipped into a lithium bath to form a shallow n type region. When Pearson exposed the sample to light, he found to his surprise that a current was generated. At the same time, in a different department, another scientist, Daryl M. Chapin, was looking for a power source for telecommunications repeaters in hot humid locations where conventional dry cell batteries rapidly failed. Chapin concluded that solar cells were a good option, but his experiments with commercial selenium cells of low efficiency were disappointing. He and Pearson knew each other, and Pearson offered Chapin his lithium‐doped ‘solar cell’. Chapin tested it and found it 2.3% efficient – an enormous improvement on selenium, justifying further investigations into silicon’s potential. The next step was to replace the lithium with phosphorus. A small amount of phosphorus was evaporated on to the p type silicon to make a shallow n type region. Initial results weren’t particularly good, but then Chapin applied a thin plastic layer to act as an antireflection coating (ARC) on the otherwise highly reflecting silicon surface. This gave the encouraging result of around 4% cell efficiency, which was good progress toward Chapin’s target of 5.7% for a viable power source. However, further progress was slow, and forming a good electrical contact proved to be an ongoing problem. A spur to further activity came from Bell’s competitor, RCA, which was developing an ‘atomic battery’ using a strontium 90 source to irradiate a silicon solar cell, although efficiencies were poor. The breakthrough came when Fuller, who had been experimenting with boron to give a p type silicon emitter which offered a new configuration, demonstrated that heating an n type silicon wafer for 5.5 hours at 1000 °C in a boron trichloride atmosphere under reduced pressure could produce a 0.25 μm‐deep diffusion with a resistivity of .001 Ω/cm [23]. This equated to 40 Ω per square sheet resistance emitter, which is a typical figure for later commercial silicon solar cells. Arsenic was used to dope the silicon base n type to 0.1 Ω/cm, and this was then cut into long narrow strips in accordance with the best previous cell results. The emitter was formed using the new boron diffusion process, with the emitter itself wrapping around the cell as shown in Figure 1.4. It was then partially removed on the rear to expose the n type base. Contacts were made by electroplating rhodium to the exposed base and emitter [24]; the relative ease in forming these contacts represented a significant advance. A polystyrene layer with refractive index 1.6 was used as the ARC. The solar cell efficiency was approximately 6% [25]. Chapin had proposed a theoretical limit of 22% efficiency for silicon, but had stated that practical limitations would result in its being lower in the real world. The spectral response of the cell is shown in Figure 1.5. It was proposed that 10 cells connected in series would be needed to provide the 1 W of power required to charge the batteries at a repeater station in a rural carrier telephone system [24].

Figure 1.4 Schematic of the first successful silicon solar cell

Figure 1.5 (A) Normalised spectral response of a p on n silicon solar cell. (B) Solar spectrum. (C) Relative integrated response [23]

Source: C.S. Fuller: US Patent 3015590, 2nd Jan. 1962 (filed 5th March 1954)

The 6% efficiency result met Chapin’s original target and gave the impetus for further improvement. By November 1954, an 8%‐efficiency cell had been produced with the same wraparound structure [26], and by May 1955, 11% efficiency was demonstrated [27]. It is interesting to note that this structure – an n type wafer with all of the contact metallisation on the rear – has a resonance with the current world‐record silicon solar cell (26.7% efficiency), based on an n type wafer with rear contacts, but with amorphous silicon providing the p side of the junction [28]. In their 1954 patent filing, the inventors stated that ‘Sunlight is the most common, most accessible, and most economical form of energy on the Earth’s surface’ [24]. This group at Bell Labs opened the door for practical exploitation of this rich energy source, although it was a further 20 years before its true potential began to be fully exploited.

1.2.3 Hiatus

While the Bell discovery was heralded as a great breakthrough, with the New York Times stating it ‘may mark the beginning of a new era, leading eventually to the realisation of one of mankind’s most cherished dreams – the harnessing of the almost limitless energy of the sun for the uses of civilisation’ [29] and the US News & World Report claiming ‘the (silicon) strips may provide more power than all the world’s coal, oil and uranium’ [30], the reality in 1954 was somewhat different. The cost of the high‐purity silicon needed to make viable solar cells was very high at $845/kg, resulting in an estimated cost of electricity of $144/kWh, compared to $23.7/kWh for dry cell batteries and less than $0.02/kWh for retail grid electricity [31]. Despite this disadvantage, Bell’s manufacturing subsidiary, Western Electric, took up commercialisation. One of the first applications was powering a remote telephone line in rural Georgia (USA). However, the introduction of silicon transistors for voice amplification with a very low power requirement made the application redundant and activity at Bell largely declined [31]. Western Electric licensed other companies to manufacture the silicon solar cells, one of which, National Fabricated Products, went as far as to assemble a range of demonstration products. But no market was forthcoming and National Fabricated Products was taken over by Hoffman Electronics in 1956. Hoffman provided prototypes for both the US Coast Guard and the US Forest Service, but no business resulted. The initial enthusiasm cooled to the extent that in 1957 it was reported that ‘Viewed in the light of the world’s power needs, these gadgets are toys’ [32].

1.2.4 The First Successful Market: Satellites

Although a terrestrial market was slow to materialise, Hoffman Electronics continued to do research to improve solar cell efficiency and reduce cost. By the end of 1957, it had demonstrated a 12.5% (1 cm2)‐efficient silicon cell [33]. The discoveries at Bell Laboratories did not pass unnoticed amongst the military, and the US Army Signal Corps visited the company to evaluate the technology and concluded that the only viable application was for the power supply of an artificial earth satellite, which was a top secret project at the time [34]. This view was shared by the US Air Force – but not by the US Navy, which was eventually awarded the satellite project, and which had decided that silicon solar cells were ‘unconventional and not fully established’ [34]. Interdepartmental rivalries also played a part [35]. Nonetheless, when President Eisenhower first announced the satellite programme publicly in 1955, the New York Times published a sketch showing solar cells providing the power. Intense lobbying was carried out, particularly by Dr Hans Ziegler of the Signal Corps Research and Development Laboratory (USARDL), assisted by a decision to simplify the satellite’s mission and lighten its payload. Eventually, it was agreed that both a dry cell battery power supply and a solar‐powered transmitter would be used. Solar cells were tested by attaching them to the nose cones of two high‐altitude rockets and were shown to survive the rigours of the launch and of the space environment.

The first launch in December 1957 of the Vanguard TV‐3 satellite, depicted in Figure 1.6, failed, but the satellite itself was recovered [36]. The Vanguard 1, identical to the TV‐3, was successfully launched on 17 March 1958, with the expectation that it would remain in orbit for 2000 years (although later recalculation lowered this to 240 years). It is the oldest artificial satellite still orbiting the earth. Its scientific purpose as part of the International Geophysical Year was to obtain geodetic measurements of the shape of the planet. As predicted, the battery‐powered transmitter stopped working in June 1958, while the solar‐powered one continued until May 1964, when the last signals were received in Quito, Ecuador. The satellite was a 16.5 cm aluminium sphere weighing 1.48 kg. A 10 mW 108 MHz telemetry transmitter was powered by a set of mercury batteries, while a 5 mW 108.03 MHz beacon transmitter was powered by solar cells mounted in six 5 × 5 cm arrays, which gave a nominal power of 1 W, equating to an efficiency of 10% at 28 °C [34]. The cells were supplied by Hoffman Electronics.

Figure 1.6 Vanguard TV‐3 satellite on display at the Smithsonian Air and Space Museum. Recovered from its failed launch on 6 December 1957 [36]

Source: Smithsonian National Air and space Museum (TMS A19761857000cp02)

This proved to be a watershed moment for photovoltaics, as the technology had proved itself a reliable long‐term source of electricity in a real application.

1.3 Photovoltaics Demonstrates Success

With the highly visible success of the Vanguard 1 mission, photovoltaics became the technology of choice for powering satellites. Nevertheless, some scepticism remained in place, and photovoltaics was seen purely as a stopgap measure until atomic batteries were developed. Others thought that while photovoltaics was acceptable for the simple early satellites, it would not provide enough power for the more sophisticated ones – not to mention space stations – envisaged for the future [37].

Immediate confirmation of the value of solar cells in space was given by the Russians, who launched the Sputnik 3 on 5 May 1958, also as part of the International Geophysical Year. In addition to a number of scientific instruments, Sputnik 3 included a solar cell‐powered transmitter [38]. The Russians had been monitoring Bell Laboratories’ work and had developed their own cells [37]. One Russian scientist stated in 1958 that ‘Solar batteries … would ultimately become the main source of power in space’. With hindsight, it is easy to see how these predictions became true. Space was the obvious market for solar cells. Solar insolation is 40% higher in space than on the earth’s surface. Satellites are the ultimate off‐grid market, with no maintenance possible after launch until at least the 1990s. They are free of the day–night constraints of terrestrial systems. Price is not an issue, given the high cost of launchings satellites. In any case, with increasing production volume and the general growth of the silicon semiconductor infrastructure, solar cell costs had fallen to $100/W by 1970.

Space offered some challenges, however. It had been noted by RCA Laboratories that in its experiments to produce electro‐voltaic cells, beta radiation from a Sr90‐Y90 source had seriously degraded solar cell performance [39]. Initially, figures for cosmic radiation were extrapolated from high‐altitude balloon flights, and it was calculated that it would take 105 years for there to be a 25% loss of cell efficiency. However, the Explorer 1 satellite, launched in 1958, found that in the yet to be recognised van Allen radiation belt, cosmic radiation was 104 times higher than that estimated from balloons, meaning unshielded solar cell life would be only 10 years [39]. This was mitigated by the discovery that a quartz or sapphire cover could significantly reduce the amount of radiation reaching a cell, prolonging its active life. Nevertheless, radiation resistance of solar cells became a major topic of research in subsequent years, and end‐of‐life cell efficiency (rather than efficiency at launch) a major consideration. Research at the USARDL found that reversing the structure of the original Bell Labs cells by producing a shallow n doped layer via phosphorus diffusion into a p type substrate increased radiation resistance by an order of magnitude [40]. As a result, n on p solar cells became the preferred structure for use in space. It was also much easier to create shallow diffusions with phosphorus than with boron.

The mid 1950s proved a fertile time for understanding of the p–n junction solar cell. Van Roosbroeck and Pfann predicted in 1954 that such a cell could reach 18% efficiency [41]. A later paper by Prince calculated junction depths and series resistance and concluded that 21.7% efficiency was the maximum possible in silicon, but that 10% was a practical limit [42]. This analysis enabled Bell Labs to move forward from its 6% cell to a 10% one, although incorrect data had been used for the absorption depth of solar photons. Prince also concluded that the optimum bandgap would lie between 1.0 and 1.6 eV. As well as providing the basis for further work in silicon, this also stimulated research into other semiconductors such as cadmium telluride, indium phosphide, and gallium arsenide [39]. Interestingly, a paper by Jackson demonstrated how solar cells of different bandgaps could be stacked on each other and that a tandem cell with bandgaps of 0.95, 1.34 and 1.91 eV would have an efficiency of 37% assuming the cell would operate as well as the single junction cell of that time [43]. These papers paved the way to the definitive work on ultimate solar cell efficiencies for semiconductors of different bandgaps, published by Schockley and Quiesser in 1961 [44]. This ultimate efficiency was modelled by assuming 100% absorption of incoming light and no losses within the solar cell. The main losses were imposed by the limitation of the semiconductor bandgap. Photons with energy less than the bandgap could not excite electrons into the conduction band, and the energy was absorbed as heat. Photons with energy above the bandgap created an electron–hole pair, but with excess energy in the conduction band, which had many empty lower‐energy states close to the band edge. The excited electrons lost their energy again by heat and occupied those empty energy states. Schockley and Quiesser found the optimum bandgap was 1.4 eV, giving an efficiency of around 30%. Finding ways to exceed this Shockley–Quiesser limit has been the topic of much research and is discussed in Chapters 7 and 8.

1.3.1 First Commercial Operation

The combination of good results from actual satellite flights and the potential to achieve efficiencies as high as 30% in the long term provided a good platform for the continued use of solar cells in space. In 1959, Hoffman Semiconductor supplied 9600 p on n solar cells, 1 × 2 cm, to the Explorer 6 satellite. The cells were mounted on four paddles, which deployed from the satellite’s equator. Explorer 6 took the first pictures of earth from space [45]. A further step forward was the launch of the first commercial telecommunications satellite, ‘Telstar’, in 1961. This was a project of Bell Telephone Laboratories, first proposed in 1955 [39]. When launched, Telstar utilised the latest development in solar cells for space [46]. Its cells were made by the Bell subsidiary Western Electric. Radiation resistance was the first parameter to be studied, and the researchers confirmed the earlier observation that n on p cells were 10 times more resistant that the original p on n cells. Their results are shown in Figure 1.7.

The figure shows the clear superiority of the blue‐sensitive (i.e. shallow junction) phosphorus‐diffused n on p solar cell. The short‐circuit current provides a good indicator of the underlying electronic quality of the silicon material in the cell. Further radiation protection was provided by a 750 μm‐thick sapphire cover glass. The next objective was to optimise the efficiency of the solar cell. It was found that the highest efficiencies were achieved with silicon wafer doping at 1 Ω/cm. Next, diffusion was optimised: while lighter diffusions improved blue response (with 90 Ω per square being an optimum), the cells were prone to electrical shunting. A final diffusion range of 30–60 Ω per square was thus adopted. Finally, improvements were made to the metallisation. While the original Bell cells had all the metallisation on the rear, Wolf at Hoffman had shown that a gridded pattern on the front increased solar cell efficiency [47]. Five grid lines (150 μm wide) per cell were applied. A schematic of the Telstar cell is shown in Figure 1.8.

As well as adopting a grid structure, the metallisation was changed to give a better contact. The electroplated nickel of the original cell was replaced by an evaporated titanium contact as the nickel plating still gave problems even with the diffusion compromise. On sintering, the titanium reduced the native silicon dioxide coating to make contact with the n type emitter. The titanium contact was coated with silver to prevent oxidation and provide a good surface for soldering. Another parameter to be considered was thermal shock and the range of operating temperatures. Under normal operation, the solar cell temperature would varying between 10 and −50 °C, although at certain times this could extend to 100 to −69 °C . This could cause cracking in the solar cell. It was found necessary on the rear contact to mask the cell edges in order to leave an uncoated border to avoid cracking. Two cells 1 × 2 cm were cut from a 1 inch‐diameter silicon wafer. A silicon dioxide antireflection coating was applied by evaporation. In a run of 10 000 cells, the efficiency at 100 mW/cm2 insolation, 28 °C, and a fixed load point at 0.45 V had a median efficiency of 10.8%. A typical I/V is shown in Figure 1.9. 3600 cells were used for the satellite, in 50 parallel strings of 72 cells, to give a total power of 14 Wp.

Figure 1.7 Decrease in short‐circuit current of n on p and p on n silicon solar cells for different fluxes of 1 MeV electrons [46]

(Source Bell System Technical Journal)

Figure 1.8 Schematic of the Telstar silicon solar cell [46]

(SourceBell System Technical Journal)

Figure 1.9 Current–voltage curve for a Telstar cell at 28 °C at 100 mW/cm2[46]

(SourceBell System Technical Journal)

The satellite mission was successful, although radiation damage was extensive and the solar cell output decreased to 68% of its original value after 2 years in orbit. It was calculated that even with the state of the art, additional solar cells could be deployed to give a 20‐year life without significant weight penalties.

The Telstar cell provided a basis for further silicon development. The n on p structure was readily manufactured and the diffusion range of 30–60 Ω/cm on a 1 Ω/cm silicon wafer became the standard for terrestrial solar cells for many years. The only significant difference between the Telstar cell and later terrestrial cells was that Telstar used (111) orientation wafers while the later cells used (100) orientation, which could be chemically textured as discussed in the next section.

1.3.2 Continuing Research for Space

The emergence of solar cells as the only viable power source in space, coupled with the competition between the United States and Soviet Union over leadership in the space race, stimulated further research. Between 1958 and 1969, the US government provided $50 million for solar cell research. In 1961, the USARDL demonstrated a 14.5%‐efficient solar cell similar to the Telstar cell [48]. But, remarkably, while the industrial production of space solar cells ramped up, their efficiency showed no increase between 1961 and 1970, as illustrated in Figure 1.10 [49].

Figure 1.10 Evolution of recorded mono‐ and multicrystalline silicon solar cell efficiencies, 1940–2010 [49]

(Courtesy Wiley) Source: M.A. Green: Progress in Photovoltaics‐Research and Applications 17 (2009) 183–189