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Brittany Bullard

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A non-technical guide to leveraging retail analytics for personal and competitive advantage Style & Statistics is a real-world guide to analytics in retail. Written specifically for the non-IT crowd, this book explains analytics in an approachable, understandable way, and provides examples of direct application to retail merchandise management, marketing, and operations. The discussion covers current industry trends and emerging-standard processes, and illustrates how analytics is providing new solutions to perennial retail problems. You'll learn how to leverage the benefits of analytics to boost your personal career, and how to interpret data in a way that's useful to the average end business user or shopper. Key concepts are detailed in easy-to-understand language, and numerous examples highlight the growing importance of understanding analytics in the retail environment. The power of analytics has become apparent across industries, but it's left an especially indelible mark on retail. It's a complex topic, but you don't need to be a data scientist to take advantage of the opportunities it brings. This book shows you what you need to know, and how to put analytics to work with retail-specific applications. * Learn how analytics can help you be better at your job * Dig deeper into the customer's needs, wants, and dreams * Streamline merchandise management, pricing, marketing, and more * Find solutions for inefficiencies and inaccuracies As the retail customer evolves, so must the retail industry. The retail landscape not only includes in-store but also website, mobile site, mobile apps, and social media. With more and more competition emerging on all sides, retailers need to use every tool at their disposal to create value and gain a competitive advantage. Analytics offers a number of ways to make your company stand out, whether it's through improved operations, customer experience, or any of the other myriad factors that build a great place to shop. Style & Statistics provides an analytics primer with a practical bent, specifically for the retail industry.

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Veröffentlichungsjahr: 2016

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Wiley & SAS Business Series

The Wiley & SAS Business Series presents books that help senior-level managers with their critical management decisions.

Titles in the Wiley & SAS Business Series include:

Analytics in a Big Data World: The Essential Guide to Data Science and Its Applications by Bart Baesens

Bank Fraud: Using Technology to Combat Losses by Revathi Subramanian

Big Data Analytics: Turning Big Data into Big Money by Frank Ohlhorst

Big Data, Big Innovation: Enabling Competitive Differentiation through Business Analytics by Evan Stubbs

Business Analytics for Customer Intelligence by Gert Laursen

Business Intelligence Applied: Implementing an Effective Information and Communications Technology Infrastructure by Michael Gendron

Business Intelligence and the Cloud: Strategic Implementation Guide by Michael S. Gendron

Business Transformation: A Roadmap for Maximizing Organizational Insights by Aiman Zeid

Connecting Organizational Silos: Taking Knowledge Flow Management to the Next Level with Social Media by Frank Leistner

Data-Driven Healthcare: How Analytics and BI Are Transforming the Industry by Laura Madsen

Delivering Business Analytics: Practical Guidelines for Best Practice by Evan Stubbs

Demand-Driven Forecasting: A Structured Approach to Forecasting, Second Edition by Charles Chase

Demand-Driven Inventory Optimization and Replenishment: Creating a More Efficient Supply Chain by Robert A. Davis

Developing Human Capital: Using Analytics to Plan and Optimize Your Learning and Development Investments by Gene Pease, Barbara Beresford, and Lew Walker

Economic and Business Forecasting: Analyzing and Interpreting Econometric Results by John Silvia, Azhar Iqbal, Kaylyn Swankoski, Sarah Watt, and Sam Bullard

Foreign Currency Financial Reporting from Euros to Yen to Yuan: A Guide to Fundamental Concepts and Practical Applications by Robert Rowan

Harness Oil and Gas Big Data with Analytics: Optimize Exploration and Production with Data Driven Models by Keith Holdaway

Health Analytics: Gaining the Insights to Transform Health Care by Jason Burke

Heuristics in Analytics: A Practical Perspective of What Influences Our Analytical World by Carlos Andre Reis Pinheiro and Fiona McNeill

Hotel Pricing in a Social World: Driving Value in the Digital Economy, by Kelly A. McGuire

Human Capital Analytics: How to Harness the Potential of Your Organization's Greatest Asset by Gene Pease, Boyce Byerly, and Jac Fitz-enz

Implement, Improve and Expand Your Statewide Longitudinal Data System: Creating a Culture of Data in Education by Jamie McQuiggan and Armistead Sapp

Killer Analytics: Top 20 Metrics Missing from Your Balance Sheet by Mark Brown

Predictive Analytics for Human Resources by Jac Fitz-enz and John Mattox II

Predictive Business Analytics: Forward-Looking Capabilities to Improve Business Performance by Lawrence Maisel and Gary Cokins

Retail Analytics: The Secret Weapon by Emmett Cox

Social Network Analysis in Telecommunications by Carlos Andre Reis Pinheiro

Statistical Thinking: Improving Business Performance, Second Edition, by Roger W. Hoerl and Ronald D. Snee

Taming the Big Data Tidal Wave: Finding Opportunities in Huge Data Streams with Advanced Analytics by Bill Franks

The Analytic Hospitality Executive: Implementing Data Analytics in Hotels and Casino by Kelly A. McGuire

The Executive's Guide to Enterprise Social Media Strategy: How Social Networks Are Radically Transforming Your Business by David Thomas and Mike Barlow

The Value of Business Analytics: Identifying the Path to Profitability by Evan Stubbs

The Visual Organization: Data Visualization, Big Data, and the Quest for Better Decisions by Phil Simon

Too Big to Ignore: The Business Case for Big Data by Phil Simon

Using Big Data Analytics: Turning Big Data into Big Money by Jared Dean

Win with Advanced Business Analytics: Creating Business Value from Your Data by Jean Paul Isson and Jesse Harriott

For more information on any of the above titles, please visit www.wiley.com.

Style and Statistics

The Art of Retail Analytics

Brittany Bullard

Cover image: Wiley Cover design: Fashion icons © Oliver Hoffmann/iStockphoto; Abstract background © aleksandarvelasevic/iStockphoto

Copyright © 2017 by SAS Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey. Published simultaneously in Canada.

No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978) 750-8400, fax (978) 646-8600, or on the Web at www.copyright.com. Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, (201) 748-6011, fax (201) 748-6008, or online at http://www.wiley.com/go/permissions.

Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty: While the publisher and author have used their best efforts in preparing this book, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this book and specifically disclaim any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. No warranty may be created or extended by sales representatives or written sales materials. The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a professional where appropriate. Neither the publisher nor author shall be liable for any loss of profit or any other commercial damages, including but not limited to special, incidental, consequential, or other damages.

For general information on our other products and services or for technical support, please contact our Customer Care Department within the United States at (800) 762-2974, outside the United States at (317) 572-3993 or fax (317) 572-4002.

Wiley publishes in a variety of print and electronic formats and by print-on-demand. Some material included with standard print versions of this book may not be included in e-books or in print-on-demand. If this book refers to media such as a CD or DVD that is not included in the version you purchased, you may download this material at http://booksupport.wiley.com. For more information about Wiley products, visit www.wiley.com.

ISBN 9781119270317 (Hardcover) ISBN 9781119271253 (ePDF) ISBN 9781119271246 (ePub) ISBN 9781119271260 (obook)

CONTENTS

Acknowledgments

About the Author

Introduction

Chapter 1: The Changing Face of Retail

Chapter 2: Merchandise Financial Planning

STATISTICAL FORECASTING

Chapter 3: Assortment Management

UNDERSTANDING YOUR CUSTOMER

UNDERSTANDING PRODUCT CHOICE COUNTS

UNDERSTANDING CURRENT PRODUCT PERFORMANCE

PREDICTING THE EVOLUTION OF TRENDS

HOW MUCH TO BUY?

WHAT SIZES DO I NEED?

Chapter 4: Fulfillment

ALLOCATION

ORDER FULFILLMENT

Chapter 5: Pricing

PRICING ANALYTICS

REGULAR PRICE

PROMOTIONAL PRICING

MARKDOWN/CLEARANCE PRICING

PRICING MATURITY AND ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURES

Chapter 6: Marketing

DATA

MARKETING CAMPAIGN LIFT ANALYSIS

CUSTOMER LIFETIME VALUE

CUSTOMER SEGMENTATION

THE INTERNET OF THINGS

PATH TO PURCHASE

Chapter 7: In-Store Experience

STORE LABOR FORECASTING

ASSORTMENT OPTIMIZATION

THE INTERNET OF THINGS

Chapter 8: Cybersecurity

EUROPAY, MASTERCARD, AND VISA/CHIP CARDS

CHARGEBACKS

DATA GOVERNANCE

Chapter 9: Customer Journey

Chapter 10: Millie and Boomer: Generations Unified

Chapter 11: How to Gain Personal Value from Analytics

CITIZEN DATA SCIENTIST

CHANGE AGENT

FINDING THE RIGHT FIT

THE VALUE OF ANALYTICS

References and Resources

Glossary

Retail Math

Index

EULA

Guide

Cover

Table of Contents

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Acknowledgments

Thank you to all those who helped me get to where I am today. I’d like to thank the Retail Analytics team for contributing to the overall vision of retail: Lori Schafer, Dan Mitchell, Andrew Fowkes, Kevin MacDonald, Jason Gautereaux, and Colin Reid. I want to thank Elizabeth Dove, Donna McGuckin, Jeff Thomas, Susan Carol, Charlie Chase, and Lauren Case for reviewing my manuscript. Their review and feedback have enhanced the quality of this book, and I greatly appreciate their efforts. Thank you to my amazing editor, Stacey Hamilton. I also want to thank my management: Gene Gsell, Greg Soussloff, Sandy Defelice, and Jason Gautereaux for supporting my endeavors.

Shout-out to my SAS Professional Services team and the Beall’s family for shaping me into the retailer I am today: Steve Knopik, Lorna Nagler, Thomas Williams, Victor D’Amato, Ron Friese, Pam Meyer, Kerri Devine, Ann Ferguson, Scott Langford, Kristen Henrichs, and Phillip Wozny.

Most important, thank you to my family for supporting me throughout the process. Thank you to my son, Landon Bullard, for dealing with some weekends stuck in the house. Biggest thanks to my other half, Nick Berg, for constantly being there for me along the way and pushing me to finish.

About the Author

Brittany Bullard is a Solutions and Analytical Consultant in the Retail and Consumer Packaged Goods Practice at SAS Institute. Bullard focuses on retailers’ strategic problems and identifies the challenges they face in an evolving industry. Her role allows her to apply her knowledge of advanced analytics to solve the most pressing issues and position SAS’s customers for success.

Bullard brings to her team a decade of experience in the retail industry and a fresh millennial perspective on the customer and user experience. Versed in retail forecasting and omnichannel analytics, she serves as a member of the Strategic Retail Analytics team at SAS and on the Global Retail Community of Industry Leaders as the representative for the United States.

Originally a chemistry and math fiend, Bullard found the application of analytics in retail a perfect union of her strengths and passions. She now works to educate others on how they can drive innovation and develop professionally by leveraging the power of analytics.

Prior to joining SAS, Bullard acted as the manager of Forecasting, Allocation, and Replenishment at Beall’s Inc. Her leadership of the implementation and management of retail analytics at Beall’s connected Bullard to the SAS retail team. Bullard collaborates on the design of retail-focused solutions and the SAS Assortment Management portfolio, which was recognized as a leader in the Forrester Wave in 2014 and the Gartner Magic Quadrant in 2014, 2015, and 2016.

Introduction

Have you ever walked into a department store and wondered how the magic of sights, smells, and staging came together? The sweet smell of gardenia wafting from the fragrance department; the eclectic assortment of pumps, sandals, and flats in the shoe department; and the eye-catching visual merchandising of in-season colors and fashions that captures the essence of time? Such is the life of a retailer, who blends art and science to create an environment where you, the shopper, take center stage.

Many major retailers started out as individually owned stores. The owners ran the store themselves. They were in the store day in and day out so they knew their business. They knew their customers and their customers’ preferences. Pricing of products was a pretty basic concept. The owners marketed by word of mouth or through local flyers and newspapers. Successful owners were able to add on more locations. As location growth increased, the complexity of buying, planning, and marketing increased. No longer were the owners in each location every day, nor did they know all of their customers on a first-name basis. With this expansion, retailers understood their customers less and were unable to tackle the workload on their own. Marketing became more difficult as well. The sheer volume of work became increasingly larger as businesses grew.

Therefore, owners began to hire a staff, who became an essential piece of the puzzle. Buyers or merchants were responsible for picking out products, determining how much to buy from different vendors, planning sales, planning inventory, and advertising their goods. The buyer had many functions in the beginning. Buyers tend to be individuals with a great eye for design. They are usually very artistic and creative individuals with good taste. Sometimes these individuals are described as being right-brained. The right side of the brain controls tasks that have to do with creativity and artistry. The right-brained, creative element for a merchant is a key benefit for selecting the perfect merchandise.

But eventually it became clear that businesses also needed a “left-brained” perspective to ensure profitability through math and logic. The left side of the brain controls tasks that have to do with logic. The left side is more geared toward math and science. Over time, the Picasso-Einstein model developed. Buyers are the Picassos, who are in charge of fashion artistry. Planners are the Einsteins, ensuring maximum profitability through math and science.

The original buyer’s role of picking products, determining how much to buy, planning sales, monitoring inventory, and managing other key metrics was divided up. Although the roles vary by retailer, in general, the planner manages the financial aspect of the business, ensuring that the sales targets are planned along with other key performance indicators and inventory. The merchant or buyer controls the selection and management of the assortment, within the financial budget that has been established by the planner. The buyer has the eye for fashion, trends, and taste. The planner ensures that the financial and strategic targets are achieved.

The greatest performance comes from a perfect marriage of the two roles. If planners were in charge of both roles, they would likely never take risks, have incredibly low inventories, and probably sacrifice presentation standards for fear of wasted inventory. Together, this partnership creates a beautiful, profitable business. The perfect marriage of art and science, it later evolved to the art and analytics of retail.

Marketing has evolved over time as well. Marketing developed from advertising. Today, advertising is a component of marketing. Advertising includes spreading the word about your brand or business. With most businesses, advertising begins as word of mouth. It can then branch out to newspaper ads, magazine ads, and even social media! Brands and retailers are now advertising on a plethora of platforms. The creation and nurturing of a retail brand is its lifeblood; think of Williams-Sonoma or Nordstrom; they both have a “brand” identity that invites and nurtures loyal customers. These brands reach their target audience through buying specific market ads to truly connect to their customers and sustain this brand loyalty.

But advertising is only one component of marketing. Marketing is the overall strategic planning, execution, and measuring of how a retailer or a brand interacts with its customers and how that brand is perceived. Public relations and community involvement aid in brand perception. Marketing is no longer thought of as a commercial or a newspaper ad. Instead, it is thought of as a lifetime relationship between a brand and a customer.

There are multiple components of a retailer’s business. These components have historically worked in silos. Merchandising and marketing, as described earlier, are two key components to driving merchandise assortments and communicating the most relevant information in the most effective way to the customer. The in-store teams, or store operations, are the components of the business that interact with the customers. The in-store teams are at the forefront of building relationships with customers once the merchandising, pricing, and marketing strategies have been executed. Last, cybersecurity is the component of the business that protects customers against cyberattacks and ensures that personal information, including credit card data, is not compromised.

The retail environment has had significant changes over the last couple of years with the rise of the digital landscape, an increase in e-commerce business, and the rise of the millennial customer. For retailers to be successful, they must break down the silos of these different components to their business to truly understand and shape the customer journey. In this book, we will walk through each component of the retailer’s business. We will discuss what each component is responsible for, how retailers are able to intertwine the components, the challenges retailers face, and how retailers can leverage analytics to overcome challenges while maintaining the art of retail to drive profitability and efficiencies.

Chapter 1The Changing Face of Retail

The Internet completely transformed the retail industry and the way we think about shopping. Retail changed from walking through a store to a click of a button while sitting on your couch in your yoga pants. The growth of mobile and technology has also revolutionized the industry.

The first online retail site was created in 1979. Michael Aldrich connected a television to a computer that processed transactions in real time using a telephone. He called it Videotex. This was even before the World Wide Web. Tim Berners-Lee created the first World Wide Web server in 1990. The first retail site was a book retailer, www.books.com. In 1994, a secure port was developed for online transactions. This meant that customers were able to purchase items online through a relatively safe process, avoiding fraud and identity theft. It was by no means 100% secure, but it was better than previous attempts. Still, people were somewhat skeptical about making purchases online.

Amazon and eBay quickly followed in 1995. I remember surfing for designer items on eBay in my younger years. I had somewhat of an obsession with Nancy Kerrigan during my childhood. My first eBay/online purchase was a Nancy Kerrigan refrigerator magnet. When it arrived, I discovered that it was literally a cut-out of Nancy Kerrigan from a magazine article, laminated, with a magnet glued to the back.

That was the risk you faced during eBay’s early years of bidding on items. Then eBay transformed into more structure and reliability. A “buy” option was also implemented, rather than waiting to be outbid or win. I’m not going to lie: I enjoyed the rush of the bidding process and the not knowing what you were going to receive in the mail. This might have been due to my age, but it created great memories.

Amazon was also one of the first e-retailers that only sold online. It has now grown to be the largest e-commerce retailer and recently opened a physical store location. Amazon started out selling books and has now grown to sell clothing, electronics, home goods, and even food. Amazon Prime offers free two-day shipping, which has attracted a vast audience. Amazon has also started same-day delivery in select major cities with a new program called AmazonFresh. Amazon’s latest technological move is the dash button, a small button that can stick to any surface and connects to a customer’s Amazon Prime account and Wi-Fi. When the button is pressed, it sends an order to Amazon. These dash buttons are available for brands such as Cottonelle, Clorox, Dasani, Red Bull, Tide, and many more common household products. If a customer notices she is running low on toilet paper, a simple click of the dash button generates an order, and a box of toilet paper is delivered to her door in two days. Amazon is becoming the king of e-commerce in today’s market and will reach 19% of market share by 2020, making Amazon the largest retailer in the world.

The evolving technologies have changed not only the way we think of shopping but also our expectations. “Millennials” is a term used to describe people who were born between the years 1982 and 2004. This generation has predominantly grown up during the age of technology. A millennial’s first job was after the BlackBerry and Internet were invented. Technology is a known way of life to them. The millennials are a technology-savvy generation. Education has incorporated technology as a staple in their development. Therefore, millennials have much higher expectations from retailers.

I myself am a millennial. I remember the launch of AOL; online dating when it was in the form of chatrooms; and MTV when it was actually videos with my boy Carson Daly, and you were not cool if you didn’t have a cell phone in middle school. These expectations are even greater for the younger spectrum of millennials.

We check our phone on average 45 times per day and spend 3.2 hours on our mobile devices. Social media is a large part of a millennial’s life. Social media is the means by which we communicate and stay informed with what is going on in the news. The first social media sites were Myspace in 2003 and Facebook in 2004. Myspace is an online community that slowly lost popularity over the years. It is still around but has become more of an avenue for musicians. Facebook started as a social community only for individuals with a university e-mail address. It slowly evolved to include community colleges and eventually opened to the public, moving from exclusively college students to everyone and their grandmother.

In 2014, Facebook had 1.23 billion monthly active users. As Facebook grew, so did other social sites, such as Instagram, which is a site where individuals share pictures. This site came on the scene in 2010. In 2014, Instagram had 300 million active members. Twitter came on the scene in 2006 with the concept of leveraging Facebook’s statuses and through it emerged the infamous hashtags. Hashtags are now a part of the millennial English language. A hashtag is a word or phrase that describes a topic, an event, or a person. These words or phrases begin with a hash or pound mark.

For example, #ThrowbackThursday is a hashtag used on social sites every Thursday where individuals post old pictures of themselves. Hashtags are used for searching on Twitter and Instagram. I have a good friend who has a weird obsession with cats. I think we all know a few of these people. She frequently searches #cats, so the content on her homepage has been tailored to show things of interest to her, such as cats. Tagging your picture with the #cats description will increase the likelihood that your picture will show up on her page and she will like it. Liking is a whole other concept. On any social site, people are able to click “Like” on your picture. It is almost a personal mission to try to get the most likes. Timing is involved in this as well. A millennial typically will not post his or her best pictures on a Saturday night at 10 pm because that’s when everyone is out. If you post your best pictures with a large number of hashtags on a Monday around 4 pm when the workday is nearly over, your “like” factor will skyrocket.

Snapchat started in September 2011 and has evolved to be the second-most used social media app among millennials. Snapchat is a mobile app that allows you to take pictures, selfies, or videos and send them to select individuals or post to “your story.” The kicker is that if you send the pictures or videos to an individual, the picture expires after 10 seconds, and only one replay is allowed per day. This app also enables users to send text messages that disappear after they have been read. If someone takes a screenshot of the picture, the app will actually tell the sender. This is of great appeal to any young millennials who do not want to leave a trail.

It is important to understand these different social media apps and how they work to best target and understand customers. Social media is a growing platform for retailers to reach their target audience. When it comes to social media sites, millennials start using these sites first, and then they slowly grow to reach the masses. This is why it is so important to understand millennials. There is a lot of hype in the market that if people are only focusing on millennials, then they are thinking that there are only jellyfish in the ocean. But the truth is, millennials lead the pack in expectations of retailers’ technological capabilities and social presence. Once millennials’ expectations come to fruition in the mainstream market, they tend to become the expectations of all generations. #Trendsetters is the hashtag that would describe this phenomenon. Social media began as a millennial fad but is now an all-generation fad. As a result, social media has become a critical element to reaching customers of all ages.

Social media sites also have influence on retailer websites. Take, for example, the app Tinder. Tinder is a dating app where people create a profile with information about themselves as well as a couple of pictures. If you are not interested in a profile that appears, you swipe to the right. If you swipe to the left, then you are interested and the app shows additional profiles of individuals who you may be interested in. If you would like to see more pictures of the person, then you swipe up and down to move through pictures. If you swipe to the left and the other person swipes to the left, then you both are able to communicate with each other through messaging. This is ideal in the social dating world because it reduces the number of people who you are not interested in messaging you. I only know all of this from a friend, of course, and you may be wondering what in the world this has to do with retail. I don’t blame you. This style of app is actually influencing the way retailers change the design of their mobile sites. The best websites, software, and processes are ones that tie to how an individual is accustomed to performing a task or workflow.

Forever 21 is a fashion retailer geared toward millennials. The company has redesigned its mobile app to reflect this same type of style. You swipe to the left to see additional products, and you swipe up and down to see more pictures of the product in different angles. It’s genius. It is all about creating a process that already ties to someone’s habits. That is how you create a great customer experience. Ease of use and customer experience help drive customers to purchase as well as create strong customer loyalty.

“Channel” is a term retailers use to describe the mechanism through which customers shop and retailers connect with the customers. These channels include in-store, online, catalog, call center, mobile apps, social media, and so forth. Omnichannel is the means by which retailers and consumers engage with each other across touchpoints through one seamless customer experience. There is truly a plethora of touchpoints, including in-store, website, mobile site, mobile apps, Snapchat, Twitter, Pinterest, Instagram, Facebook, YouTube, and Amazon. The digital landscape also describes the mix of channels.

Due to the increase in channels, retailers are adjusting their business processes and technology to support omnichannel initiatives. Some retailers have separate buying teams for e-commerce versus in-store. In general, retailers are moving away from having separate buying teams to enhance the seamless transition between the channels. If two people are buying for swimwear, for example, it becomes much more difficult to have a cohesive message between in-store and online.

The increase in omnichannel shopping brings its own challenges for retailers. As e-commerce sales continue to grow, store volume declines. We call physical store locations “brick and mortar.” Controlling inventory is one of the top challenges. Declining volume in brick-and-mortar locations results in less of a need for inventory to maintain productivity and profitability.

However, studies have shown that customers still enjoy shopping in these locations. They may walk through a store and then purchase via their mobile phone a couple hours later. This behavior is called showrooming. Showrooming brings large complexities to retailers. Maintaining inventory levels as well as staffing to support an increase in traffic but a decline in sales is a challenge. As e-commerce sales started to increase, retailers invested in fulfillment centers, large distribution centers that fulfill online, catalog, and call center orders.

In the last couple of years, since the rise of showrooming, retailers are transitioning to in-store fulfillment. In-store fulfillment supports presentations for customers walking through the stores and supports the staffing for these brick-and-mortar locations. Of course, there are still challenges with this type of approach. Mainly, shipping costs can become a large burden as multiple items in a customer’s order may come from different locations. In-store fulfillment from multiple store locations can also have a negative impact on customer experience because the customer is getting 20 boxes in the mail, all at different times. For example, the customer’s top may come from store 1, the skirt may come from store 2, and the associated accessories may come from store 3. This creates additional shipping fees for the retailer because the customer only paid one shipping fee, but the retailer had to ship three separate boxes.

To solve this problem, optimization has become a critical piece in the equation. Typically, legacy fulfillment mechanisms were driven by business rules. Business rules are a lot of “if . . . then” statements. Optimization, however, is the selection of the best available scenario, which takes into account multiple factors. In this example, these factors may be the locations that have the largest amount of items in the purchase order, the geographic distance to the shipping address, the amount of inventory of each item within the order, and the like.

An additional challenge that has arisen since the explosion of e-commerce and mobile is the competition. Customers have information at their fingertips. They can find any and all information, including competitor product availability, competitor pricing, and even coupons! Let’s face it, who hasn’t Googled or looked on Amazon before making a large purchase? Customers are able to check pricing in the middle of retail locations. There is even a “shopping” filter on Google. Couponing has become a hobby in recent years along with thousands of coupon sites and apps. In order to stay in the game, competitor pricing is a key element when thinking about pricing strategies for digital channels.

The third challenge with the rise in e-commerce and the digital landscape is marketing and personalization. E-mail has been flooded in recent years with offers upon offers. Whether it’s a percentage off, extra off on clearance, or free shipping, inboxes are being flooded with offers, relevant or not. Offers via apps are also a key strategy. But all of these interaction points with the customer add more complexity to the marketing efforts. We discuss the topic of pricing and marketing efforts in more detail in Chapters 5 and 6.

With these added complexities come large amounts of data. Retail data can be sales, product inventory, e-mail offers, customer information, competitor pricing, product descriptions, social media, and much more. Combined, this is described as big data, or large sets of data that are leveraged to make better business decisions. There has been a lot of buzz and hype about the term “big data” in the last couple of years.

Big data can be described in two ways: structured data and unstructured data. Different types of data can support different initiatives within retail.

In order to leverage the insights gained through analytics successfully, structured versus unstructured data in retail is a key topic to understand. Structured data is data that sits in a database, a file, or a spreadsheet. It is generally organized and formatted. In retail, this data can be point-of-sale data, inventory, product hierarchies, and so on. Unstructured data does not have a specific format. It can be customer reviews, tweets, pictures, and even hashtags.

Now that you know what structured versus unstructured data in retail is, let’s talk about how to use it. Customer reviews are a great way to understand why a certain product is or isn’t working. Word clouds are tools to visualize large amounts of customer reviews. Finding keywords that are used frequently can give insight into product features. For example, if “fits small”

is frequently used, then the retailer can be proactive by adding this to the product description or above the size selection. This will reduce customer returns and money lost on shipping fees.

Unstructured data can also be studied for sentiment analysis. This gives insight into whether the customer’s response is positive, negative, or neutral. A great example of this is being able to analyze customers’ Twitter responses. Let’s say you post a tweet with products you are thinking about buying for your spring line, including a sketch of the design along with a descriptive hashtag such as the brand and the item name. Leveraging advanced technologies, the retailer is able to obtain customer responses related to the hashtag from Twitter and analyze the responses for sentiment analysis. This analysis enables retailers to understand customers’ responses before the retailer even buys the product. This technique can also be utilized in season and give merchants insight into areas of opportunity or risk so that they can best manage their business.

As you can probably tell from reading this chapter, the changing retail environment has made it critical to understand analytics for more detailed analysis of business decisions. Complexities in e-commerce and the digital landscape and new challenges from omnichannel strategies and the world of big data have led to advanced analytics becoming an integral part of retail. In the following chapters, we are going to walk through applications of analytics within the retail environment, including assortment management, pricing decisions, marketing strategies, store operations, and cybersecurity.

Chapter 2Merchandise Financial Planning

Assortment” is a term used to describe the product offerings carried by a retailer. Managing this assortment is a critical piece to creating a successful and profitable business. This assortment needs to change with the seasons. It needs to change with the recent fashion trends and consumer trends. Assortments need to reflect what is going on in the marketplace. If people are no longer buying Kodak cameras or overalls, then you definitely don’t want them in your assortment. But assortment management is also about having a business plan and meeting financial goals. At the end of the day, no matter how beautiful an assortment is, it has to drive profitability for a retailer or designer to stay in business.

Management of assortment starts at a high level. Specific financial targets must be met. Quite often, these high-level initial targets are determined by a finance department. Companies have certain targets that must be met to keep the lights on, keep investors happy, and make money. Finance departments typically determine a high-level annual revenue target. From there, a planning and allocation team typically takes that number from finance and breaks it down to consumable and actionable levels.

We call these levels hierarchies. A “hierarchy” by definition is a ranking system where items are classified into different levels. From a merchandising hierarchy perspective, three different hierarchies are utilized. One hierarchy is for merchandise, the second hierarchy is location based, and the third is time. People in retail also refer to this as MLT (merchandise, location, and time). The merchandise hierarchy naming and ordering convention can vary by retailer. Typically it starts at the top with “total company.” This could then be followed by division or category.

A total company can be divided up into different higher-level businesses. For example, in a department store, these divisions could be: men’s, misses’, petite, plus/women’s, juniors, young men’s, boys, girls, baby, shoes, accessories, and home. The next level under a division is typically a department. These departments are lower-level segments of a division. Let’s take misses’ as an example. Within misses’, the lower-level segments of the department could be tops, warm wear, bottoms, dresses, and swim. The next level typically is a major class. Examples of major classes within misses’ tops could be long-sleeve