148,99 €
A major update of solar cell technology and the solar marketplace Since the first publication of this important volume over a decade ago, dramatic changes have taken place with the solar market growing almost 100-fold and the U.S. moving from first to fourth place in the world market as analyzed in this Second Edition. Three bold new opportunities are identified for any countries wanting to improve market position. The first is combining pin solar cells with 3X concentration to achieve economic competitiveness near term. The second is charging battery-powered cars with solar cell-generated electricity from arrays in surrounding areas--including the car owners' homes--while simultaneously reducing their home electricity bills by over ninety percent. The third is formation of economic "unions" of sufficient combined economic size to be major competitors. In this updated edition, feed-in tariffs are identified as the most effective approach for public policy. Reasons are provided to explain why pin solar cells outperform more traditional pn solar cells. Field test data are reported for nineteen percent pin solar cells and for ~500X concentrating systems with bare cell efficiencies approaching forty percent. Paths to bare cell efficiencies over fifty percent are described, and key missing program elements are identified. Since government support is needed for new technology prototype integration and qualification testing before manufacturing scale up, the key economic measure is identified in this volume as the electricity cost in cents per kilowatt-hour at the complete installed system level, rather than just the up-front solar cell modules' costs in dollars per watt. This Second Edition will benefit technologists in the fields of solar cells and systems; solar cell researchers; power systems designers; academics studying microelectronics, semiconductors, and solar cells; business students and investors with a technical focus; and government and political officials developing public policy.
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Table of Contents
Cover
Table of Contents
Half title page
Series page
Title page
Copyright page
Preface
Contributors
Part I: INTRODUCTION TO SOLAR CELLS
1 SOLAR CELLS: A BRIEF HISTORY AND INTRODUCTION
1.1 BRIEF HISTORY
1.2 APPLICATIONS AND MARKETS
1.3 TYPES OF SOLAR CELLS AND MODULES
1.4 ARGUMENTS FOR SOLAR CELL ELECTRIC POWER
1.5 ABOUT THIS BOOK
2 SOLAR CELL ELECTRICITY MARKET HISTORY, PUBLIC POLICY, PROJECTED FUTURE, AND ESTIMATED COSTS
2.1 MARKET HISTORY
2.2 PUBLIC POLICY
2.3 PROJECTED FUTURE
2.4 COST ESTIMATES
2.5 CONCLUSIONS
3 SOLAR CELLS, SINGLE-CRYSTAL SEMICONDUCTORS, AND HIGH EFFICIENCY
3.1 INTRODUCTION
3.2 SUNLIGHT, RAINBOWS, AND PHOTONS
3.3 ELECTRONS IN ATOMS AS WAVES AND THE PERIODIC TABLE OF THE ELEMENTS
3.4 SEMICONDUCTORS AS CRYSTALS AND THE WAVE THEORY
3.5 JUNCTIONS AND DIODES
3.6 SOLAR CELL BAND DIAGRAMS AND POWER CURVES
3.7 HIGH-EFFICIENCY AND MULTIJUNCTION SOLAR CELLS
3.8 PV MODULE AND SYSTEM COST TRADES
3.9 THE IMPORTANCE OF SINGLE CRYSTALS
4 SOLAR CELL DEVICE PHYSICS
4.1 DEVELOPMENT OF QUANTUM MECHANICS AND SOLID-STATE ELECTRONICS
4.2 FUNDAMENTALS OF SOLAR CELL OPEN-CIRCUIT VOLTAGE
4.3 SHOCKLEY DIODE MODEL OF SOLAR CELLS
4.4 p-i-n SOLAR CELLS
4.5 OHMIC CONTACTS AND HETEROJUNCTION INTERFACES
4.6 CHAMPION 28.2% EFFICIENT GaAs AND OTHER SOLAR CELLS
4.7 ADVANCED CONCEPT p/n AND p-i-n CRYSTALLINE SILICON CELLS
4.8 SCLI MODEL OF SOLAR CELLS
4.9 BANDGAP VOLTAGE, UNDOPED QUANTUM WELL SOLAR CELLS
4.10 CONCLUSIONS
Part II: TERRESTRIAL SOLAR CELL ELECTRICITY
5 CRYSTALLINE SILICON SOLAR CELLS AND MODULES
5.1 INTRODUCTION
5.2 INDUSTRIAL CRYSTALLINE SILICON PV CELL
5.3 EFFICIENCY LIMITATIONS
5.4 NOVEL CURRENT COLLECTING TECHNOLOGIES
5.5 EXAMPLES OF NOVEL PV CELLS
5.6 PV MODULE
5.7 CONCLUSION
6 THIN-FILM SOLAR CELLS AND MODULES
6.1 INTRODUCTION
6.2 THIN-FILM SOLAR CELLS AND MODULES
6.3 POLYCRYSTALLINE THIN FILM
6.4 HYDROGENATED a-Si, a-Si ALLOYS, AND nc-Si
6.5 OUTLOOK FOR THIN-FILM MODULES
7 TERRESTRIAL MODULE FABRICATION AND ASSEMBLY TECHNOLOGIES
7.1 INTRODUCTION
7.2 MATERIALS
7.3 BASIC MODULE ASSEMBLY
7.4 EQUIPMENT OPTIONS
7.5 FUTURE
8 CHINESE SOLAR CELL STATUS
8.1 INTRODUCTION (BY THE EDITOR)
8.2 CHINA’S SOLAR ENERGY RESOURCES AND DATA
8.3 PV R & D LEVEL AND TECHNOLOGY INNOVATIONS IN CHINA
8.4 PV SOLAR POWER SYSTEMS AND KEY EQUIPMENT
8.5 THE GROWTH OF CHINA’S PV INDUSTRY
8.6 PV MODULE AND SYSTEM COST AND PRICE
8.7 THE GROWTH OF CHINA’S PV POWER MARKET
8.8 CHINA’S INCENTIVE POLICY FOR PV POWER
APPENDIX: CHINA SOLAR RESOURCE DATA
9 TRACKING THE SUN FOR MORE KILOWATT HOUR AND LOWER-COST SOLAR ELECTRICITY
9.1 INTRODUCTION
9.2 THE MODERN SOLAR TRACKER ERA
9.3 TRACKER GEOMETRIES
9.4 GROUND-MOUNTED TRACKERS FOR UTILITY PEAK POWER
9.5 AZIMUTH TRACKERS FOR COMMERCIAL BUILDING FLAT ROOFS
9.6 SOLAR TRACKER ECONOMICS
9.7 CONCLUSIONS
10 SOLAR CELL SYSTEMS: DEFINITION, PERFORMANCE, AND RELIABILITY
10.1 INTRODUCTION
10.2 SOLAR CELL SYSTEM DEFINITION
10.3 SOLAR CELL UTILITY-SCALE SYSTEM PERFORMANCE
10.4 SOLAR CELL SYSTEM RELIABILITY—USING THE PAST TO PREDICT THE FUTURE
10.5 SYSTEM COST EXPERIENCE
10.6 CONCLUSIONS
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
11 LEVELIZED COST OF ENERGY FOR UTILITY-SCALE PHOTOVOLTAICS
11.1 THE DRIVERS OF THE LCOE FOR UTILITY-SCALE PVs
11.2 INTRODUCTION TO LCOE
11.3 MAJOR LCOE INPUTS
11.4 THE LCOE MODEL SENSITIVITY
11.5 LCOE VARIABLES FOR UTILITY-SCALE PV
11.6 INITIAL PV POWER PLANT INVESTMENT
11.7 PV POWER PLANT OPERATING EXPENSES
11.8 SYSTEM RESIDUAL VALUE
11.9 SUNPOWER’S LCOE FORECASTING TOOL
11.10 CONCLUSIONS
Part III: TERRESTRIAL CONCENTRATOR SOLAR CELL SYSTEMS
12 LOW-CONCENTRATION CRYSTALLINE SILICON SYSTEMS
12.1 INTRODUCTION—WHY CONCENTRATE SUNLIGHT?
12.2 EARLY DEVELOPMENT OF CONCENTRATED PV SYSTEMS
12.3 THE 3-SUN LCPV CONCEPT
12.4 LCPV MIRROR MODULE DEVELOPMENT
12.5 FUTURE POTENTIAL MANUFACTURING AND DEPLOYMENT
12.6 FUTURE POTENTIAL COST
12.7 CONCLUSIONS
13 HIGH-CONCENTRATION, III–V MULTIJUNCTION SOLAR CELLS
13.1 III–V MULTIJUNCTIONS IN HCPV SYSTEMS
13.2 III–V MULTIJUNCTION DESIGN
13.3 TUNNEL JUNCTIONS
13.4 DESIGN FOR TERRESTRIAL CONCENTRATORS
13.5 EFFICIENCY UNDER AM1.5
13.6 INVERTED METAMORPHIC MULTIJUNCTION CELLS
13.7 PERFORMANCE IN OPERATING CONDITIONS
13.8 RELIABILITY
13.9 SUMMARY
14 HIGH-CONCENTRATION FRESNEL LENS ASSEMBLIES AND SYSTEMS
14.1 INTRODUCTION
14.2 ELEMENTS OF FRESNEL LENS CONCENTRATORS
14.3 TRIPLE-JUNCTION SOLAR CELLS
14.4 RECENT EXAMPLES AND DEVELOPMENTS
14.5 ASSEMBLY OF FLATCON SYSTEMS
14.6 FLATCON SYSTEMS AND DEVELOPMENTS
14.7 ROOFTOP APPLICATIONS
14.8 SUMMARY
15 HIGH-CONCENTRATION CASSEGRAINIAN SOLAR CELL MODULES AND ARRAYS
15.1 INTRODUCTION
15.2 DESIGN AND OPERATION OF HIGH-EFFICIENCY MONOLITHIC MULTIJUNCTION SOLAR CELLS
15.3 DESIGN OF CONCENTRATING OPTICAL SYSTEM
15.4 CONCENTRATING SYSTEM CHOICES
15.5 OPTICAL DESIGN OF A CASSEGRAINIAN CONCENTRATOR
15.6 CONSTRUCTION OF A MANUFACTURABLE CASSEGRAINIAN CONCENTRATOR PANEL
15.7 DESIGN OF TWO-AXIS CASSEGRAINIAN SOLAR TRACKING SYSTEMS
15.8 PANEL PERFORMANCE
15.9 DUAL-CELL CASSEGRAINIAN CONCENTRATORS
15.10 DUAL CASSEGRAINIAN ADVANTAGES
15.11 CASE STUDY: OUTDOOR TEST OF FIRST DUAL-CELL CASSEGRAINIAN SYSTEM
15.12 POSSIBLE CASSEGRAINIAN PANEL DESIGN
15.13 OPTIMAL CELL SELECTION
15.14 CONCLUSION
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
16 CONCENTRATOR SOLAR CELL INSTALLATIONS AT THE UNIVERSITY OF NEVADA, LAS VEGAS
16.1 INTRODUCTION
16.2 REFLECTIVE CONCENTRATOR
16.3 REFRACTIVE CONCENTRATOR
16.4 CPV SYSTEMS
16.5 HCPV FRESNEL CONCENTRATOR SYSTEM
16.6 MULTIJUNCTION CELL HCPV SYSTEM
16.7 SUMMARY
17 CONCENTRATOR PHOTOVOLTAIC FIELD INSTALLATIONS
17.1 INTRODUCTION
17.2 PLANT INSTALLATION PROCEDURE
17.3 IEC 62108 TESTS
17.4 PROTOTYPE TESTS
17.5 PLANT ACCEPTANCE
17.6 RATING STANDARD
17.7 DC RATING (PLANT)
17.8 AC RATING (PLANT)
17.9 RESULTS
17.10 LESSON LEARNED
17.11 CONCLUSIONS
17.12 FUTURE WORKS
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Part IV: SOLAR CELLS IN SPACE
18 SPACE SOLAR CELLS AND APPLICATIONS
18.1 INTRODUCTION TO SPACE SOLAR CELLS
18.2 ARRAYS
18.3 INTEGRATED POWER SYSTEMS
18.4 POWER SYSTEM FIGURE OF MERIT
Part V: OTHER ASPECTS AND CONSIDERATIONS
19 SOLAR RESOURCE FOR SPACE AND TERRESTRIAL APPLICATIONS
19.1 INTRODUCTION
19.2 SOLAR RESOURCE IN SPACE
19.3 ATMOSPHERIC EFFECTS
19.4 SOLAR RESOURCE FOR TERRESTRIAL APPLICATIONS
19.5 CONCLUDING REMARKS
APPENDIX: SOURCES OF MEASURED OR MODELED SOLAR RADIATION DATA
20 SOLAR ENERGY COSTS: THE SOLAR ADVISOR MODEL
20.1 INTRODUCTION
20.2 LCOE
20.3 THE SAM SOFTWARE
20.4 ANALYSIS EXAMPLES
20.5 SUMMARY
21 CHALLENGES OF LARGE-SCALE SOLAR CELL ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION
21.1 INTRODUCTION
21.2 THE SCALE OF THE PROBLEM
21.3 SPACE AND TIME REQUIREMENTS
21.4 COST REQUIREMENTS AND FINANCING
21.5 TECHNOLOGICAL CHALLENGES
21.6 CONCLUSIONS
Part VI: THIN FILMS AND X-RAY IMAGER TECHNOLOGIES
22 MARKET OVERVIEW OF FLAT PANEL DETECTORS FOR X-RAY IMAGING
22.1 INTRODUCTION
22.2 MARKET HISTORY: FILM TO DR
22.3 APPLICATIONS
22.4 FLAT PANEL MARKET EVOLUTION
22.5 INDUSTRY LANDSCAPE
22.6 MARKET SUMMARY
22.7 FUTURE TRENDS
23 AMORPHOUS SILICON TRANSISTORS AND PHOTODIODES
23.1 INTRODUCTION
23.2 PROPERTIES OF a-Si
23.3 a-Si TFT
23.4 PHOTODIODES
23.5 TFTs AND PHOTODIODES IN SENSOR ARRAYS
23.6 NEW DEVELOPMENTS IN a-Si DEVICES
23.7 SUMMARY
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
24 AMORPHOUS SILICON DIGITAL X-RAY IMAGING
24.1 WHY a-Si?
24.2 DETECTOR CONSTRUCTION
24.3 THE p-i-n/TFT PIXEL
24.4 ELECTRONICS ARCHITECTURE
24.5 NOISE
24.6 LAG AND GAIN EFFECT
24.7 ALTERNATIVE ARCHITECTURES
24.8 SUMMARY
25 PHOTOCONDUCTOR DIGITAL X-RAY IMAGING
25.1 INTRODUCTION
25.2 GENERAL REQUIREMENTS FOR PHOTOCONDUCTOR MATERIALS USED FOR X-RAY DETECTION AND IMAGING
25.3 PHOTOCONDUCTOR IMAGERS
25.4 NEW DIRECTIONS
25.5 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION
Part VII: SUMMARY
26 SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS, AND RECOMMENDATIONS
26.1 PROGRESS
26.2 CURRENT STATUS
26.3 RECOMMENDATIONS
26.4 SUMMARY
26.5 FINAL OVERVIEW
Index
WILEY SERIES IN MICROWAVE AND OPTICAL ENGINEERING
SOLAR CELLS AND THEIR APPLICATIONS
WILEY SERIES IN MICROWAVE AND OPTICAL ENGINEERING
KAI CHANG, Editor
Texas A&M University
A complete list of the titles in this series appears at the end of this volume.
Copyright © 2010 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved
Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey
Published simultaneously in Canada
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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data:
Solar cells and their applications [edited by] Lewis Fraas, Larry Partain.—2nd ed.
p. cm.—(Wiley series in microwave and optical engineering)
ISBN 978-0-470-44633-1 (cloth)
ISBN 978-1-118-02405-8 (ebk)
1. Solar cells. I. Partain, L. D. II. Fraas, Lewis M.
TK2960.S652 2010
621.31'244—dc22
2010000196
Preface
This Second Edition is intended to be a comprehensive survey, review, and analysis of all the major factors related to the continuing technical development of solar cell electricity and its market development into a major worldwide source of electric power in response to powerful political and economic influences. It is divided into six major sections plus a Summary section including conclusions and recommendations.
In contrast to the First Edition, Part I contains three initial chapters written so that nonspecialists and the more general readers and investors and policy makers can follow their contents without the need for specialized training or understanding. The goal is to allow a broad spectrum of readers to at least comprehend the market history, the influence of public policy, the likely costs of solar cell-generated electricity, and the special role that near-perfect, single-crystal semiconductor fabrication materials can have on overall performance. Chapter 4 in this part, on Solar Cell Device Physics (like the First Edition), is again aimed at advanced undergraduate and graduate college courses and other technical professionals involved in teaching, research, and commercial development. It not only covers the traditional abrupt p/n junction configuration of the First Edition but also expands into the very non-abrupt p-i-n geometries that characterize a whole new class of high-performance solar cells including interdigitated back-contact cells, point-contact cells, and heterojunction-with-intrisinsic-thin-layer (HIT) cells. It further addresses the special resistive restrictions that can limit p-i-n-type device performance as well as proposed paths to performance levels well beyond 50% efficiency levels. However, to maintain a reasonable length, this physics chapter does use the First Edition as a reference.
Part II addresses the current state of terrestrial solar cell electricity technology and development programs. This includes the dominant crystalline silicon abrupt p/n junction devices and their large-scale fabrication and the emerging thin-film amorphous and polycrystalline semiconductor cells and modules. The amazing recent growth of the Chinese terrestrial solar cell program is presented in some detail. The potential advantages of tracking the sun are explored along with a detailed description of 3 years of field experience with fixed-axis crystalline silicon modules of 12% efficiency (under standard test conditions) in the Arizona desert. The emerging utility-scale installations are summarized along with their important cost-determining characteristics.
Part III attempts to present a comprehensive overview of the terrestrial concentrator approach to solar cell electricity production and its special advantages and challenges. This includes both low and high sunlight concentration levels with various system approaches as well as early results of small field tests at the University of Nevada and of substantial utility-scale field tests of multiple and varied concentrator systems in Spain.
Part IV takes a broad look at space systems and all of the unique approaches, needs, accomplishments, plans, and future needs for space.
Part V contains a chapter giving precise descriptions of the solar resource both terrestrially and in space. It also contains a chapter describing a sophisticated and detailed cost and performance model from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). This Solar Advisor Model is reviewed and summarized. Finally, the special challenges of large-scale solar electricity production are explored.
Part VI is a special four-chapter addition of the Second Edition that discusses how thin-film solar cells can be transformed into X-ray imaging devices when devices are reduced to submillimeter sizes and are aligned in columns and rows that are covered by a scintillator film that converts X-ray photons into visible light photons. If these are then attached to an array of the thin-film transistor switches, a flat-plate X-ray imager is produced. The market analysis of this whole X-ray imager field shows that its current market size of $2 billion per year should continuously evolve into a $15 billion per year wholesale market over the next 10 years or so as these devices continually improve in performance and drop in price.
The final chapter summarizes the amazing growth of this solar cell electricity technology and market over the 15 years since the publication of the First Edition. It provides recommendations for how major countries and unions can play major roles from both technology and public policy perspectives and how continuing cost reduction and improved performance demands should be met under both near- and medium-term time frames.
In summary, this book describes today’s baseline planar solar cell power systems as well as innovations in high-efficiency solar cells and concentrated sunlight systems that have occurred in the last 15 years, which now promise lower cost electricity competitive with other mainstream electric power sources.
In addition to describing these technical breakthroughs in clear and simple terms, this book also describes the path from research breakthrough to high-volume production, emphasizing the cooperation required between government and private enterprise. Given this cooperation, solar cells can be a major contributor to the electric power production mix within the next 10 years.
This book has been written for a large audience, not just a technical audience. It is hoped that any educated reader will find this book interesting, especially any reader who seeks to understand how the world’s energy supply problems can be increasingly addressed by exploiting direct solar energy resources available within a country’s borders. It further describes how most countries can start moving away from increasingly intense competition for decreasing depletable energy supplies and how they can continue moving toward a long-term, sustainable solution with inherently positive attributes.
The thesis of this book is that solar energy can be cost competitive with other forms of electric power production and that the technical innovations required for this have already been made. Incentives for investment are needed to bring these innovations into high-volume production. It is hoped that this book will help educate the public, possible investors, as well as policy makers worldwide about the potential for a bright sunny energy future.
Lewis Fraas
Issaquah, WA
Larry Partain
Mountain View, CA
Contributors
Sheila Bailey, NASA Glenn Research Center at Lewis Field, Space Environments and Experiments Branch, Cleveland, OH; email: [email protected]
Pedro Banda, Instituto de Sistemas Fotovoltaicos de Concentración (ISFOC) S.A., Puertollano (Ciudad Real), Spain; email: [email protected]
Andreas Bett, Fraunhofer Institut für Solare Energiesysteme (ISE), Freiburg, Germany; email: [email protected]
Robert Birkmire, Institute of Energy Conversion, University of Delaware, Newark, DE; email: [email protected]
Nathan Blair, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; email: [email protected]
Chuck Blouir, Varian Medical Systems, Cleveland, OH; email: [email protected]
Robert Boehm, Center for Energy Research, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, NV; email: [email protected]
Christopher Bunner, Spire Corporation, Bedford, MA; email: [email protected]
Christopher Cameron, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM; email: [email protected]
Matthew Campbell, Utility Power Plant Products, SunPower Corporation, Richmond, CA; email: [email protected]
Richard Colbeth, Varian Medical Systems, Mountain View, CA; email: [email protected]
Elmer Collins, Sandia National Laboratories, Microsystems Science & Technology, Albuquerque, NM; email: [email protected]
Ron Corio, Array Technologies, Inc., Albuquerque, NM; email: [email protected]
David Faiman, Department of Solar Energy and Environmental Physics, Jacob Blaustein Institutes for Desert Research, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Israel; email: [email protected]
Lewis Fraas, President, JX Crystals Inc., Issaquah, WA; email: [email protected]
Paul Gilman, Consultant, Chicago, IL; email: [email protected]
Christian A. Gueymard, Solar Consulting Services, Colebrook, NH; email: [email protected]
Geoffrey Kinsey, Amonix, Inc., Seal Beach, CA; email: [email protected]
Carl LaCasce, Varian Medical Systems, Salt Lake City, UT; email: [email protected]
Michael Ludowise, SolFocus, Inc., Mountain View, CA; email: [email protected]
María Martínez, Instituto de Sistemas Fotovoltaicos de Concentración (ISFOC) S.A., Puertollano (Ciudad Real), Spain; email: [email protected]
Larry Moore, Sandia National Laboratories, Microsystems Science & Technology, Albuquerque, NM
Daryl Myers, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; email: [email protected]
Larry Partain, Varian Medical Systems, Mountain View, CA; email: [email protected]
Gerhard Peharz, Fraunhofer Institut für Solare Energiesysteme (ISE), Freiburg, Germany; email: [email protected]
Ryne Raffaelle, U.S. Department of Energy, National Center for Photovoltaics, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO; email: [email protected]
Michael Reed, Array Technologies, Inc., Albuquerque, NM; email: [email protected]
Leonid Rubin, Day4 Energy Inc., Burnaby, BC, Canada; email: [email protected]
Francisca Rubio, Instituto de Sistemas Fotovoltaicos de Concentración (ISFOC) S.A., Puertollano (Ciudad Real), Spain; email: [email protected]
Suresh Sadineni, Center for Energy Research, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, Las Vegas, NV; email: [email protected]
Wang Sicheng, Energy Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commision, Beijing, China; email: [email protected]
Jason Strauch, Sandia National Laboratories, Integrated Microdevice Systems, Microsystems Science & Technology, Albuquerque, NM; email: [email protected]
Robert Street, Palo Alto Research Center, Palo Alto, CA; email: [email protected]
George Zentai, Ginzton Technology Center, Varian Medical Systems, Mountain View, CA; email: [email protected]
Part I: INTRODUCTION TO SOLAR CELLS
1
SOLAR CELLS: A BRIEF HISTORY AND INTRODUCTION
LEWIS FRAAS1 AND LARRY PARTAIN2
1JX Crystals Inc.,
2Varian Medical Systems
1.1 BRIEF HISTORY
The history of the solar cell is really quite interesting [1]. In 1839, Edmond Becquerel found that two different brass plates immersed in a liquid produced a continuous current when illuminated with sunlight. We now believe that he had made a copper-cuprous oxide thin-film solar cell. Later in the 1870s, Willoughby Smith, W. G. Adams, and R. E. Day discovered a PV effect in selenium. A few years later, an American named C. E. Fritts placed a sheet of amorphous selenium on a metal backing and covered the selenium with a transparent gold leaf film. He reported that this selenium array produced a current “that is continuous, constant, and of considerable force—with exposure to sunlight.” At the time, there was no quantum theory and there was considerable skepticism about his claim of converting sunlight into electricity. So he sent a sample to Werner Siemens in Germany, who was one of the most respected experts in electricity at the time. Siemens’s observation verified Fritts’s claims. However, the conversion efficiencies of both the thin-film cuprous oxide and the amorphous selenium solar cells were less than 1%.
Around 75 years passed while quantum mechanics was discovered, the importance of single-crystal semiconductors was recognized, and p/n junction behavior was explained (see Chapter 3). By 1954, Chapin et al. [2] at Bell Labs had discovered, invented, and demonstrated the silicon single-crystal solar cell with 6% efficiency. Over the few following years, researchers brought the silicon solar cell efficiency up to 15%. The timing was fortunate because Sputnik was launched in 1957 and solar cells were the perfect lightweight low-maintenance remote electric power source. Today, silicon solar cells are being used to power the space station.
The solar cell industry remained small until the first Arab oil embargo in 1973. Up until that time, the solar cell industry established a firm foothold with low-level but consistent cell and array production and performance. During those first 20 years, reliability was the driver and cost was not as important. After 1973, the flat-plate silicon module was brought down to earth and modified for weather resistance. This transition also included major improvements in cell and module fabrication that brought down costs dramatically (Fig. 2.3, chapter 2). Flat-plate “champion” silicon cell efficiencies (defined in Section 2.1, Chapter 2) have improved to values as high as 25%. Production module efficiencies have improved from around 10% for early modules to as high as 19% today (SunPower Corporation). Most important, annual production quantities have grown dramatically. Worldwide production exceeded 1 GW/year in 2002 and rose to over 3.8 GW/year by 2006 (Fig. 2.1, Chapter 2).
In the late 1970s, it was discovered that good cells could be made with multicrystalline wafers as long as the crystal size is at least 20 times larger than the optical absorption length [3]. Only those carriers within an optical absorption length from the crystal boundaries are lost. This is less than 5% of the carriers. Typical production quantity multicrystalline cell efficiencies are around 14%, whereas comparable single-crystal cells have efficiencies around 15%. By 2007, modules with multicrystalline cells accounted for about 45% of sales and modules with single-crystal cells accounted for about 40% of sales. Planar silicon cell modules dominated the market in 2007 because of their early well-funded foundation years for space satellites and their huge learning curve support (Fig. 2.3, Chapter 2) from single-crystal silicon and integrated circuit technology development.
While silicon-based cells still dominate the solar cell electricity market today, several other cell types have now entered the market. (Solar cells are also known as PV cells.) These newer cell types have added diversity in potential applications as well as offered alternate paths to lower-cost solar electric power. These alternate cell types include hydrogenated amorphous silicon, cadmium teluride and CIGS thin-film cells (Chapter 6), as well as concentrator cells with efficiencies as high as 41% (Chapters 13–17).
1.2 APPLICATIONS AND MARKETS
In the late 1970s and early 1980s, the traditional solar cell electricity applications [4] were at remote locations where utility power was unavailable, for example, campers and boats, temporary power needs for disaster situations, and power for remote communication station repeaters. In the late 1980s and early 1990s, solar cells began to be routinely used to provide site-specific energy for urban and suburban homes, office buildings, and a multitude of other mainstream grid-connected applications. Also, solar cell electricity systems have become very important sources of energy in the developing world. Today, for an increasing number of power needs, solar cell electricity is the cheapest and best way to generate electricity.
In addition to the solar power arrays on space satellites, there are now many different types of PV systems used here on Earth including
1. remote stand-alone without battery storage,
2. remote stand-alone with battery storage,
3. small modules for calculators and toys,
4. residential grid connected with DC to AC inverter,
5. commercial grid connected with inverters, and
6. PV fields for utility power generation.
Remote solar water pumping is a nice example of stand-alone solar cell electricity where batteries are not needed. Solar water pumping is very desirable for crop irrigation, livestock watering, and clean water for remote villages. Solar water pumping systems are now installed around the world. The nice thing about this application is that underground water is pumped when the sun is shining. It can be immediately used for crop irrigation. In other areas, it can be pumped into tanks for livestock to drink. In third world countries, pumping underground water for people to drink provides cleaner water than surface water thereby limiting disease. This application is quite economical because the system is simple. Battery storage or DC to AC conversion is not necessary. Simple solar trackers are used to maximize pumping time. The electric motors driving the pumps have a threshold current that must be provided before they will operate. By tracking the sun, this power is provided from dawn to dusk, not just at around noon as would be the case without tracking. Another application where there is a good match with demand is for air conditioning in developed countries like the United States.
For many remote applications, storage is needed to store electric energy for when it is needed. Examples of these applications include off-grid cabins and remote communication repeater stations. For most solar cell applications where storage is needed, secondary or storage batteries are the best alternative. Generally, batteries should be deep discharge batteries such as marine batteries or motive power batteries. Forklift trucks and golf carts use large-capacity deep discharge batteries that are designed for long life and many discharge cycles. In addition to batteries, combination systems can be used to compensate for the fact that the sun does not always shine. A solar/wind combination is particularly good since quite often, either one or the other is available. Another combination system can be a solar–thermal cell electricity system. In this case, solar cells are located on your roof for generating electricity in the summer and infrared-sensitive PV cells (also known as TPV cells) are integrated into your heating furnace to generate electricity when it is cold and dark outside and you need heat to keep warm. In a TPV cell electricity system, a ceramic element is heated in the furnace flame and its glow in the infrared is converted to electricity by infrared-sensitive TPV cells [5].
Solar-powered calculators are another familiar application for solar cells. While the efficiencies of amorphous silicon solar cells are much lower than either single or multicrystalline cells, an advantage for thin-film cells is that they can be made with cell interconnections built into the process. This means that for applications like powering calculators where voltage but little current is required to run the calculator, amorphous silicon circuits are preferred to save on the cost of interconnecting multiple cells to provide voltage. Credit is due to the Japanese for recognizing this advantage and to the inventors of the amorphous silicon solar cell for making solar cells a common household item [6].
Today, more and more homes on the grid are using solar cell arrays to generate electricity to save on costs of peak electric power. The passage of the PURPA by the U.S. Congress made it possible for a small producer to install generating systems and to sell the power to the utility at a favorable price without the enormous amount of red tape usually required of a new electric power producer. Most states have now also passed net metering laws that allow the electric meter at a home to run both directions. However, at least in California, the utility charge can at most be reduced to zero and they never pay any net money to their customers who produce more electricity than they consume. This allows homeowners generating solar cell electricity to send energy to the grid if they are producing excess electricity with a credit from the utility so that they can use electric power from the grid on days without sufficient sunlight. An example of real cost savings with a solar cell electricity installation for a homeowner in San Jose, California, is shown in Figure 1.1 [7]. Figure 1.1 is for an actual case in 2003. Note in this figure that the utility electric rates are staged. While the homeowner pays a base rate of 13¢ per kilowatt hour that in itself is well above the national average. More importantly, the homeowner is paying twice that or 26¢ per kilowatt hour for his peak power. So his solar electric system is saving him money at the 26¢ per kilowatt hour rate.
Figure 1.1. When electric utility rates are staged, a homeowner with solar can displace electricity at the peak power rate as illustrated here. This example was originally presented by Akeena Solar on their web site in 2003 and then published in reference [7].
While the grid-connected solar cell electricity market started with residential customers, commercial customers are now starting to use solar arrays on their flat building rooftops. Figure 1.2 shows a photograph of two 1-kW solar cell arrays on a flat rooftop in Spokane, Washington. These arrays are mounted on carousel solar trackers (Chapter 9).
Figure 1.2. Two-kilowatt PV array from JX Crystals Inc on a commercial building flat rooftop.
People have been dreaming of the potential of solar cell electricity systems as a major electric power source for over 100 years. Now with the existence of solar power fields such as the one in China shown in Figure 1.3, this dream is becoming reality.
Figure 1.3. Solar cell electricity generating field in Shanghai, China. System designed by JX Crystals Inc.
1.3 TYPES OF SOLAR CELLS AND MODULES
Unfortunately, solar cell electricity is still too expensive for widespread economical use (Section 2.4, Chapter 2). While it is hoped that traditional crystalline silicon module prices will continue to fall, there are other alternatives under development as shown in Figure 1.4.
Figure 1.4. Alternate PV module types: (a) standard silicon single-crystal module fabrication, crystal to ingot to wafer to module; (b) concentrator module fabrication, smaller single-crystal cells with mirrors (shown) or lens array; and (c) thin-film module, spray-on successive noncrystalline films.
Figure 1.4 shows the three types of solar modules in use today [8]. The upper section (Figure 1.4a) of this figure shows the planar single-crystal silicon modules and fabrication procedure. This approach dominates the solar market today with over 85% of solar modules sold. As shown in Figure 1.5, retail module prices have been falling dramatically recently. Wholesale module prices are substantially lower than retail prices. The silicon cell cost accounts for about 75% of the module cost with the cost of the glass, frame, junction box, and labor accounting for the remaining approximately 25%.
Figure 1.5. Solar module prices for small, medium, and large volumes from 1985 through 2009. All values in then current dollars without inflation adjustments (from Photovoltaics World, September 2009).
The lower section of Figure 1.4c shows a thin-film module. This concept is attractive because thin films require up to 100× less semiconductor material and offer a promise of lower costs per watt. Since single-crystal material is expensive, why not replace it with inexpensive thin films? The challenge is accommodating their lack of crystallinity. The latter degrades conversion efficiency, which, if too severe, limits their abilities to compete economically in the marketplace (Figs. 2.8 and 2.9 and accompanying text, Chapter 2). An appeal of multicrystalline silicon solar cells is that they offer lower manufacturing costs while still maintaining a conversion efficiency at least two-thirds that of the single-crystal ones [9] of similar Jet Propulsion Laboratory-like configurations (see Chapter 2). However, there are other useful thin-film applications, particularly for amorphous silicon, where its unique properties offer particular advantages and where high quantum efficiency but not high light conversion efficiency is a dominant factor. An example of this is use of amorphous silicon cells in medical imaging (Chapters 22–25) as shown in Figure 1.6. Here, the complete absence of crystallinity in amorphous silicon provides strong radiation damage resistance, and its higher bandgap (than crystalline silicon) gives lower dark currents. These are two strong advantages in the field of flat-plate, digital X-ray imagers that have almost totally replaced analog X-ray film. Recently, amorphous silicon imagers have also begun to displace many of the vacuum tube-based image intensifiers traditionally used in X-ray fluoroscopy. Both X-ray film and intensifier fluoroscopy replacements typically use a thin scintillator film to convert the incident X-ray photons into visible light that the underlying amorphous silicon cells efficiently convert into electronic signals that are readily digitized. Frequently, the amorphous silicon solar cells (or pixels) measure a few hundred microns on a side, and millions of them form the rows and columns of a single X-ray imager plate. Such plates provide the digitized X-ray images at up to 30 frames/s and higher.
Figure 1.6. Medical imaging system using amorphous silicon solar cell modules.
The difficulty with module approaches (a) and (c) in Figure 1.4 is that one tries to obtain both low cost and high efficiency with the same element. In the approach shown in Figure 1.4b, one separates the two requirements of low cost and high performance into two separate elements. The single-crystal cells are the high-efficiency converters used sparingly, while mirrors or lenses are used to concentrate the sunlight onto the cells. The aluminum mirrors (or alternately glass or plastic lenses) are relativley inexpensive. For the case shown in Figure 1.4b, the cell cost is halved. The aluminum mirrors cost at least 10 times less than the single-crystal cells. In this approach, the sunlight is concentrated onto the expensive high-efficiency single-crystal cells diluting their cost. This approach is now termed CPV. In Figure 1.4b, the sunlight intensity on the cell is doubled; that is, the concentration ratio is 2. Chapter 12 describes a configuation similar to the mirror configuration in Figure 1.4b with a concentration ratio of 3. Various concentration ratios are possible up to as high as 1000. A negative for this approach is that the modules must be aimed at the sun using solar trackers. Trackers by themselves are not a negative as the additional kilowatt per hour per installed kilowatt pays for the trackers. However, when high-concentration optical elements are used, only the direct sunlight is collected. This limits CPV to very sunny locations. However, in any case, solar cell electricity in general will be most economical first in very sunny locations such as the Southwestern United States.
1.4 ARGUMENTS FOR SOLAR CELL ELECTRIC POWER
While solar cell electricity is still expensive today, there are three strong arguments for national programs to accelerate its transition into a mainstream power source. The first argument is that there is a logical path for future lower costs for solar electricity. There are three simple steps that will lead to lower cost given development and manufacturing scale-up. These steps are based on technical breakthroughs that have now been made.
In step 1, given that the cost of solar electricity today (August 2009) is about 20¢ per kilowatt hour (Solarbuzz) for commercial-sized systems for fixed flat-plate systems in the sunny Southwestern United States, by implementing solar trackers where the modules continuously point at the sun, one can gain 1.3 times more kilowatt hour per installed kilowatt, reducing the cost of solar electricity to about 16¢ per kilowatt hour. This is already being done as evidenced in Figures 1.2 and 1.3 [10].
Step 2 is then to decrease the module cost while maintaining its performance by using lower-cost optical elements as shown in Figure 1.4b. This CPV approach by itself can potentially reduce the system cost for solar electricity to under 10¢ per kilowatt hour (see Chapter 12) [10].
In step 3, one then increases the module efficiency in the CPV approach to well over 20%. As described in Chapter 3, this should reduce the cost of solar electricity still further. “Champion” CPV module efficiencies as high as 31% [11] have now been demonstrated including the one shown in Figure 1.7. While logic suggests these lower costs, this will depend on funding for manufacturing scale-up and government top-down commitment.
Figure 1.7. Prototype CPV module with demonstrated outdoor module efficiency of 31%.
Actually, there are multiple approaches for CPV ranging from LCPV systems using linear mirrors with silicon cells as shown in Figure 1.4b to HCPV systems with newer semiconductor materials [12] such as the one shown in Figure 1.7. These LCPV and HCPV systems will be described in more detail in Chapters 12–17.
Of course, while the above three steps can be implemented, this still requires investment and political commitment. This leads us to our next two arguments in favor of national programs to accelerate the penetration of solar cell electricity into the mainstream energy mix.
The second reason relates to the fact that oil and natural gas resources are being depleted. Quoting from Kenneth Deffeyes’s [13] book titled Hubbert’s Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage, “In 1956, the geologist M. King Hubbert predicted that U. S. oil production would peak in the early 1970s. Almost everyone inside and outside the oil industry rejected Hubbert’s analysis. The controversy raged until 1970 when the U.S. production of crude oil started to fall. Around 1995, several analysts began applying Hubbert’s method to world oil production, and most of them estimated that the peak year for world oil will be between 2004 and 2008. These analyses were reported in some of the most widely circulated sources: Nature, Science, and Scientific American” [14]. The 2008 peaking of world oil prices to record levels above $140 per barrel seems to support these predictions. The war in Iraq that began in 2003 was likely influenced, at least in part by the shortage of proven U.S. oil and natural gas reserves that could only last 3.0 and 7.5 years, respectively, should the United States have to depend only on its own reserves [15].
The consequence of this “impending world oil shortage” is that electricity prices are going to be rising probably abruptly within the next 5–10 years. This affects the economics of solar cell electricity as solar modules based on semiconductor devices will last for 25 years or longer. Today’s cost competition calculations for solar cell electricity usually assume a short-term payback and non-escalating energy prices.
The third argument in favor of bringing solar cell electricity into the mainstream is the environmental and moral argument. It is desirable to avoid global warming as well as oil related war.
When one thinks about conventional electric power production, one thinks about oil, natural gas, nuclear, and coal as fuel sources. Solar cell electricity is not on this list because it is currently too expensive. However, these conventional fuel sources have hidden unintentional costs.
For example, nuclear fuels are coupled with nuclear waste management and nuclear weapons. Then nuclear waste and nuclear weapons are coupled with the cost of homeland security and our fear of weapons of mass destruction. There are hidden costs involved in attempting to guarantee that nuclear materials do not find their way into the hands of terrorists.
Another example of hidden costs is the world’s dependence on oil from the Middle East that is linked unavoidably, particularly in the United States and in other developed countries, with terrorists from the Middle East. It can arguably be claimed that wars have now been fought in the Middle East to secure oil supplies.
In contrast to the unintended costs just enumerated, consider solar energy. Solar energy is inevitable on the larger scale of time. Solar energy is really already a primary energy source through wind and hydroelectricity. Solar energy generated our coal, oil, and natural gas via photosynthesis a hundred million years ago. Solar cells are very much more efficient than plants at converting sunlight to useful energy. Finally, solar energy is benign and will benefit the whole world.
1.5 ABOUT THIS BOOK
The first edition of this book [16] was published in 1995 and can serve as a reference for this second edition. This second edition is divided into four main parts. Part I is an introduction to the current markets, cell and module types, and the physics of solar cell operation. The solar cell electricity market has grown appreciably over the last 14 years as described in Chapter 2. The basics of solar cell operation are presented for single-crystal cells and for thin-film cells in Chapters 3 and 4.
Part II of this book focuses on the status of solar cell systems today. Single and multicrystalline silicon and thin-film cells and modules are described in Chapters 5 and 6. Over the last 3 years, silicon module automated manufacturing is coming online with the promising major cost reductions. The traditional and currently dominant silicon module manufacturing, now with automation, is described in Chapter 7. Also, over the last 3 years, China has made a major commitment to solar module manufacturing, and the status of solar electricity in China is described in Chapter 8. A major cost reduction for solar cell electricity comes through the use of solar trackers as described in Chapter 9. Large multi-MW solar cell field installations are then described in Chapters 10 and 11.
Part III of this book then describes newer concentrated solar cell and system developments. Chapters 12–17 describe various concentrator solar cell electricity (also known as CPV) modules and system types and installations. Major developments have been taking place here over the last 3 years and that potentially could lead to major cost reductions over the next 5 years.
While it remains to be seen if thin-film solar modules can produce electricity at rates competitive with other mainstream electricity generating technologies, nevertheless, amorphous silicon thin-film panels have found a place in other applications and in major markets like flat panel displays and medical imagers. The fourth part of this book describes successful applications of thin film technology as a spin-off from solar cell electricity. Chapters 22–25 then discuss the newest and rapidly growing applications of amorphous silicon thin films in X-ray imaging.
The issue of the cost of solar cell electricity, solar modules, and solar systems is a very important subject addressed from various points of view in Chapters 2, 3, 10, 11, 20, and 26. Many believe that solar electricity prices will drop as a result of the recent investments in thin-film module manufacturing, and it is true that thin-film module prices have fallen. However, conversion efficiencies for these commercially available thin-film modules are still under 10%, and this means that 2.5–3.0 times more module area needs to be deployed relative to modules with over 19% conversion efficiencies. So, costs need to be compared at the system level, not just at the module level. Furthermore, the focus needs to be on the cost of the electricity produced in cents per kilowatt hour, not just the hardware cost.
A summary and conclusions are presented in Chapter 26. Features that distinguish this second edition from the first edition are the much larger number of solar field installations and the major advances in the concentrator arena using very high-efficiency cells as well as the advances in other novel uses of thin-film modules. The current magnitude and momentum of the solar cell electricity market development (as summarized in Chapter 2) makes its eventual success both inevitable and unstoppable. This is due to the certainty of its future development path with its inherent, major advantages along with the worldwide spread of the scientific knowledge and the manufacturing and engineering know-how (covered in Chapters 3–18), plus the national commitments (alluded to in the Public Policy section of Chapter 2) that will turn promise into reality. World fossil fuel energy production rates will decline in the near to medium time frames, and the current lifestyles of the developed world cannot continue without appropriate replacements. Thus, it is no longer a question of whether this solar cell electricity power transition will occur but one of who will lead this process, who will reap the most benefits, and on what time scale it will occur.
ABBREVIATIONS
AC—alternating currentCIGS—copper indium gallium deselenideCPV—concentrating photovoltaicDC—direct currentHCPV—high-concentration photovoltaicLCPV—low-concentration photovoltaicMW—megawattPURPA—Public Utilities Regulatory Power ActPV—photovoltaicTPV—thermophotovoltaicREFERENCES
[1] J. Perlin. From Space to Earth, the Story of Solar Electricity. Ann Arbor, MI, AATEC Publications (1999).
[2] D. M. Chapin, C. S. Fuller, and G. L. Pearson. A new silicon p-n junction photocell for converting solar radiation into electrical power. J. Appl. Phys. 25, 676 (1954).
[3] H. C. Card, and E. S. Yang. IEEE-TED 24, 397 (1977).
[4] R. J. Komp. Practical Photovoltaics, 3rd edition, revised. Ann Arbor, MI, AATEC Publications (2001).
[5] L. M. Fraas, J. E. Avery, and H. X. Huang. Thermophotovoltaic furnace-generator for the home using low bandgap GaSb cells. Semicond. Sci. Technol. 18, S247 (2003).
[6] D. E. Carlson and C. R. Wronski. Appl. Phys. Lett. 28, 671 (1976).
[7] L. M. Fraas. Akeena Solar example cited in Chapter 2, p. 15, in Path to Affordable Solar Electric Power and the 35% Efficient Solar Cell, Issaquah, WA, JX Crystals Inc. (2004).
[8] L. M. Fraas. Path to Affordable Solar Electric Power & The 35% Efficient Solar Cell. Available at http://www.jxcrystals.com/ (2004).
[9] M. A. Green. Solar cell efficiency tables (version 29), Prog. Photovolt. Res. Appl. 15, 15–40 (2007).
[10] L. M. Fraas, J. Avery, L. Minkin, H. X. Huang, A. Gehl, and C. Maxey. Carousel trackers with 1-Sun or 3-Sun modules for commercial building rooftops. Presented at the Solar 2008 Conference, May 6, 2008, San Diego, CA (2008).
[11] L. M. Fraas, J. Avery, H. Huang, L. Minkin, and E. Shifman. Demonstration of a 33% efficient Cassegrainian solar module. Presented at 4th World Conference on PV, May 7–12, Hawaii (2006).
[12] L. M. Fraas and R. C. Knechtli. Design of high efficiency monolithic stacked multijunction solar cells. In IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, 13th, Washington, D.C., June 5–8, 1978, Conference Record (A79-40881 17-44). New York, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc., pp. 886–891 (1978).
[13] K. S. Deffeyes. Hubbert’s Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage. Princeton, NJ, Princeton University Press (2001).
[14] C. A. Campbell and J. H. Laherrere. The end of cheap oil. Sci. Am. March, 78 (1998).
[15] www.BP.com web site has a section entitled “BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2003.” This site has country and regional proven reserves and consumption data for both oil and natural gas.
[16] L. D. Partain, ed. Solar Cells and Their Applications, 1st edition. New York, John Wiley & Sons (1995).
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