Stop Missing the Rate Cycle: Capture Safer Income and Smarter Returns with a Proven Duration Extension System for 2025 - Alaric Fenwick - E-Book

Stop Missing the Rate Cycle: Capture Safer Income and Smarter Returns with a Proven Duration Extension System for 2025 E-Book

Alaric Fenwick

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Beschreibung

Investors face one of the most critical decisions of the rate cycle: when to lock in yield and extend duration. The problem? Move too early and you sacrifice flexibility. Move too late and you miss the opportunity for years of enhanced income.

This book provides the solution: a precise, professional-grade playbook for navigating duration decisions as interest rates shift in 2025 and beyond. Through clear frameworks, data-driven analysis, and step-by-step application, you’ll learn how to evaluate yield curve dynamics, credit spreads, and reinvestment risk with clarity.

You’ll discover when extending duration makes sense, how to avoid classic timing mistakes, and how to structure bond portfolios and ETFs to balance both yield and safety. With forward-looking strategies, this guide empowers you to confidently act—not react—as market conditions evolve.

Whether you manage institutional portfolios, client accounts, or personal investments, this playbook transforms uncertainty into a disciplined system for securing stronger, longer-term returns.

Your edge in fixed income starts with mastering duration—before the next shift takes you by surprise.

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Veröffentlichungsjahr: 2025

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Alaric Fenwick

Stop Missing the Rate Cycle:Capture Safer Income and Smarter Returns with a Proven Duration Extension System for 2025

Copyright © 2025 by Alaric Fenwick

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise without written permission from the publisher. It is illegal to copy this book, post it to a website, or distribute it by any other means without permission.

This novel is entirely a work of fiction. The names, characters and incidents portrayed in it are the work of the author's imagination. Any resemblance to actual persons, living or dead, events or localities is entirely coincidental.

Alaric Fenwick asserts the moral right to be identified as the author of this work.

Alaric Fenwick has no responsibility for the persistence or accuracy of URLs for external or third-party Internet Websites referred to in this publication and does not guarantee that any content on such Websites is, or will remain, accurate or appropriate.

Designations used by companies to distinguish their products are often claimed as trademarks. All brand names and product names used in this book and on its cover are trade names, service marks, trademarks and registered trademarks of their respective owners. The publishers and the book are not associated with any product or vendor mentioned in this book. None of the companies referenced within the book have endorsed the book.

First edition

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Contents

1. Chapter 1

2. Chapter 1: Understanding the Rate Cycle

3. Chapter 2: The Importance of Duration in Bonds

4. Chapter 3: Analyzing Yield Curves

5. Chapter 4: Strategies for Locking in Yield

6. Chapter 5: Avoiding Classic Timing Mistakes

7. Chapter 6: Designing a Fixed Income Portfolio

8. Chapter 7: The Role of Bond ETFs

9. Chapter 8: Assessing Credit Spreads and Risk

10. Chapter 9: Reinvestment Risk and Its Management

11. Chapter 10: Interest Rate Shift Strategies for 2025

12. Chapter 11: Implementing Professional Income Strategies

13. Chapter 12: Future Trends in Fixed Income Investing

14. Chapter 13: Tools and Resources for Investors

15. Chapter 14: Case Studies and Real-World Applications

16. Chapter 1: Understanding the Rate Cycle

17. Chapter 2: The Importance of Duration in Bonds

18. Chapter 3: Analyzing Yield Curves

19. Chapter 4: Strategies for Locking in Yield

20. Chapter 5: Avoiding Classic Timing Mistakes

21. Chapter 6: Designing a Fixed Income Portfolio

22. Chapter 7: The Role of Bond ETFs

23. Chapter 8: Assessing Credit Spreads and Risk

24. Chapter 9: Reinvestment Risk and Its Management

25. Chapter 10: Interest Rate Shift Strategies for 2025

26. Chapter 11: Implementing Professional Income Strategies

27. Chapter 12: Future Trends in Fixed Income Investing

28. Chapter 13: Tools and Resources for Investors

29. Chapter 14: Case Studies and Real-World Applications

1

Chapter 1

Table of Contents

2

Chapter 1: Understanding the Rate Cycle

The Rate Cycle Defined

The Importance of Locking in Yield

Extending Duration: The Pros and Cons

Interest Rate Shifts and Their Implications

Yield Curve Analysis

Structuring a Fixed Income Portfolio

3

Chapter 2: The Importance of Duration in Bonds

Understanding Duration

Types of Duration Measures

Duration and Investment Strategy

Managing Duration in a Changing Rate Environment

4

Chapter 3: Analyzing Yield Curves

Understanding the Yield Curve

Yield Curve Shapes and Their Implications

Interpreting Shifts in the Yield Curve

Practical Applications of Yield Curve Analysis

5

Chapter 4: Strategies for Locking in Yield

Understanding Yield Dynamics

Evaluating Market Indicators

Timing Your Yield Lock

Portfolio Construction for High Yield

Advanced Yield Lock Techniques

Risk Management in Yield Locking

6

Chapter 5: Avoiding Classic Timing Mistakes

Understanding Common Timing Mistakes

The Role of Psychological Biases

Strategies to Improve Timing Decisions

Avoiding Timing Traps in Bond ETFs

7

Chapter 6: Designing a Fixed Income Portfolio

Understanding Portfolio Objectives

Diversification Strategies in Fixed Income

Asset Allocation Techniques

Role of Different Bond Types

Evaluating Reinvestment Risk

Best Practices for Fixed Income Portfolio Design

8

Chapter 7: The Role of Bond ETFs

Understanding Bond ETFs

Integrating Bond ETFs into Duration Strategy

Advantages of Bond ETFs in Uncertain Markets

Evaluating Bond ETF Performance

9

Chapter 8: Assessing Credit Spreads and Risk

Understanding Credit Spreads

Assessing Bond Value Through Spreads

Implications of Changing Spreads on Portfolio Design

Managing Credit Risk in Fixed Income Investments

The Future of Credit Spreads and Investment Strategies

10

Chapter 9: Reinvestment Risk and Its Management

Understanding Reinvestment Risk

Assessing Reinvestment Risk in Fixed Income Portfolios

Strategies for Mitigating Reinvestment Risk

Evaluating the Yield Curve Impact on Reinvestment Risk

Case Studies: Effective Reinvestment Risk Management

11

Chapter 10: Interest Rate Shift Strategies for 2025

Understanding Interest Rate Cycles

Strategies for Locking in Yield

Extending Duration: When and How

Managing Reinvestment Risk

12

Chapter 11: Implementing Professional Income Strategies

Understanding Income Needs

Duration Matching Techniques

Yield Curve Positioning

Bond ETF Strategies

13

Chapter 12: Future Trends in Fixed Income Investing

The Shift in Interest Rate Policies

The Role of Technology in Fixed Income

ESG Integration in Fixed Income Investing

Strategies for Adapting to Market Changes