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Get sharemarket savvy and put together the perfect investment portfolio Do you want to invest in shares, but you don't know where to start? Share Investing For Dummies shows you how to put together the perfect share portfolio: you'll learn, step-by-step, what to do and exactly how to do it. Uncover the timeless rules as well as the latest advice on what's hot and what's not -- and exactly how you can get started on generating easy returns on your hard-earned dollars. With updated examples, charts and resources, this new edition shows you exactly how to spot winning shares and build a balanced portfolio where you can watch your money grow. You'll discover how you can use the ASX trading platform and the latest apps and online tools. Plus, you'll get tips on keeping your tax bill manageable with the low-down on the latest tax policies. * Know your bear market from your bull, and cut through the jargon with clear explanations * Understand how to analyse share prices and track trends * Discover how to get started on building a diversified portfolio * Develop your own successful investment strategy and trade online * Learn the must-know information about brokers and what they can do for you * Go global safely, with advice on how to invest internationally and protect investments overseas This is the guide for anyone wanting a comprehensive, easy guide to investing in Australian shares. Stop wondering what you're missing out on, and get started today with this no-nonsense approach to share investing, written by celebrated Australian personal finance author and consultant James Dunn.
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Share Investing For Dummies®, 4th Australian Edition
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Cover
Title Page
Copyright
Introduction
About This Book
Foolish Assumptions
Icons Used in This Book
Where to Go from Here
Part 1: Putting the Share in Sharemarket
Chapter 1: So, You Want to Invest in Shares
Investing Is All about Timing
Finding Out What a Share Is
Buying Shares to Get a Return
Making the Most of Share Investing
Guarding Against Risk
Chapter 2: Watching the market operate
Floating: The Primary Market
Planning the Prospectus
Trading: The Secondary Market
Using the Index
Stepping into the Futures Market
Part 2: Investing Strategies for Success
Chapter 3: Developing an Investment Strategy
Getting Rich Slowly
Starting with Strategy
Buying and Holding
Chapter 4: Assessing Your Risk
Gambling or Investing?
Assessing Your Risk
Avoiding the Turkeys
Chapter 5: Eggs and Baskets
Spreading the Risk
Building a Portfolio
Knowing How Many Stocks to Buy
Diversifying through Managed Funds
Investing outside Australia
Considering Alternative Investments
Part 3: Buying, Buying, Sold
Chapter 6: Buying and Selling Shares
Finding the Market
Making a Trade
Working the Trading Day
Playing CHESS Isn’t a Game
Chapter 7: Knowing When to Buy and Sell Shares
Getting Ready for the Action
Going into Analysis
Investing or Trading
Relying on Your Broker
Looking and Listening
Taxing Considerations
Chapter 8: Buying What You Know
Acquiring Ordinary Shares
Deciding What to Buy
Chapter 9: Buying Specialised Shares and Other Listed Products
Looking at Listed Investment Companies (LICs)
Engaging with Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
Visiting the Hybrid Part of the ASX Zoo
Chapter 10: Choosing Shares Wisely
Selecting a Strategy That Works
Developing Your Strategy
Knowing When to Buy Resources
Chapter 11: Why Share Prices Change
Influences on the Price of a Share
The Economy as a Predictor
Reacting to News
Rejecting Murky Offers
Clocking Emotions and Biorhythms
Pacing the Seasons
Chapter 12: Working with Brokers
What a Broker Does
Stockbroking for Everyone
Choosing the Best Broker for You
Interviewing for a Broker
Chapter 13: Initial Public Offerings
The Float Slipway
Understanding the Prospectus
Anatomy of a (Successful) Prospectus
Pricing a Float
Getting into the Action
Placements and Rights Issues
Part 4: Doing Your Homework
Chapter 14: Crunching the Numbers
Getting the Price Right
Working Out Liquidity Ratios
Understanding Debt Ratios
Using Profitability Ratios
Linking the Margins
Drawing on Performance Ratios
Crunching More Numbers
Chapter 15: Following the Money Trail: Fundamental Analysis
The Fundamentals of Fundamental Analysis
Reading the Income Statement
Finding Balance Sheet Bliss
Examining the Statement of Cash Flows
Looking at a Case Study: XYZ Limited
Chapter 16: Charting the Intricacies of Technical Analysis
Understanding Technical Analysis
Creating the Chart
Watching Market Trends
Interpreting the Chart
Leaving the Charts Behind
Chapter 17: Using Online Tools to Research Your Investments
Making the Most of the Web
Finding Investment Websites
The App Revolution
Perusing the Podcast Pack
Chapter 18: Taxing Matters
Benefiting from Dividend Imputation
Watching Your Capital Gains
Taxing Tactics
Part 5: Shares Are for Everyone
Chapter 19: Bankrolling Your Superannuation
Dissecting Superannuation
Tantalising Tax Breaks
The Not-So-Super Part of Super: Fees
Taking Control: Self-Managed Super
Chapter 20: Investing in Overseas Shares
Going Offshore
Where to Invest?
Deciding the Best Way to Invest
Chapter 21: The Exotic World of Derivatives
Understanding Options and Warrants
Trading in the World of Warrants
Graduating to Investment Warrants
Chapter 22: Leverage and Speculation
Leveraging through Margin Lending
Speculating with Contracts for Difference
Part 6: The Part of Tens
Chapter 23: Ten Great Investors and Their Strategies
Warren Buffett and Charles Munger
John Neff
Benjamin Graham
Philip Fisher
Jim Slater
Charles Viertel
Peter Lynch
John Bogle
John Templeton
Chapter 24: Ten Great Books to Read Next
The Warren Buffett Way
One Up on Wall Street
Value.able
Where Are the Customers’ Yachts?
Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits
The Battle for Investment Survival
Masters of the Market
The Ascent of Money
The Mining Valuation Handbook
Crashes
Chapter 25: Ten Great Sharemarket Crashes
The Tulip Mania
The South Sea Bubble
October 1929
October 1987
The Great Japanese Crash
October 1997
March/April 2000
September 2001
The Global Financial Crisis
The 2020 COVID Crash
Chapter 26: Ten Great Australian Stocks
Westfield Group
CSL
Cochlear
Pro Medicus
Washington H. Soul Pattinson
Fortescue Metals Group
Sonic Healthcare
REA Group
Afterpay
BHP
Chapter 27: Ten Things Not To Do, Ever
Don’t Think You Can Get Rich Quick
Don’t Underestimate Volatility
Don’t Be Panicked Out of Your Shares
Don’t Ignore Dividends (Especially Franked Ones)
Don’t Buy a Share You Know Nothing About
Don’t Expect Things to Stay the Same
Don’t Delay a Sale to Save Capital Gains Tax
Don’t Let Tax Drive Your Investment Decisions
Don’t Fret Over Lost Profit
Don’t Try to Time the Market
Glossary
Index
About the Author
Connect with Dummies
End User License Agreement
Chapter 2
TABLE 2-1 The Top 20 Sharemarkets by Value
Chapter 5
TABLE 5-1: Asset Class Returns, 1992–2021
TABLE 5-2: GICS Economic Sectors and Industry Groups
TABLE 5-3: The Top 50 Companies on the ASX by Value as at July 2021
Chapter 6
TABLE 6-1 Price Steps for Equities, Rights Issues and Warrants
TABLE 6-2 A Day in the Life of ASX Trade
TABLE 6-3 Online Brokerage Fees
Chapter 8
TABLE 8-1 Biotech Companies in the Health Care Sector
Chapter 11
TABLE 11-1 The Earnings Matrix
Chapter 13
TABLE 13-1 IPO Performance 2015 to 2020 (Simple Average Returns)
TABLE 13-2 Baby Bunting Group Limited as a Listed Company
Chapter 14
TABLE 14-1 Income Statement Showing the Hierarchy of Money
Chapter 15
TABLE 15-1 XYZ’s Income Statement ($ million)
TABLE 15-2 XYZ’s Statement of Financial Position ($ million)
TABLE 15-3 XYZ’s Statement of Cash Flows ($ million)
Chapter 18
TABLE 18-1 Tax Liability ($700 Dividend Fully Franked)
TABLE 18-2 Tax Liability ($700 Dividend Partially Franked)
TABLE 18-3 The Benefits of Dividend Imputation
*
Chapter 19
TABLE 19-1 Asset Allocation — Typical MySuper Fund
TABLE 19-2 Tax Liability on a Super Fund’s Dividend
Chapter 20
TABLE 20-1 Australian Shares versus International Shares (Percentage Returns as ...
TABLE 20-2 Developed Sharemarkets
TABLE 20-3 Emerging Sharemarkets
TABLE 20-4 Effect of Currency Risk on International Share Investments (Percentag...
Chapter 21
TABLE 21-1 XYZ Call Options
TABLE 21-2 XYZ Put Options
Chapter 1
FIGURE 1-1: Ownership of on-exchange investments in Australia 1986–2020.
FIGURE 1-2: The growth of a $100 investment in the sharemarket over 70 years.
Chapter 3
FIGURE 3-1: How time tempers the risk and return on shares.
Chapter 4
FIGURE 4-1: Allco Finance Group, Babcock & Brown, MFS, Centro Properties and AB...
FIGURE 4-2: Sons of Gwalia share price, 2001–04.
FIGURE 4-3: Dick Smith Holdings’ share price, 2013–16.
FIGURE 4-4: McMillan Shakespeare share price, 2011–21.
FIGURE 4-5: Forge Group share price, 2007–14.
FIGURE 4-6: RCR Tomlinson share price, 2014–19.
FIGURE 4-7: Treasury Wine Estates share price, 2017–21.
FIGURE 4-8: Slater and Gordon share price, 2007–21.
FIGURE 4-9: The Australian Agricultural Company’s share price, 2000–21.
FIGURE 4-10: AMP share price, 2017–21.
Chapter 5
FIGURE 5-1: CSL share price and P/E, 2011–2021.
FIGURE 5-2: Domino’s Pizza share price and P/E, 2011–2021.
FIGURE 5-3: The smartphone ‘S curve’ and the composition of Apple’s revenue, 20...
FIGURE 5-4: Qantas Airways share price and P/E, 2016–2021.
Chapter 6
FIGURE 6-1: CommSec Market Depth Screen for BHP.
Chapter 11
FIGURE 11-1: Percentage of positive sharemarket returns over time periods.
FIGURE 11-2: S&P/ASX 200 P/E changes, historical and forward, 2001–21.
FIGURE 11-3: Components of Australian shares total returns (per cent a year) 19...
FIGURE 11-4: Australian company profits relative to the previous year 2005–21.
FIGURE 11-5: Australian company dividends relative to the previous year 2012–21...
FIGURE 11-6: Australian company profit results relative to market expectations ...
FIGURE 11-7: The seasonal pattern for US share trading, showing the average mon...
FIGURE 11-8: The seasonal pattern for Australian share trading, showing the ave...
Chapter 13
FIGURE 13-1: Australia’s IPO Market.
FIGURE 13-2: CSL share price 1994–2021.
FIGURE 13-3: Myer Holdings share price 2009–2021.
FIGURE 13-4: The key dates in Baby Bunting’s 2015 prospectus.
FIGURE 13-5: The key offer statistics in Baby Bunting Group Limited’s 2015 pros...
Chapter 16
FIGURE 16-1: A line chart showing ANZ Banking Corporation’s daily close over se...
FIGURE 16-2: A bar (or OHLC) chart showing ANZ Banking Corporation’s daily pric...
FIGURE 16-3: A point-and-figure chart for ANZ Banking Corporation’s share price...
FIGURE 16-4: A candlestick chart for ANZ Banking Corporation showing bearish an...
FIGURE 16-5: An uptrend on the weekly chart for the S&P 500 index, February 202...
FIGURE 16-6: A downtrend on the daily chart for AGL Energy, September 2020 to J...
FIGURE 16-7: Dubber Corporation, daily chart, October 2020 to May 2021.
FIGURE 16-8: A daily ten-day exponential moving average and a 30-day exponentia...
FIGURE 16-9: A daily chart showing support and resistance levels for Blackstone...
FIGURE 16-10: A daily chart showing channel breakout for the Australian Foundat...
FIGURE 16-11: A daily chart showing channel failure for the BetMakers Technolog...
FIGURE 16-12: A daily chart showing gaps in trading for Woodside Petroleum, Apr...
FIGURE 16-13: A daily chart showing a triangle for Praemium Limited in the peri...
FIGURE 16-14: A daily chart showing a pennant for the Absolute Equity Performan...
FIGURE 16-15: A weekly chart showing rectangle trading bands for the SPDR S&P/A...
FIGURE 16-16: Bill Identity Limited, daily chart, August 2020 to September 2020...
FIGURE 16-17: A head and shoulders pattern by week for the S&P/ASX All Ordinari...
FIGURE 16-18: A daily chart showing an inverted head and shoulders pattern in t...
FIGURE 16-19A: A daily chart showing a double top for Mount Gibson Iron Limited...
FIGURE 16-19B: A weekly chart showing a double bottom for the Nikkei 225 index,...
Chapter 20
FIGURE 20-1: How time tempers the risk and return on international shares.
Cover
Title Page
Copyright
Table of Contents
Begin Reading
Glossary
Index
About the Author
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I said these important words in the first three editions of this book, and now I’m saying them again — thanks for choosing Share Investing For Dummies. In this fourth edition, I bring you up to date on how the Australian sharemarket is dealing with the massive societal and economic changes wrought by the global COVID-19 pandemic; as it happens, in the introduction to the third edition I talked about bringing readers up to date on how the market was recovering from the massive financial storm that hit it (and all its global peers!) between 2007 and 2009, during the global financial crisis (GFC). Just as the GFC and the market slump that ensued eventually receded into history — despite denting many investors’ faith in investing in shares — I’m reasonably confident that COVID-19 will do the same.
In any case, just as in the preceding editions, such changes in the sharemarket give me a backdrop to set out how, despite the scary headlines and the ever-present possibility of a market fall, profitable companies continue to generate capital growth for their shareholders over the long term. The great paradox of the sharemarket is that while it is the most volatile of the asset classes, it is also the one most capable of reliably building wealth over the long term for the individual investor; I show you how in this book.
I’ve attempted to describe some of the wondrous investment stories that have played out on the corporate paddock since the first edition of the book was published 21 years ago — as well as some of the less luminous stories that are always possible when you’re investing in shares. This fourth edition also updates my advice on where to start if you’re a first-time investor, some of the newer tools that are available to you, some of the pitfalls to avoid and how to have fun (and not take too many risks) while your money goes to work for you.
Australia has grown and developed in many directions since the first edition of Share Investing For Dummies welcomed investors taking their first steps into the sharemarket. If you followed the first three editions, you’re hopefully now managing a portfolio, researching stocks that interest you, keeping abreast of the daily market play and boosting your initial investment to something that’ll at least pay for your dream holiday and at best see you comfortably through the years.
In many of the speeches and presentations that I’ve made around the country in 33 years as a finance journalist, I’ve tried to present the sharemarket as a hugely interesting institution. Because it is! And, moreover, this market, which touches everyone’s lives in one way or another, doesn’t have to be daunting. The sharemarket is not a hard concept to understand. When people say to me that I make the idea of buying and selling shares understandable for them, I curse whatever it was they’d been reading or hearing that made it appear the opposite.
Share Investing For Dummies explains the sharemarket’s intricacies in terms that anyone can understand. Although the sharemarket looks like a high-tech computer game, with its flashing lights and scrolling letters and numbers on the trading screens, the sharemarket is actually based on a very simple concept. Companies divide their capital into tiny units called shares, and anyone can buy or sell these units in a free market at any time. Companies use the sharemarket to raise funds from the public, and the public — meaning you — invests in the companies’ shares. You invest your money in shares because you expect to get a better return in earnings than with other investments.
Most of the time the sharemarket is profitable for investors. Despite the occasional spectacular market fall, such as the great ‘bear market’ of 2007 to 2009 — or even the odd collapse of one of its constituent companies — the sharemarket generally plods along making money for its investors. The sharemarket revolves around money, but it is also very much a human institution. The sharemarket is sometimes described as a living entity (for which we finance journalists are often mocked). Oddly, the sharemarket does have human moods because it reflects the greed or fear of its users, who are sometimes very human.
Greed is a powerful influence on the sharemarket, and so is fear. A saying on Wall Street suggests that these two emotions are the only influences ever at work on the sharemarket, and they fight a daily battle for supremacy. On a day-to-day basis, the sharemarket wavers between the two. The 2000s began with the fear of the ‘tech bust’, then switched firmly to greed for the middle part of the decade, only for fear to come roaring back into the spotlight in late 2007. Greed regained its primacy in early 2009 and — despite a major interruption in 2020 as COVID-19 reared its ugly head — the ‘risk-on’ approach of viewing the sharemarket as a money-making machine has prevailed virtually right through until the time of writing. All of which goes to ensure that fear will have its day again, and sooner rather than later.
The sheer range of activities of the companies listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (formerly the Australian Stock Exchange) makes it a very interesting place — if a trading system that you can see only on computer screens all over the nation can be called a place. The number of different types of shares you can invest in is mind-boggling — perhaps there is too much choice. As an individual investor, you can’t own every type of share so the solution is to come up with an investment strategy.
As you will discover, of the 2,200 or so stocks listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), most investment professionals confine their activity to about one-sixth of them. Even in the 500 stocks that comprise the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries index (one of the Australian sharemarket’s main indicators), the last 1,900 or so don’t hold much interest to Australian fund managers. This is where a self-reliant investor like you can find some undiscovered gems caught in that bind of being too small to attract the fund managers’ and brokers’ attention, and then remaining small because they can’t get this attention. Some of the sharemarket’s acorns really do become great oaks. As a self-reliant investor, with the knowledge and the time to thoroughly research potential stock purchases, you can really steal a march on the pros.
It gets harder and potentially more rewarding the deeper you delve into the sharemarket. In the bottom 1,900 or so stocks, you may find some real dogs that should not be listed (and probably won’t be for much longer), but you can also discover wonderful companies that are about to flourish. This kind of investing is called bottom-fishing. You need to be wary and know how to back up your discoveries with solid research. At these depths of the market, you can make some very wrong moves.
You don’t actually have to own some of the 2,200 stocks in order to experience the ups and downs of the sharemarket; one of the big changes in the market in the last two decades has been the introduction of (and growth in) simple and cheap listed instruments that give you instant, diversified exposure to the sharemarket (whether you choose the Australian, US, global or other country markets) and asset classes in general. Access to the sharemarket has never been easier, and I take you through that, whether you want to invest at the individual stock (company) level or the index (sharemarket itself) level. The tools that enable you to get into the market intelligently are right here in this book.
The sharemarket should be an essential part of everybody’s investment strategy. Sharemarket participation in Australia is among the highest in the world, but too many people still don’t understand its benefits. As the nation’s population ages and superannuation grows in importance, the amount of Australians’ investment assets (and retirement nest eggs) going into Australian shares is set to rise dramatically. My aim in this book is to help you understand the sharemarket so that you can control your future financial security.
This book doesn’t require you to have any prior knowledge of investing in shares — that’s my job. However, I do make a few assumptions about you — I assume you’re interested in the sharemarket and you want to find out a bit more. Perhaps you’ve read a few blogs, watched a few YouTube videos or read other books that piece together various aspects of share investing, and you’re looking for something to help you turn the theory into reality. Perhaps you’ve already traded shares online at some stage, or maybe you’ve realised that the bulk of your superannuation is held in shares, and you want to know why — and how that works.
Wherever you’re starting from, this book is designed to help you build on your existing knowledge and develop your understanding of the sharemarket and the things that influence it — for good and bad.
Throughout this book you see friendly and useful icons to enhance your reading pleasure and highlight special kinds of information. The icons give added emphasis to the details that I think are extra important.
Take extra special notice of this piece of information. You may find this detail is something to store away for future use.
It’s not vital that you read this stuff as you’ll get a good understanding of the subject matter anyway. But it’s often interesting and sometimes an entertaining diversion.
This is information I think you can profit from, so I’ve pre-highlighted it for you (I’m trying to save you from getting highlighter ink on the opposite page when you close the book).
Uh-oh! Wealth hazard ahead! Manoeuvre carefully around this obstacle, and mark it down in the memory bank.
In this book, I set out the risks and the rewards of share investing, explain where the returns come from that can make share investing a rewarding and lucrative experience, and outline the many things that influence the prices of shares. I follow a logical order so that you can easily navigate to the correct chapter to find out more about particular aspects of share investing. For example, you may be itching to explore investment strategy ideas (which I cover in Part 2) or prefer to start with the basics in Part 1. Alternatively, you may be looking for inspiration when picking the stocks that suit your risk ‘comfort zone’ (Part 3), or you might want to contemplate looking further afield at overseas shares and derivatives (Part 5). And if you’re feeling particularly keen, you may find yourself drawn to the number-crunching involved when making sense of fundamental and technical analysis techniques (Part 4) — just don’t forget your calculator!
I hope that after you go through this book, you’ll want to take the next steps to starting your first portfolio of shares. And if you’re already an investor — great! You’ll be ready to become a better-informed and more effective investor. Work out what financial security means to you, sit down with a financial adviser (or not; but it is advisable) and decide how shares can help you achieve your goals. Then, get started. Today!
Thanks for allowing me to play a small part in your journey — I’m excited for you too, as I know what an adventure it can be.
Part 1
IN THIS PART …
See how the sharemarket builds wealth.
Figure out the two functions of the sharemarket.
Chapter 1
IN THIS CHAPTER
Timing your investments
Defining a share
Buying for profit
Discovering the five big pluses
Reducing risk
If you’ve been hearing about the sharemarket for a long time, but you’re only now taking the plunge, welcome aboard. There simply isn’t a better place to invest money.
You’re probably already familiar with shares and how they generate long-term wealth. In that case, you may want to skim through Chapter 1 and Chapter 2 quickly and then move on to Chapter 3 for an in-depth view of investment strategies. If that isn’t the case, then you’re in the right spot to get started.
Australians are among the world’s most avid share investors, with the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) reporting in its 2020 Australian Investor Study that 35 per cent of the adult population, or 6.6 million people, directly own listed investments — a term that covers shares, real estate investment trusts (REITs), exchange-traded funds (ETFs), listed investment companies (LICs), listed hybrid securities and anything quoted on an exchange (the ASX and international exchanges). The figure is slightly lower than the 37 per cent of adult investors who owned on-exchange investments in the 2017 Australian Investor Study.
While this proportion has fallen from the 55 per cent that owned shares in the ASX Share Ownership Study in 2004, the ASX now looks more broadly at investing. The ASX used to compare Australia’s share ownership levels with its overseas peer-group of markets, but differences in methodology mean that it no longer does so. For example, official US data measures share ownership — directly or indirectly — by households. A survey released by polling group Gallup in April 2020 found that 55 per cent of American households reported having money invested in the sharemarket, either in an individual stock, a mutual fund or a retirement account. That figure was down from 60 per cent before the ‘Great Recession’ (what Australians would call the global financial crisis, or GFC) of December 2007 to June 2009.
The ASX’s 2020 Australian Investor Study found that:
9 million adult Australians own investments outside of superannuation and their primary residence.
Of those 9 million, 6.6 million own on-exchange investments, making them the most widely used type of investment. Other options invested in included investment properties (residential or commercial), unlisted managed funds and term deposits.
Of the 6.6 million who own on-exchange investments, 58 per cent own shares listed on an Australian exchange and 15 per cent own shares listed on an international exchange.
15 per cent of Australian investors own ETFs.
Close to a quarter of all investors had started investing in the two years leading up to the study.
Women now make up 45 per cent of all new investors.
In addition to this data, Australian investors own a further $1.2 trillion worth of shares (domestic shares of $595 billion and international shares of $610 billion), which are managed for them in their superannuation accounts.
Furthermore, a 2021 report from investment research firm Investment Trends, the 2021 1H Online Investing Report, found that during 2020, 435,000 Australians began trading listed investments for the very first time amid the pandemic-induced lockdown. The report said this took the population of active retail online investors (defined as those buying or selling shares at least once over the 2020 calendar year) in Australia to a new high of 1.2 million.
Of these new-to-market traders, 18 per cent were younger than 25 years of age and 49 per cent were aged between 25 and 39, indicating what Investment Trends called an ‘unprecedented’ spike in activity by Millennial (born between 1981 and 1996) and Generation Z (born after 1997) Australians. This increase in active traders represents a 135 per cent jump since June 2013 and a 66 per cent increase year-on-year from December 2019.
The Investment Trends research also found that the number of Australians actively trading international shares (as opposed to ASX-listed investments) doubled from 54,000 to 109,000 over the course of 2020. The report suggested that growth in the supply of low-cost digital investing and stockbroking products, many of which provide easy access to the US and other offshore markets, was supporting the influx of new sharemarket participants.
So, chances are you’ve dipped your toes in the sharemarket pond (at least indirectly) before picking up this book.
Figure 1-1 shows share investing trends in Australia from 1986 to 2020.
Source: 2020 Australian Investment Study, Australian Securities ExchangeNote: Where earlier data relies on ownership of shares, the studies since 2014 have used ownership of all listed investment products offered at ASX, which includes shares.
FIGURE 1-1: Ownership of on-exchange investments in Australia 1986–2020.
‘Hang on,’ you say, ‘doesn’t the sharemarket crash and correct regularly? What about the headlines that talk of billions of dollars of investors’ savings being wiped off the value of the sharemarket in a day?’ (For one example among many, see the sidebar ‘Just another (crazy) year on the sharemarket’, later in this chapter.)
Occasionally, that happens. No-one who goes into the sharemarket can afford to ignore the fact that, from time to time, share prices can suddenly move in an extreme fashion — sometimes up, sometimes down. When share prices move down, they attract media headlines. However, what the headlines don’t tell you is that on many other days, the sharemarket is quietly adding billions — or even just millions — of dollars in value to investors’ savings (I expand upon this in Chapter 3).
People want to invest in the sharemarket because the unique qualities of shares or stocks (the terms are used interchangeably in Australia) as financial assets make the sharemarket the best and most reliable long-term generator of personal wealth available to investors. Since 1900, according to AMP Capital, Australian shares have earned a return of approximately 11.8 per cent a year, split fairly evenly (49 per cent to 51 per cent) between capital growth and dividend income respectively.
And since 1950, according to research house Andex Charts, the All Ordinaries Accumulation Index (which counts dividends reinvested, as well as capital gain) has delivered an average return of 11.7 per cent a year up to 31 December 2020, which is enough to turn an investment of $100 in 1950 into $260,786 (see Figure 1-2). That compares to 7.5 per cent a year for bonds, 6.1 per cent a year for cash, and inflation at 4.8 per cent a year (making the sharemarket’s real or after-inflation return 6.9 per cent a year). In the 30 years to 31 December 2020, says Andex Charts, the same index earned 10.1 per cent a year, for a real return of 7.8 per cent a year.
Source: Andex Charts Pty Ltd
FIGURE 1-2: The growth of a $100 investment in the sharemarket over 70 years.
This performance track record makes the sharemarket a serious money-making machine, with one important caveat: not all shares make money (see Chapter 3).
In 1985, the Australian stock market was valued at $76 billion, about one-third of Australia’s gross domestic product (GDP — the amount of goods and services produced in the Australian economy). In May 2021, the stock market was valued at $2,400 billion, while GDP was about $2,000 billion. Although the nation’s economic output has grown almost nine times since 1985, the value of the stock market has grown by almost 32 times.
Investing is about building wealth for yourself, to help you have the lifestyle you want, educate and give your children a start in life and ensure that you have a well-funded, carefree retirement.
When you invest in shares, you get a number of advantages, such as:
The opportunity to buy a part of the company for a small outlay of cash
A share of the company’s profit through the payment of dividends (a portion of company profits distributed to shareholders)
The company’s retained earnings working for you as well
The possibility of capital gains as the share price rises over time
An easy way to buy and sell assets.
The sharemarket is virtually unbeatable as a place for individuals to build long-term wealth. Shares can provide long-term capital growth as well as an income through dividends: just over half of the long-term return from the sharemarket comes from dividends.
The sharemarket has an exaggerated reputation as a sort of Wild West for money and therefore it can be a daunting place for a new investor. The sharemarket is a huge and impersonal financial institution; yet paradoxically, it’s also a market that’s alive with every human emotion — greed, and fear, hope and defeat, elation and despair. The sharemarket can be a trap for fools or a place to create enormous wealth. Those who work in the industry see daily the best and worst of human behaviour. And you thought the sharemarket was simply a market in which shares were bought and sold!
The sharemarket is precisely that: a place for buying and selling shares. Approximately $7 billion worth of shares change hands every trading day. Shares are revalued in price every minute, reacting to supply, demand, news and sentiment, or the way that investors collectively feel about the likely direction of the market. The sharemarket also works to mobilise your money and channel your hard-earned funds to the companies that put those funds at risk for the possibility of gain. That ever-present element of risk, which can’t be neutralised, makes the sharemarket a dangerous place for the unwary. Although you take a risk with any kind of investment, being forearmed with sound knowledge of what you’re getting into and forewarned about potential traps are absolutely essential for your survival in the market.
Companies divide their capital into millions (sometimes billions) of units known as shares. Each share is a unit of ownership in the company, in its assets and in its profits. Companies issues shares through the sharemarket to raise funds for their operating needs; investors buy those shares, expecting capital gains and dividends. If the company fails, a share is also an entitlement to a portion of whatever assets remain after all of the company’s liabilities are paid.
A share is
Technically a loan to a company, although the loan is never repaid. The loan is borrowed permanently — like the car keys, if you have teenagers.
A financial asset that the shareholders of a company own, as opposed to the real assets of the company — its land, buildings and the machines, computers and equipment that its workers use to produce goods and services. Assets (both tangible and intangible) generate income; financial assets allocate that income. When you buy a share, what you are really buying is a share of the future flow of profits.
A right to part ownership, proportional to the number of shares owned. In law, the part of the assets of a company owned by shareholders is called equity (the shareholders’ funds). Shares are sometimes called equities. They are also called securities because they signify ownership with certain rights.
Now you know what you’re getting when you buy shares. You become a part-owner of the company. As a shareholder, you have the right to vote on the company’s major decisions. Saying ‘I’m a part-owner of Qantas’ sounds so much more impressive than ‘I’m a Qantas Frequent Flyer member.’ Just remember not to insist on sitting in with the pilots; as a shareholder, your ownership of Qantas is a bit more arm’s-length than that. That’s what shares were invented to do — separate the ownership of the company from those who manage and run it.
When you’re a shareholder in a company you can sit back and watch as the company earns, hopefully, a profit on its activities. After paying the costs of doing business — raw materials, wages, interest on any loans and other items — the company distributes a portion of the profit to you and other shareholders; the rest is retained for reinvestment. This profit share is called a dividend, which is a specified amount paid every six months on each share issued by the company. Shareholders receive a dividend payment for the total amount earned on their shareholding.
If the company makes a loss, shareholders are not required to make up the difference. All this means is that they won’t receive a dividend payment that year, unless the company dips into its reserves to pay (for more on dividends, see the section, ‘Dividend income’). However, too many non-profitable years and the company can go under, taking both its original investment and its chances of capital growth with it.
Companies that offer shares to the public are traded on the sharemarket as limited companies, which means the liability of the shareholders is limited to their original investment. This original investment is all they can lose. Suits for damages come out of shareholders’ equity, which may lower profits, but individual investors aren’t liable. Again, shareholders won’t be happy if the company continues to lose money this way.
Shares aren’t much good to you without a market in which to trade them. The sharemarket brings together everybody who owns shares — or would like to own shares — and lets them trade among themselves. At any time, anybody with money can buy some shares.
The sharemarket is a matchmaker for money and shares. If you want to buy some shares, you place a buying order on the market and wait for someone to sell you the amount you want. If you want to sell, you put your shares up for sale and wait for interested buyers to beat a path to your door.
The trouble with the matchmaker analogy is that some people really do fall in love with their shares. (I talk about this more in Chapter 7.) Just as in real love, their feelings can blind them to the imperfections of the loved one.
Shares are assets that are meant to do a job — to make money for you as the investor and your family. Making money is what the right shares do, given time.
Because shares are revalued constantly, the total value of a portfolio of shares, which is a collection of shares in different companies, fluctuates from day to day. Some days the portfolio loses value. But over time, a good share portfolio (or, more correctly, a portfolio of good-quality shares) shrugs off the volatility in prices and begins to create wealth for its owner. The more time you give the sharemarket to perform this task, the more wealth the sharemarket can create.
Shares in successful companies create wealth. As companies issue shares and prosper, their profits increase and so does the value of their shares. Because the price of a share is tied to a company’s profitability, the value of the share is expected to rise when the company is successful. In other words, higher quality shares usually cost more.
Successful companies have successful shares because investors want them. In the sharemarket, buyers of sought-after shares pay higher prices to tempt the people who own the shares to part with them. Increasing prices is the main way in which shares create wealth. The other way is by paying an income or dividend, although not all shares do this. A share can be a successful wealth creator without paying an income.
As a company earns a profit, some of the profit is paid to the company’s owners in the form of dividends. The company also retains some of the profit. Assuming that the company’s earnings grow, the principle of compound interest starts to apply (see Chapter 3 for more on how compound interest works). The retained earnings grow and the return on the invested capital grows as well. That’s how companies grow in value.
Ideally, you buy a share because you believe that share is going to rise in price. If the share does rise in price and you sell the share for more than you paid, you have made a capital gain. Of course, the opposite situation, a capital loss, can and does occur — if you’ve chosen badly, or had bad luck. These bad-luck shares, in the technical jargon of the sharemarket, are known as dogs. The simple trick to succeeding on the sharemarket is to make sure that you have more of the former experience than the latter!
When creating wealth, shares consistently outperform many other investments. Occasionally you may see comparisons with esoteric assets, such as thoroughbred horses, art or wine, which imply that these assets are better earners than shares. However, these are not mainstream assets, and the comparison is usually misleading. The original investment was probably extremely hard to secure and not as accessible, and not as liquid (easily bought and sold) as shares.
Of the mainstream asset classes (in terms of creating wealth over the long term), shares usually outdo property and outperform bonds (loan investments bearing a fixed rate of interest) — especially once the impact of franking credits (see Chapter 18) is taken into account.
Shares offer a higher return compared to other investments, but they also have a correspondingly higher risk. Risk and return always go together — an inescapable fact of investment, as I discuss in Chapter 4. The prices of shares fluctuate much more than those of property, while bonds are relatively stable in price. The major risk with shares is that, if you have to sell your shares for whatever reason, they may, at that time, be selling for less than you bought them. Or they may be selling for a lot more. This is the gamble you take.
Everybody who has money faces the decision of what to do with it. The unavoidable fact is that anywhere you place money, you face a risk that all or part of that money may be lost, either physically or hypothetically, in terms of its value. The simplest strategy is to deposit your money in a bank and leave it there. However, when you take the money out in the future, inflation (the rate of change in the price of everyday items) may decrease its buying power.
Risk is merely the other side of performance. You can’t have high returns without running some risk. You can lower risk through the use of diversification — the spreading of your invested funds across a range of assets, as explained in Chapter 5.
Trying to avoid risk is self-defeating because you’re passing up the chance of any return, which is why you invest in the first place. So, accept risk, manage your level of risk and don’t lose any sleep.
Investing in shares offers five big pluses. The first two pluses that I discuss in this section are the most critically important. The other three pluses are bonuses, one literally so.
As a company’s revenue, profits and the value of its assets rise, so does the market price of its shares. Subjective factors, such as the market’s perception of the company’s prospects, also play a part in this process. After you’ve looked through this book, you’ll know how to put together a share portfolio that makes the most of this crucial ingredient — capital growth.
Shares are the undisputed champion of long-term capital growth (which I talk about further in Chapter 3). As the magic of compounding interest gets to work on the higher returns generated by shares, your portfolio starts to build wealth at an unmatched rate. The longer you hold your sharemarket investment, the better its performance over any other investment. By following a few basic rules (see the strategies for investment, also in Chapter 3), you can be confident your investment can keep on growing.
Shares may generate for their owners an income, which is called a dividend (a portion of company profits distributed to investors). The dividend is another important method for generating investor wealth — it accounts for just over half (51 per cent) of the long-term return of the sharemarket index. A company dividend is paid in two portions: an interim dividend for the first six months of the financial year, and a final dividend for the second half. The two amounts make up the annual dividend. Not every company pays a dividend, but the paying of dividends is a vital part of becoming a member of that elite group of shares known as blue chips.
Franking credits are not dividends paid directly to an investor but arise through the system of dividend imputation, in which shareholders receive a rebate for the tax the company has already paid on its profit. The flow of franking credits from a share portfolio can reduce, and in some cases abolish, your tax liability. (I look at dividend imputation in detail in Chapter 18.)
Recently, another reason for owning shares — or, more correctly, a bonus for shareholders — has emerged in the form of the discounts companies offer to shareholders on their goods and services. Many companies offer some form of discount, and the number of companies making these offers is growing. These businesses realise that any inducement they can give people to buy their shares makes good marketing sense. Shareholder perks range from holiday deals to wine, shopping and banking discounts. For example, vitamins and supplements maker Blackmores offers shareholders a 30 per cent discount on purchases of some of its range; Domino’s Pizza Enterprises shareholders get discount codes on pizzas; and Event Hospitality & Entertainment shareholders can get discounted accommodation and dining at some of its Rydges, Atura or QT hotels, as well as discounts at Thredbo Alpine Resort and at the company’s Event Cinemas, Greater Union, BCC and GU Film House cinemas.
A major attraction of shares as an asset class is that they are extremely liquid, meaning that you can easily buy and sell them. Through your broker’s interface to the stock exchange’s trading system, ASX Trade, virtually any number of shares put on the market by a seller can be matched with a buyer for that number of shares. Some shares are less liquid than others; therefore, if you buy unpopular shares, they may be hard to sell.
A share portfolio is easily divisible. If you, the shareholder, need to raise money by selling some shares, you can sell any number to raise any amount. Divisibility is a major attraction of shares as compared to property. You can’t saw off your lounge room to sell it, but you can sell 500 Telstra shares with one phone call — or at the click of a mouse or a tap on a screen.
Shares are the riskiest of the major asset classes because no guarantees exist as to the likelihood of capital gains. Any investor approaching the sharemarket must accept this higher degree of risk.
Share prices fluctuate continually and can move in a downward direction for extended periods of time. You can’t get a signed, sealed and delivered guarantee that a share’s price will rise at all after you buy it.
You can minimise but never avoid the risk that accompanies investing in shares. Share investment is riskier than alternative investments, but after you discover how to keep that risk under control, you can use this knowledge to build wealth for you and your family. I discuss the possible risks you can encounter and how to minimise their effects in Chapter 4.
Sharemarket slumps are an occupational hazard to investors, but the COVID-19 crash of February–March 2020 was a doozy, mostly because of its unexpected source — the outbreak of a mysterious disease.
Coming into 2020, all was looking fine on the sharemarket front. By 19 February, the S&P 500 index was already 4.8 per cent to the good for 2020 so far; the S&P/ASX 200 was doing even better, up 6.8 per cent.
And then …
The sharemarket began to realise that the world was potentially dealing with the most lethal global pandemic in decades — the fast-spreading COVID-19.
The initial downward moves on the sharemarket did not seem too worrying. A succession of minor falls from 20 February took the slide to 12 per cent — officially into ‘correction’ territory (a fall of 10 per cent or more). But alarm was mounting, and as the cases and deaths increased, international travel began to slow down and companies worldwide began asking staff to work from home where they could. Airline and travel stocks started to feel the hit.
Monday 9 March 2020 was the day when COVID-19 — helped by a slump in the price of oil following news of the demise of a Russia–Saudi Arabian agreement to keep a curb on production to maintain oil prices — caught up with the global sharemarkets with a vengeance. The price of oil fell by more than 30 per cent. ‘Black Monday’ saw the S&P 500 lose 7.6 per cent, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by more than 2,000 points in a day for the first time ever, a decline of 7.8 per cent. In London, the FTSE 100 index lodged its fifth-worst day in history, plummeting by 7.7 per cent. France, Germany and Spain all lost about 8 per cent, outstripping the depths of the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis. The biggest sell-off came in Italy, with stocks in Milan collapsing by more than 11 per cent. The Australian market fell 7.3 per cent — a $155 billion loss.
In the space of just 22 trading days, the US market (the S&P 500) lost 30 per cent of its value, from its record high reached on 19 February 2020. That represented the fastest drop of such magnitude in sharemarket history. Scared by the potential fall-out of the COVID-19 crisis, investors dumped their shares, despite the massive stimulus and rescue packages being thrown at economies by governments and central banks. Investors were appalled at the job losses and welfare claims surged around the world, while economies and borders were deliberately shut down in an effort to contain the spread of the virus. Countries all over the world braced themselves for the deepest peacetime recession since the Great Depression of the 1930s.
The Australian market was not far behind its US peer, with the S&P/ASX 200 plunging 20.5 per cent in just 14 days — the sharpest fall in the local market since the historic 25 per cent slump on ‘Black Tuesday’ in October 1987 (which was the day after the US market lost 23 per cent in one day) — on its way to a 38.8 per cent slide to its lowest point, in just 22 trading days, during which the Australian market shed $680 billion in value.
During this early response to the pandemic, the global stock market plunged 30 per cent in just 40 trading days. By then, the sharemarket falls had gone well past a correction and they had moved beyond a bear market, too (for more on bear markets and periods of sharemarket volatility, turn to Chapter 3
