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- Herausgeber: John Wiley & Sons
- Kategorie: Fachliteratur
- Serie: Wiley Trading Series
- Sprache: Englisch
Look to the stars for a whole new approach to market cycle forecasting
A Trader's Guide to Financial Astrology is the definitive guide to trading market cycles based on astrological data. Written by a highly-respected technical analyst, this book makes the connection between the movements of planets and the volatility of the market. Readers can draw upon one hundred years of historical data as they learn how to spot correlations from the past, and refer to planetary and lunar data for the next five years as they shape their own strategy. The book covers the principles of astrological forecasting as applied to the financial markets, explaining what to watch for and how to interpret planetary and lunar activity, plus expert insight on everyday practical application.
A study by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta determined that the U.S. stock markets tend to be negatively affected by geomagnetic storms, and the Royal Bank of Scotland demonstrated that a trading system based on the phases of the moon would have outperformed the market. A Trader's Guide to Financial Astrology shows traders how to tap into the planetary forces that influence market activity. Readers will:
- Learn how planetary and lunar movements relate to the financial markets
- Draw upon 100 years of historic correlations and five years of forecast data
- Forecast long-term and short-term activity based on planetary relationships and lunar movement
- Enter the markets at key turning points, using price patterns and other tools
When integrated with technical trading patterns, astrology can be an effective way of shifting perspective and approaching the market differently. For traders who have always wanted to know what to do when Mercury is in retrograde or the moon is new, A Trader's Guide to Financial Astrology provides information and insight from a leading market educator.
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Seitenzahl: 273
Veröffentlichungsjahr: 2015
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A TRADER’S GUIDE TO FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY
The Wiley Trading series features books by traders who have survived the market’s ever changing temperament and have prospered—some by reinventing systems, others by getting back to basics. Whether a novice trader, professional or somewhere in-between, these books will provide the advice and strategies needed to prosper today and well into the future. For more on this series, visit our website at www.WileyTrading.com.
Founded in 1807, John Wiley & Sons is the oldest independent publishing company in the United States. With offices in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia, Wiley is globally committed to developing and marketing print and electronic products and services for our customers’ professional and personal knowledge and understanding.
A TRADER’S GUIDE TO FINANCIAL ASTROLOGY
Forecasting Market Cycles Using Planetary and Lunar Movements
Larry PesaventoShane Smoleny
Cover image: © iStock.com Cover design: Wiley
Copyright © 2015 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey.
Published simultaneously in Canada.
No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978) 750-8400, fax (978) 646-8600, or on the Web at www.copyright.com. Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, (201) 748-6011, fax (201) 748-6008, or online at www.wiley.com/go/permissions.
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ISBN 9781118369395 (Paperback)
ISBN 9781118420553 (ePDF)
ISBN 9781118417027 (ePub)
CONTENTS
Foreword
Preface
Acknowledgments
Chapter 1: Introduction
Introduction
Purpose of the Book
Brief Historical Background
Theory of Financial Astrology
Summary
Chapter 2: Planets
Introduction
Planets
Summary
Chapter 3: Zodiac Signs
Introduction
Zodiac Signs
Determining the Meaning of Signs
Precession
Discovery of New Constellations
Summary
Chapter 4: Planetary Position Coordinate System
Introduction
Planet Positions
Summary
Chapter 5: Transiting Aspects
Introduction
Transiting Aspects
Grouping Planetary Energies
Key Aspect Angles
Key Sun-Moon Aspects
Putting It All Together: How Astrology Works
Summary
Chapter 6: Visual Representation of Transits
Introduction
Visual Representations of Planetary Aspects and Alignments
Orb of Influence
Conjunction
Visual Strength of Aspect versus Peak Event
Overlapping Asymmetrical Aspects Flare Up
Retrograde Motion of Planets Making a Transit
Summary
Chapter 7: Introduction to Cycles and Transits for Forecasting
Introduction
Defining a Cycle
Advantages and Disadvantages of Cycles
Use of Transits to Forecast Markets
Summary
Chapter 8: Testing the Effect of the New Moon on the Market
Introduction
Case Study: The Sun and the Moon
How an Efficiency Test Works
Efficiency Test: Dow Jones Behavior around the New Moon from 1885 to 2013
Walk Forward Analysis
Summary
Chapter 9: Verification of Planetary Meanings and Transits
Introduction
Verification of Planetary Meanings Using Cycles
The Moon/Poseidon Cycle
Verification of Transits in Financial Markets
Past Issues with Accuracy and Financial Markets
Summary
Chapter 10: Financial Forecasting Using Solar Cycles
Introduction
Types of Cycles
Summary
Chapter 11: Financial Forecasting Using Lunar Cycles
Introduction
Moon versus Sun Cycle (Angle) for Dow Jones since 1885
Moon versus Sun Cycle (Angle) Matched to Angle Key Turning Points
Moon versus Sun Cycle (Angle) for Dow Jones since 2009 with Quantitative Easing
Moon versus Sign Cycle for S&P 500 since 1950
Moon versus Sign Cycle for S&P 500 since 2009
Conclusion
Appendix A: Full Moon, New Moon Dates
Appendix B: Bradley Barometer
2015–2024
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
Appendix C: Sun/Moon Lunar Cycles
Sun/Moon Lunar Cycle 2015 for S&P 500 Since 1950
Sun/Moon Lunar Cycle 2016 for S&P 500 Since 1950
Sun/Moon Lunar Cycle 2017 for S&P 500 Since 1950
Sun/Moon Lunar Cycle 2018 for S&P 500 Since 1950
Sun/Moon Lunar Cycle 2019 for S&P 500 Since 1950
Sun/Moon Lunar Cycle 2020 for S&P 500 Since 1950
Sun/Moon Lunar Cycle 2021 for S&P 500 Since 1950
Sun/Moon Lunar Cycle 2022 for S&P 500 Since 1950
Sun/Moon Lunar Cycle 2023 for S&P 500 Since 1950
Sun/Moon Lunar Cycle 2024 for S&P 500 Since 1950
Appendix D: It’s Not What You Think, It’s How You Think!
Index
End User License Agreement
List of Tables
Chapter 7
TABLE 7.1
Chapter 8
Table 8.1
Table 8.2
Chapter 10
Table 10.1
Table 10.2
List of Illustrations
Chapter 2
Figure 2.1 The Sun
Figure 2.2 Mercury
Figure 2.3 Venus
Figure 2.4 The Moon
Figure 2.5 Mars
Figure 2.6 Jupiter
Figure 2.7 Saturn
Figure 2.8 Uranus
Figure 2.9 Neptune
Figure 2.10 Pluto
Figure 2.11 Cupido
Figure 2.12 Hades
Figure 2.13 Zeus
Figure 2.14 Kronos
Figure 2.15 Apollon
Figure 2.16 Admetos
Figure 2.17 Vulcanus
Figure 2.18 Poseidon
Chapter 3
Figure 3.1 Signs as Geometric regions of Space
Figure 3.2 Aries
Figure 3.3 Taurus
Figure 3.4 Gemini
Figure 3.5 Cancer
Figure 3.6 Leo
Figure 3.7 Virgo
Figure 3.8 Libra
Figure 3.9 Scorpio
Figure 3.10 Sagittarius
Figure 3.11 Capricorn
Figure 3.12 Aquarius
Figure 3.13 Pisces
Figure 3.14 Summary of the Sign Characteristics
Chapter 4
Figure 4.1 Defining the Aries Point
Figure 4.2 Zero Degrees of Aries
Figure 4.3 Defining Cancer in Reference to Aries Point
Figure 4.4 Defining Libra in Reference to Aries Point
Figure 4.5 Defining Capricorn in Reference to Aries Point
Figure 4.6 Defining Planetary Position in Reference to the Current Sign
Chapter 5
Figure 5.1 Venus-Sun Superconjunction (June 5, 2012)
Figure 5.2 Conjunction Aspect between Two Planets
Figure 5.3 Overcoming Activation Energy
Figure 5.4 Sextile Aspect between Two Planets
Figure 5.5 Trine Aspect between Two Planets
Figure 5.6 Square Aspect between Two Planets
Figure 5.7 Opposition Aspect between Two Planets
Figure 5.8 Saturn Opposition of Uranus during the 2008 Financial Meltdown
Figure 5.9 Aspect Polarity
Figure 5.10 Table of Aspect Meanings
Figure 5.11 Aspect Positions on 360-Degree Wheel
Figure 5.12 Zodiac 360-Degree Wheel View of Sun and (New Moon)
Figure 5.13 Zodiac 360-Degree Wheel View of Sun and Moon (Waxing Square)
Figure 5.14 Zodiac 360-Degree Wheel View of Sun and Moon (Opposition)
Figure 5.15 Zodiac 360-Degree Wheel View of Sun and Moon (Waning Square)
Figure 5.16 How Astrology Works
Chapter 6
Figure 6.1 Visual Representation of Longitude
Figure 6.2 Isometric View of Longitudinal Relationships
Figure 6.3 Visual Appearance of Declination
Figure 6.4 Top View of Longitudinal Angles
Figure 6.5 Visual Representation of Orb Interactions
Figure 6.6 Visual Representation of Conjunction
Figure 6.7 Visual Representation of Superconjunction
Figure 6.8 Strength of Aspect versus Time
Figure 6.9 Slow-Building Tension of a Peak Transit
Figure 6.10 Strength of Aspect versus Time of Two Overlapping Transits
Figure 6.11 Strength of Aspect versus Time of Overlapping Transits (Peak Transit Zone)
Figure 6.12 Strength of Aspect versus Time of Overlapping Transits (Superposition)
Figure 6.13 Overlap of a Trigger Planet on a Slower Building Transit
Figure 6.14 Strength of Aspect versus Time of Overlapping Transits (Asymmetrical Peak)
Figure 6.15 Strength of Aspect versus Time of a Retrograde Transit
Figure 6.16 Strength of Aspect versus Time of a Retrograde Transit (Peak Zone)
Figure 6.17 Retrograde Motion of a Planet across the Peak of an Aspect
Chapter 7
Figure 7.1 Basic Sine Wave Cycle
Figure 7.2 Financial Astrology Cycle by Aspect
Figure 7.3 Financial Astrology Cycle by Position or Signs
Figure 7.4 How Transits Affect Markets
Chapter 8
Figure 8.1 Daily Chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (1885–2013)
Figure 8.2 Efficiency Test Results of Market Behavior around the New Moon (1885–2013)
Figure 8.3 Efficiency Test around New Moon for Dow Jones 1895–1900
Figure 8.4 Efficiency Test around New Moon for Dow Jones 1900–1910
Figure 8.5 Efficiency Test around New Moon for Dow Jones 1910–1920
Figure 8.6 Efficiency Test around New Moon for Dow Jones 1920–1930
Figure 8.7 Efficiency Test around New Moon for Down Jones 1930–1940
Figure 8.8 Efficiency Test around New Moon for Dow Jones 1940–1950
Figure 8.9 Efficiency Test around New Moon for Dow Jones 1950–1960
Figure 8.10 Efficiency Test around New Moon for Dow Jones 1960–1970
Figure 8.11 Efficiency Test around New Moon for Dow Jones 1970–1980
Figure 8.12 Efficiency Test around New Moon for Dow Jones 1980–1990
Figure 8.13 Efficiency Test around New Moon for Dow Jones 1990–2000
Figure 8.14 Efficiency Test around New Moon for Dow Jones 2000–2005
Figure 8.15 Efficiency Test around New Moon for Dow Jones 2005–2013
Figure 8.16 Efficiency Test around New Moon Summary Graph
Chapter 9
Figure 9.1 Rising Markets into Mars Conjuct Apollon
Figure 9.2 Sinking Markets into Mars Conjunct Admetos
Figure 9.3 Rising Markets into Venus Conjunct Jupiter
Figure 9.4 Falling Markets into Venus Conjunct Saturn
Figure 9.5 Rising Markets into Moon Conjunct Cupido
Figure 9.6 Falling Markets into Moon Conjunct Hades
Figure 9.7 Rising Markets into Moon Conjunct Zeus
Figure 9.8 Rising Markets into Moon Conjunct Kronos
Figure 9.9 Rising Markets into Moon Conjunct Apollon
Figure 9.10 Falling Markets into Moon Conjunct Admetos
Figure 9.11 Rising Markets into Moon Conjunct Vulcanus
Figure 9.12 Rising Markets into Moon Conjunct Poseidon
Figure 9.13 The Bradley versus the Dow 2001–2004
Figure 9.14 The Bradley versus the Dow 1929–1933
Figure 9.15 The Bradley versus the Dow 1986–1989
Figure 9.16 Combined Transits versus S&P Futures Summer Crash 2011
Figure 9.17 Aspect Classifications
Figure 9.18 Transit Analysis
Chapter 10
Figure 10.1 Examples of Cycles
Figure 10.2 Interpreting a Basic Solar Cycle Graph
Figure 10.3 Key Turning Dates of Solar Cycle since 1885
Figure 10.4 U.S. Chart in Relation to Cardinal Points
Figure 10.5 Axiom: April Earnings Report (since 1885)
Figure 10.6 Axiom: Sell in May and Go Away (since 1885)
Figure 10.7 Axiom: Summer Rally (since 1885)
Figure 10.8 Axiom: Fall Crash Cycle (since 1885)
Figure 10.9 Axiom: Santa Claus Rally (since 1885)
Figure 10.10 Axiom: The January Effect (since 1885)
Figure 10.11 Axiom: The Ides of March (since 1885)
Chapter 11
Figure 11.1 Moon versus Sun Cycle (Angle): Key Turning Points for Dow Jones (1885–2013)
Figure 11.2 Moon versus Sun Cycle Matches to Angle: Key Turning Points (1885–2013)
Figure 11.3 Moon versus Sun Cycle (Angle): Key Turning Points for Dow Jones since 2009
Figure 11.4 Moon versus Sign Cycle: Key Turning Points for S&P 500 since 1950
Figure 11.5 Moon versus Sign Cycle: Key Turning Points for S&P 500 since 2009
Guide
Cover
Table of Contents
Preface
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CHAPTER 1
Introduction
■ Introduction
This chapter will provide a brief historical background on the concept of astrology. Then the basic concept of financial astrology will be introduced.
Key Concept Questions
What is the purpose of this book?
What is astrology?
What is financial astrology?
How is astrology like a clock?
Why is it important to have a working knowledge of astrology to pursue financial astrology?
Why is financial astrology easier to prove than personal astrology?
How can astrology affect financial markets?
What does financial astrology guarantee?
Who were some popular early astrologers in America?
How does Newton’s second law apply to astrology?
■ Purpose of the Book
The purpose of this book is to introduce basics concepts of astrology and financial astrology to lay the framework for future applications. This book will be the first in a series to show a clear relationship between what’s happening up in the sky with the planets and equity market behavior here on Earth.
So what exactly is astrology? Astrology is the study of the relationships between movements and interactions of the planets and human behavior. Financial astrology is the study of the link between the movements and interactions of the planets with market behavior. There are many different ways to look at financial astrology. But no matter how one looks at it, time and time again clear patterns emerge showing distinct market correlations to planetary behavior.
This book will begin by giving one a basic background on astronomy and astrology. Then the application to financial markets will be introduced. It is important to lay the foundation from both perspectives because some of the terms between astronomy and astrology are the same and some are different. So it is critical to clarify and distinguish the similarities and the differences between the two. This book is meant to be a beginner’s guide and the focus will be on cycles between the Sun and the Moon. However, the groundwork will be laid for further editions and revisions of this book.
For those of one who are new to astrology, one can begin by thinking of the universe as a giant clock. A normal clock has just an hour hand, a minute hand, and a second hand. But an astrological clock has literally hundreds of hands spinning at different rates. When the hands of the clock line up at certain positions, then the time is right and the energies are aligned for specific actions. The alignment of planetary energy tends to provide a push or a force in one direction or another. Some of these energies are positive and some of these actions are negative. These energies affect the psyche of individuals and eventually human behavior.
It is important to note that astrology does not have every answer. It is one set of tools one can use to understand the universe and our place within it. The truth is that we don’t know how or why astrology works. We just know that it does and we can measure its effects on financial markets. That is difficult for some people to accept.
Throughout the years, people have pursued links between external events and the market outcomes. In financial astrology, there are literally millions of permutations to pursue to find links between planets and market behavior. In the past and the present, there have been many studies that attempted to correlate planetary movements with market behavior. However, without a working knowledge of astrology it is very difficult to know how to set up the experiments. In other words, one is not even qualified to set up an experiment without knowing the traditional meaning of the planets, the signs, the houses, and the angles that they make with one another. By understanding the meanings of planets, angles, and signs, one can begin to set up a hypothesis to build experiments. At the very least, the so-called negative aspects should correlate with falling markets, and positive aspects should correlate with rising markets.
Of course, there are always surprise correlations between planetary behavior and market behavior when experiments are run over time. Statistical tests can be run around events to determine positive correlation, negative correlation, positive noncorrelation, or negative noncorrelation. These correlations and noncorrelations can then be pieced together and applied to artificial intelligence applications such as neural networks to predict market behavior. Proving astrology is actually much easier through financial markets because the statistical relationship to price data is clear and unbiased. In contrast, personal astrology is more difficult to pinpoint. In personal astrology, the meanings of the planets can take on many different interpretations. This depends on the context and the attitude of the individual involved. In many ways, financial astrology is a much better starting point to verify the meaning of planets and transits in regard to their effect on financial markets.
So how can astrology affect financial markets? The energy combinations of the planets affect humans, which in turn affects the mass social mood on the planets. If a large enough mass of people participate and interact to form a marketplace, then the planetary behavior can be used as a proxy to predict financial market behavior. Financial astrology does not guarantee that events will unfold. But it gives one a road map for likely outcomes. The goal is to obtain a statistical advantage obtained through a large sample size to increase our probability of success. For example, if we can get a 55 to 70 percent success rate in a neutral market with a high sample size, then we can gain an advantage over a market with 50 percent odds.
In financial astrology, outcomes and meanings of planets are often clear-cut even before any analysis is run. This is because people have been observing the planetary interactions and the links to human behavior for thousands of years. This energy of planets can be divided into positive and negative outcomes. This observation of key angles is how financial astrologers created accurate financial astrology forecasts and models before computers existed. Many of these models are still used today.
■ Brief Historical Background
In the late 1920s and early 1930s, financial astrology was made popular by astrologer Evangeline Adams. Adams was known as America’s first big astrology superstar.She made astrology popular with her newsletter making stock market predictions. During the 1920s, Adams consulted many big financial names of the time, including banking giant J. P. Morgan. He was a big believer in financial astrology. The New York library of J. P. Morgan is full of information on astrology, and there is even a zodiac painted on the ceiling. A famous quote of Morgan’s is Morgan famously said, “Millionaires don’t use astrology, billionaires do!”
In 1947, Donald Bradley proposed the first financial astrology forecasting tool, known as the Bradley Barometer siderograph. This siderograph uses key astrological aspects and declination to forecast market turning points. It is not linked to market prices directly. The Bradley Barometer was created using key astrological aspects that were observed throughout the centuries. These aspects were grouped into positive and negative classifications. These classifications were then used to forecast markets. Negative aspects correlated with falling markets, while positive aspects correlated with rising markets. The important thing to note here is that this barometer was created before the arrival of computers to confirm the graph. This barometer is still used today in financial astrology. Today, with computers, these outcomes can then be plotted, tested, and correlated statistically.
■ Theory of Financial Astrology
Financial astrology begins with observing market behavior when two planets interact. However, financial astrology is not limited to that alone. One can also analyze the effects of multiple planets interacting. In physics, Newton’s second law states that the sum of the forces equals the net force. In other words, on the outside an observer does not necessarily see all of the forces at work. What the observer sees is the net result of all the forces added up. The net force is what appears to the observer after everything is thrown together. In astrology, there may be different energies working together or against each other. The final result will be whatever wins the tug-of-war. What the observer sees at any given time in the markets is often the net result of all of the transits added up. However, single transits between two planets can be powerful, too. There are times when a singular transit is so powerful that it might dominate everything else around it. This is especially true when large planets are involved in the picture. Therefore, it can be said that all transits are not weighted the same. Some have more powerful effects on the markets than others. Some transits last for a long period of time and others last for a short period of time. So a transit for an outer, slow-moving transit such as Saturn will be much stronger and last much longer than a fast-moving transit from a faster-moving object such as the Moon.
In addition to the effects of transits on markets, there is also the topic of planetary cycles within the field of financial astrology. A financial astrology cycle can be broken down into two basic methods: (1) a correlation to the position of a planet in its orbit to the behavior of the financial markets, and (2) a correlation to the longitudinal angle between two planets to the behavior of the financial markets. Cycles are interesting because one can get a very large sample size and quickly increase the correlation of the markets to past events. By using these cycles it is possible to increase the predictability of outcomes in the future using cycles. A popular cycle that is often studied is the lunar cycle. This is often done out of convenience because everyone knows when the New Moon is and when the Full Moon is. Each of these is listed on a basic calendar for the layman to read month by month. However, this basic cycle is only a small piece of the pie. In reality, there are thousands of lunar cycles to study regarding financial markets. In addition, there are thousands more combinations and cycles involving other planets and energy points.
