Prosperity in The Age of Decline E-Book

Brian Beaulieu

• Herausgeber: John Wiley & Sons
• Kategorie: Fachliteratur
• Sprache: Englisch

Seitenzahl: 320

Veröffentlichungsjahr: 2014

Beschreibung

A guide for protecting your wealth in an age of turbulent business cycles In Prosperity in the Age of Decline, Brian and Alan Beaulieu--the CEO and President of the Institute for Trend Research® (ITR)--offer an informed, meticulously-researched look at the future and the coming Great Depression. Drawing on ITR's 94.7% forecast accuracy rate, the book outlines specific, actionable strategies for capitalizing on cyclical opportunities and dodging economic danger. In this important resource, the authors reveal what it will take for individual investors and business leaders to prosper as the economy heats up prior to the predicted downturn, preserve wealth in the upcoming Great Depression, and profit on the way out of the depression. The imbalances and maladjustments have a while to play out and the authors pinpoint the investment opportunities to be had in the countdown period. The Beaulieu's examine the major economic trends at play, such as low interest rates, burgeoning government debt, and an aging population. They discuss which trends will last and what investors should do with this knowledge in order to thrive. The book also reviews the group of leading economic indicators that most consistently achieve reliable results for predicting where the economy is headed. Designed as a useful tool for investors, the book includes a working list of key trends, describes the upside potential of each trend, and explains the potential threat stemming from a particular trend. Understanding how to capitalize on these trends and knowing how to avoid the common pitfalls are the keys to creating a solid economic future for individual investors and business leaders. * Contains the strategies for capitalizing on cyclical opportunities and avoiding economic dangers * Offers an examination of major economic trends * Includes information on the leading economic indicators that most reliably achieve results * Shows how to preserve wealth and avoid the most common investing pitfalls This comprehensive resource offers guidelines for averting cyclical downturns and building on rising industry trends.

Leseprobe

Table of Contents

Cover

Title Page

Copyright

Chapter 1: Results That No One Can Ignore: You Can Successfully Prepare for an Unknown Future

Where Not to Look

Confidence Indicators

Politics

Federal Reserve Board (The U.S. Version of Central Banks in Other Countries)

Newspapers and Media

ITR Economics Forecast Accuracy

Chapter 2: The Status Quo Never Was: Seven Major Trends and Assumptions That Won't Last

Unstoppable Trends That Suddenly Stopped

Today's Trends That Won't Last Forever

Stimulus Spending Is Needed and Helpful

Chapter 3: Preparing for Prosperity—Good News for 2015 and 2016: Do You Have Enough?

What Will 2015, 2016, and 2017 Look Like?

Chapter 4: Depression Driver: Demographics

More People, More Older People

Show Me the Money

Medicare and Social Security

Managing to Win

Probable Winners

(Potential) Losers

Chapter 5: A World That Doesn't Remember Inflation: New Management and Investment Thought Processes Required

Inflation's Impacts

Five Sources of Inflation

Managing to Win

Winners and Losers

Appendix to Chapter 5

Chapter 6: Sovereign Debt—Harmless or Toxic?: Not Just an American Problem

A Global Perspective

Summary

Chapter 7: A Closer Look at the United States: The U.S. Problem Becomes the World's Problem

Where Are We Now?

Where Are We Going?

State and Local Governments

Spreading the Pain around the World

Summary

Chapter 8: Business Growth Strategies and Tactics from Now through 2029

Monthly Moving Totals (MMTs)

Calculating Rate-of-Change

Use the Metrics

Chapter 9: Offense and Defense: Strategies for the Upside of the Business Cycle

Offense and Defense

Conflicting Messages

Don't Delay

Phase A Management Objectives

Let the Good Times Roll

Summary

Chapter 10: Playing Defense to Win: Enhancing Profits Even as the Economy Deteriorates

Management Objectives

The Rules Are Changing

Summary

Chapter 11: Great Opportunities within the Stock Market: What Businesses and Individuals Need to Know

Energy Distribution

Printed Electronics

Mexico

Water Conservation and Distribution

Health Care

Vocational Education

3-D Printing

Housing

Security

Natural Resources

Food

Entertainment

Chapter 12: Investing Based on Age and Trend

Some Commonalities

Different Markets—Different Times

How Old Are You?

Chapter 13: How to Spot the Top (Before the Great Depression)

Chapter 14: What the Next Generation Needs to Know: Six Things the Next Generation Must Do

What Owners and Managers Must Do

Six Things Our Kids (and Businesses) Must Do

Chapter 15: Is There Hope?

What Can Stave Off the Great Depression of 2030?

A Different View of the 1930s

A Different Future

Summary

Bibliography

Index

End User License Agreement

Pages

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

37

38

39

40

41

42

43

45

46

47

48

49

50

51

52

53

54

55

56

57

58

59

60

61

62

63

64

65

66

67

69

70

71

72

73

74

75

76

77

78

79

80

81

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

89

90

91

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

99

100

101

102

103

105

106

107

108

109

110

111

112

113

114

115

117

118

119

120

121

122

123

124

125

126

127

128

129

131

132

133

134

135

136

137

138

139

141

142

143

144

145

146

147

148

149

150

151

153

154

155

156

157

158

159

160

161

162

163

164

165

166

167

168

169

170

171

172

173

174

175

176

177

178

179

180

181

182

183

184

185

186

187

188

189

190

191

192

193

194

195

196

197

198

199

200

201

202

203

204

205

206

207

209

210

211

212

213

214

215

216

217

218

219

223

224

225

226

227

228

229

230

231

232

Guide

Cover

Table of Contents

Chapter 1: Results That No One Can Ignore: You Can Successfully Prepare for an Unknown Future

List of Illustrations

Figure 1.1

Figure 1.2

Figure 2.1

Figure 3.1

Figure 3.2

Figure 4.1

Figure 4.2

Figure 5.1

Figure 5.2

Figure 5.3

Figure 5.4

Figure 5.5

Figure 5.6

Figure 7.1

Figure 7.2

Figure 7.3

Figure 7.4

Figure 7.5

Figure 7.6

Figure 9.1

Figure 9.2

Figure 10.1

Figure 10.2

Figure 12.1

Figure 12.2

Figure 12.3

Figure 12.4

List of Tables

Table 1.1

Table 1.2

Table 1.3

Table 1.4

Table 1.5

Table 1.6

Table 1.7

Table 1.8

Table 1.9

Table 4.1

Table 4.2

Table 4.3

Table 4.4

Table 4.5

Table 4.6

Table 4.7

Table 4.8

Table 6.1

Table 6.2

Table 6.3

Table 7.1

Table 7.2

Table 7.3

PROSPERITY IN THE AGE OF DECLINE

HOW TO LEAD YOUR BUSINESS AND PRESERVE WEALTH THROUGH THE COMING BUSINESS CYCLES

BRIAN BEAULIEU AND ALAN BEAULIEU

Cover image and design: Wiley

Copyright © 2014 by BeauBros LLC. All rights reserved.

Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey.

Published simultaneously in Canada.

No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center, 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, [phone], fax [phone], or on the web at www.copyright.com. Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, [phone], fax [phone], or online at www.wiley.com/go/permissions.

Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty: While the publisher and author have used their best efforts in preparing this book, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this book and specifically disclaim any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. No warranty may be created or extended by sales representatives or written sales materials. The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a professional where appropriate. Neither the publisher nor the author shall be liable for damages arising herefrom.

For general information about our other products and services, please contact our Customer Care Department within the United States at [phone], outside the United States at [phone] or fax [phone].

Wiley publishes in a variety of print and electronic formats and by print-on-demand. Some material included with standard print versions of this book may not be included in e-books or in print-on-demand. If this book refers to media such as a CD or DVD that is not included in the version you purchased, you may download this material at http://booksupport.wiley.com. For more information about Wiley products, visit www.wiley.com.

ISBN 978-1-118-80989-1 (cloth); ISBN 978-1-118-93320-6 (ebk); ISBN 978-1-118-93321-3 (ebk)

Chapter 1Results That No One Can IgnoreYou Can Successfully Prepare for an Unknown Future

You and I must make tough decisions with imperfect knowledge. That is what business leaders and investors do every day. The world is an uncertain place, and according to many people, it is an unknowable future. Yet paradoxically, most of us at times assume that current trends, be they financial, cultural, or political, will last into the future. This latter assumption presupposes that we can see the future. It is into the vortex of trends, uncertainties, and risk that we all plunge daily.