Table of Contents
Praise
Other titles from BLOOMBERG PRESS
Title Page
Copyright Page
Dedication
List of Tables
Acknowledgements
Introduction
A TRAVEL GUIDE TO ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
MODERN PORTFOLIO THEORY
THE GOOD, THE FLAWED, THE BAD, AND THE UGLY
PART 1 - The Good
Chapter 1 - Real Estate
HISTORICAL RETURNS AND RISK: U.S. REAL ESTATE, U.S. EQUITIES, AND INTERNATIONAL EQUITIES
THE DIVERSIFICATION BENEFITS OF REITS
ASSET LOCATION AND REAL ESTATE
RECOMMENDED INVESTMENT VEHICLES
INTERNATIONAL REAL ESTATE
YOUR HOME AND THE ASSET ALLOCATION DECISION
SUMMARY
Chapter 2 - Inflation-Protected Securities
REAL OR NOMINAL RETURN BONDS: WHICH ARE RISKIER?
TIPS: DOING THE MATH
CORRELATIONS WITH EQUITIES AND INFLATION
INFLATION, PRICE, AND INTEREST RATE RISK
TIPS: PROS AND CONS
ALLOCATING BETWEEN REAL AND NOMINAL RETURN FIXED-INCOME ASSETS
A SHIFTING ALLOCATION APPROACH
A SHIFTING MATURITY STRATEGY
I BONDS
SUMMARY
Chapter 3 - Commodities
CORRELATION WITH STOCKS, BONDS, AND INFLATION
EVENT RISK
A RISK-REDUCTION TOOL
PORTFOLIO EFFICIENCY
GAINING EXPOSURE TO COMMODITIES
THE ARGUMENT AGAINST INVESTING IN COMMODITY PRODUCERS
IMPLEMENTATION
SUMMARY
Chapter 4 - International Equities
EMERGING MARKET EQUITIES
CORRELATIONS
SAMPLE PORTFOLIOS
THE RISKS OF INVESTING IN EMERGING MARKETS
SMALL-CAP AND VALUE STOCKS
WRAP-UP: EMERGING MARKETS
INTERNATIONAL SMALL-CAP STOCKS
SUMMARY
Chapter 5 - Fixed Annuities
HOW LONG DO PAYMENTS CONTINUE?
DETERMINANTS OF PAYMENT SIZE
THE BENEFITS OF ANNUITIZATION
MORTALITY CREDITS MAKE IT POSSIBLE
WHEN ANNUITIES CAN BE THE RIGHT CHOICE
EVIDENCE FROM ACADEMIA
WHEN TO PURCHASE A FIXED ANNUITY
INFLATION-INDEXED IMMEDIATE ANNUITIES
SUMMARY
Chapter 6 - Stable-Value Funds
UNIQUE RISK AND RETURN CHARACTERISTICS
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIOS
RISKS
COSTS
RESTRICTIONS
RETURNS CHANGE SLOWLY OVER TIME
CASH FLOWS CAN AFFECT RETURNS
SUMMARY
PART 2 - The Flawed
Chapter 7 - High-Yield (Junk) Bonds
EXPLAINING THE LOW CORRELATION
IS HIGHER YIELD WORTH HIGHER RISK?
THE IMPORTANCE OF EQUITY RISK
DO HIGH-YIELD BONDS HAVE A ROLE?
THE NEED FOR DIVERSIFICATION
THE HISTORICAL EVIDENCE
MORE EFFICIENT ALTERNATIVES
SUMMARY
Chapter 8 - Private Equity (Venture Capital)
ORIGINS
THE ATTRACTION
THE HISTORICAL EVIDENCE
CHARACTERISTICS OF PRIVATE EQUITY RETURNS
VENTURE CAPITAL VERSUS PUBLICLY TRADED SECURITIES
PERCEPTION VERSUS REALITY
PRIVATE EQUITY’S ROLE IN A PORTFOLIO
NONMONETARY EXPLANATIONS FOR PRIVATE EQUITY INVESTING
SUMMARY
Chapter 9 - Covered Calls
TAXES MATTER
TRANSACTIONS COSTS
AN ALTERNATIVE STRATEGY
SUMMARY
Chapter 10 - Socially Responsible Mutual Funds
DEFINING SRI
DOES SOCIALLY RESPONSIBLE INVESTING COME AT A PRICE?
SUMMARY
Chapter 11 - Precious Metals Equities
RISK
RETURNS
CORRELATIONS
THE HEDGING VALUE OF PME
POSITIVE ATTRIBUTES OF PME
OTHER CONSIDERATIONS
IMPLEMENTING THE STRATEGY
SUMMARY
Chapter 12 - Preferred Stocks
LONG MATURITIES
CALL RISK
CREDIT RISK
LONG MATURITIES AND CALL RISK
DIVIDEND SUSPENSION
PREFERENTIAL TREATMENT FOR CORPORATE BUYERS
OTHER CONSIDERATIONS
TAX ADVANTAGES
SUMMARY
Chapter 13 - Convertible Bonds
THE REALITIES OF CONVERTIBLE BONDS
CONSIDERATIONS
SHIFTING ASSET ALLOCATION
ASSET LOCATION
COMPLEXITY
SUMMARY
Chapter 14 - Emerging Market Bonds
RISKS
RETURNS
CORRELATIONS
POTENTIAL POSITIVES
ADDITIONAL CONSIDERATIONS
SUMMARY
PART 3 - The Bad
Chapter 15 - Hedge Funds
EXCLUSIVE NATURE
WHY HEDGE FUNDS AREN’T MUTUAL FUNDS
FACTS VERSUS FANTASIES
HEDGE FUND RISKS
WISDOM AND EXPERIENCE, OR HOPE AND HYPE?
LONG-TERM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
SUMMARY
Chapter 16 - Leveraged Buyouts
SUMMARY
Chapter 17 - Variable Annuities
DEFERRED VARIABLE ANNUITIES
VARIABLE IMMEDIATE ANNUITIES
POSSIBLE REASONS TO BUY A VARIABLE ANNUITY
SUMMARY
PART 4 - The Ugly
Chapter 18 - Equity-Indexed Annuities
CAVEAT EMPTOR
MINIMUMS THAT AREN’T MINIMUMS
PENALTIES FOR EARLY WITHDRAWAL
TAX INEFFICIENCY
SUMMARY
Chapter 19 - Structured Investment Products
MONDO NATIONAL BANK PRINCIPAL PROTECTION NOTES: PRODUCT FEATURES
MORE EFFICIENT ALTERNATIVES
A CLOSER LOOK AT HYPOTHETICAL FRATS
BEING CAREFUL OUT THERE
SUMMARY
Chapter 20 - Leveraged Funds
THE PROOF IS IN THE PUDDING
SUMMARY
Final Thoughts
Notes
Glossary
Recommended Reading
Sources of Data
Index
About the Authors
About Bloomberg
List of Tables
Table 1.1 Investment Efficiency, U.S. Stocks, International Stocks, and REITs, 1978-2007
Table 1.2 Correlation of Annual Returns
Table 1.3 Diversification Benefits of REITs, 1978-2007
Table 2.1 Decision Table for Allocation of Short-Term Fixed-Income and of 10-Year TIPS or a TIPS Fund
Table 2.2 Decision Table for the Allocation and Maturity of TIPS
Table 3.1 Returns and Volatility: Commodities, Stocks, and Bonds, 1973-2007
Table 3.2 Major Asset Classes: Annual Correlation with the S&P GSCI, 1973-2007
Table 3.3 Correlations of Commodities Futures Returns with Stocks, Bonds, and Inflation, July 1959-December 2004
Table 3.4 S&P 500 and S&P GSCI: Returns Correlated with the Business Cycle
Table 3.5 Returns and Volatility of Stocks, Bonds, and the S&P GSCI, 1980-1989
Table 3.6 Years of Negative Returns of Lehman Brothers Treasury Bond Index (1-30 years), 1973-2007
Table 3.7 Years of Negative Returns of the S&P 500, 1973-2007
Table 3.8 Sample Portfolios: DJ-AIGCI and S&P GSCI, 1991-2007
Table 3.9 Oil Stocks: Betas and Correlations with Equities and Oil Prices, 1990-2000
Table 4.1 Comparative Performance: Emerging Markets, Emerging Market Small-Cap, and Emerging Market Value, 1989-2007
Table 4.2 Sample Portfolios, 1988-2007
Table 4.3 Comparative P/E Ratios
Table 4.4 Comparing Large-Cap, Small-Cap, and Value Emerging Market
Table 4.5 Performance: S&P 500, MSCI EAFE, and International Small-Cap Stocks, 1970-2007
Table 4.6 Sample Portfolios: International Small-Cap Allocations, 1970-2007
Table 4.7 Sample Portfolios: Risk and Return, 1988-2007
Table 5.1 Annuity Payout Compared to Treasury Bond Payout
Table 5.2 Likelihood of Outliving Investable Assets
Table 7.1 Credit Ratings for Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s
Table 7.2 Has Credit Risk Been Rewarded?
Table 7.3 Annualized Returns and Standard Deviations for Alternative Strategies, 1979-2007
Table 9.1 Comparing Alternative Portfolio Strategies, 1973-2007
Table 11.1 Years of Negative Returns for the S&P 500 Index (1970 to 2007)
Table 12.1 Alternative Portfolio Strategies 1973-2007
Table 14.1 Emerging Market Bond Returns, 1994-2007
Table 14.2 An Overview of Emerging Market Bond Funds
Table 15.1 Comparing the Return of Hedge Funds to the Returns of Publicly Traded Securities, 2003-2007
Table 15.2 Alpha Required by Hedge Funds Versus the Market
Table 15.3 Alpha Required by Hedge Funds Versus the Market
Table 17.1 Impact of Investment Returns on Annuity Payments
Table 19.1 More Effective Alternative Portfolios, 1970-2006
Table 19.2 More Effective Alternative Portfolios, 1970-2006
Table 20.1 It’s a Long Way from Strategy to Outcome!
Table 20.2 Volatility Matters
Praise for
The Only Guide to Alternative Investments You’ll Ever Need
The Good, the Flawed, the Bad, and the Ugly
BY LARRY E. SWEDROE AND JARED KIZER
“A timely and valuable book. The authors describe twenty alternatives to investing in traditional U.S. stocks and bonds, and how they work. They tell you which ones to walk away from, which to consider (carefully!), and how to get involved. These are good-sense judgments that every investor should pay attention to.”
—JANE BRYANT QUINN Author of Smart and Simple Financial Strategies for Busy People
“At the risk of being clichéd, Swedroe has done it again! I make it a point to read every book written by him. This time, it’s all about alternative investments, and Swedroe, running true to form, tells it exactly as it is. He pulls no punches, he holds nothing back. If he doesn’t like something, he says so. If emerging markets equities are downright risky, he doesn’t mince his words or try to put a puffy spin on it. That is what makes reading Swedroe so fascinating.”
—STUART KAHAN Executive editor, CPA Wealth Provider
“For investors looking to go beyond an S&P 500 Index fund and a bond fund—and every investor should—don’t make a move until you’ve read The Only Guide to Alternative Investments You’ll Ever Need. Full of historical evidence, practical advice, and specific investment ideas, this book provides a blueprint for what to include and what to avoid in an intelligently constructed portfolio.”
—ROBERT BROKAMP Editor, The Motley Fool’s Rule Your Retirement service
“As a financial journalist, I’ve been recommending Larry Swedroe’s books for years because they are filled with invaluable advice that can make any reader a more successful investor. I will now be adding The Only Guide to Alternative Investments You’ll Ever Need to my favored reading list.”
—LYNN O’SHAUGHNESSY Financial journalist and author, The College Solution
“Larry Swedroe and Jared Kizer have written a different sort of investment book, and one that has been sorely needed: a comprehensive guide to the theory, peer-reviewed literature, and practical nitty-gritty of actually deploying portfolio assets. It is a gold mine for even the most experienced of practitioners, and a vital lifeline for small investors. This volume is destined to become the most marked and Postit-noted tome on the average investment shelf.”
—WILLIAM BERNSTEIN Author of The Intelligent Asset Allocator and The Four Pillars of Investing
“What’s missing in your library? Larry’s new Alternative Investments! You’ve already got tons of books on stocks, bonds, and funds. The OnlyGuide to Alternative Investments You’ll Ever Need is all about the future of investing, the new stuff that’ll give you an edge in the twenty-first century. An absolute must-read!”
—PAUL B. FARRELL, JD, PHD Columnist, DowJones-MarketWatch Author of The Millionaire Code, The Winning Portfolio, and The Lazy Person’s Guideto Investing
“Swedroe and Kizer provide a thorough analysis of the pros and cons of each alternative investment. They recommend ‘good’ alternatives to add to a diversified portfolio of high-grade bonds and stocks. Perhaps more important, they warn investors about the dangers of truly ‘bad’ and ‘ugly’ alternatives.”
—DR. WILLIAM REICHENSTEIN, CFA Pat and Thomas R. Powers Chair in Investment Management Hankamer School of Business Baylor University
“Swedroe and Kizer have sorted through the clutter and confusion of alternative investments to provide the authoritative voice on these much hyped and frequently misunderstood financial products. Kudos to them for sharing their wisdom in a manner that can be easily understood by all.”
—BILL SCHULTHEIS Author, The Coffeehouse Investor
“What a great service this book is to the investing community! As investors reach out for higher returns, many will venture into the higher-risk category known as alternative investments. For those who are so tempted, this book provides an invaluable guide.”
—EDWARD R. WOLFE, PHD Professor of Finance and Director of the Financial Planning Program Western Kentucky University
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© 2008 by Larry E. Swedroe and Jared Kizer. All rights reserved. Protected under the Berne Convention. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher except in the case of brief quotations embodied in critical articles and reviews. For information, please write: Permissions Department, Bloomberg Press, 731 Lexington Avenue, New York, NY 10022, or send an e-mail to
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This publication contains the authors’ opinions and is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information. It is sold with the understanding that the authors, publisher, and Bloomberg L.P. are not engaged in rendering legal, accounting, investment-planning, or other professional advice. The reader should seek the services of a qualified professional for such advice; the authors, publisher, and Bloomberg L.P. cannot be held responsible for any loss incurred as a result of specific investments or planning decisions made by the reader.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Swedroe, Larry E.
The only guide to alternative investments you’ll ever need : the good, the flawed, the bad, and the ugly / Larry E. Swedroe, Jared Kizer.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Summary: “Investors are actively seeking investment options other than equities, bonds, and cash that will provide diversification and improved returns. The book offers an overview of a wide range of alternative investments, explaining what each is and how it works. The author shares his opinions on which to seriously consider and which to avoid at all costs”—Provided by publisher.
ISBN 978-1-57660-310-9 (alk. paper)
1. Portfolio management. 2. Asset allocation. 3. Investment analysis. 4. Investments. I. Kizer, Jared. II. Title.
HG4529.5.S936 2008
332.63—dc22
2008032685
This book is dedicated to the memory of Rubin Hersch. He was a sweet, kind, and sensitive man who enriched the lives of all those he touched.
Acknowledgments
NO BOOK IS ever the work of one person, or, as in this case, two people. This book is no exception. We would like to thank the principals at Buckingham Asset Management and BAM Advisor Services for their support and encouragement: Susan Shackelford-Davis, Paul Forman, Steve Funk, Bob Gellman, Ed Goldberg, Joe Hempen, Ken Katzif, Mont Levy, Steve Lourie, Vladimir Masek, Bert Schweizer III, and Stuart Zimmerman.
We also thank Steve Nothum for his help with the data. Laura Latragna and David Ressner both made major editorial contributions. We also thank RC Balaban for his tireless efforts at fact checking. Any errors are certainly our own.
We also thank Sam Fleischman, our agent, for all of his efforts.
We would be remiss if we did not thank Stephen Isaacs, editorial director of Bloomberg Press, for his faith in the book and for his ongoing support. We also thank our development editors, Janet Coleman and, especially, Erica Levy Klein, for their assistance. They both made invaluable contributions.
Larry adds the following: I would like to especially thank the love of my life, my wife, Mona, for her tremendous support and understanding for the lost weekends and many nights that I sat at the computer well into the early morning hours. She has always provided whatever support was needed, and then some. Walking through life with her has truly been a gracious experience.
Jared adds the following: Like Larry, I would first like to thank my wife Lezlie for her support during our seven wonderful years of marriage. Without her support, I would certainly not be where I am today. I would also like to thank all the fellow practitioners (including Larry) and academicians who have taken time out of their busy schedules to answer my questions on investment theory and personal finance. Without them, I would never have become as well versed in both subjects as I am today.
Introduction
THE SEARCH FOR better performing assets usually leads investors to explore the broad category of alternative investments, which is a term generally used to describe investments outside of the familiar categories of equities; Treasury bonds; other high-quality, investment-grade debt; and bank instruments such as certificates of deposit. Greater numbers of people embark on this quest during periods when the performances of more familiar investments are lackluster. The 2000-2002 bear market in equities, for example, inspired many investors to investigate alternative investments. Similarly, the 2003 collapse of short-term interest rates to 1 percent and the 2005 drop in Treasury bond rates to below 4.2 percent led investors to look for higher-yielding fixed-income investments. And now, the huge federal budget and trade deficits and the impending crises in Social Security and Medicaid have sent investors searching for investments that will protect them from the risks of a falling U.S. dollar.
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
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Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!
Lesen Sie weiter in der vollständigen Ausgabe!