Toolkit for Turbulence - Graham Winter - E-Book

Toolkit for Turbulence E-Book

Graham Winter

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Beschreibung

Don't just survive adversity: turn it to your advantage To succeed as a high-performing leader today, you need to know how to navigate extreme change and uncertainty. Toolkit for Turbulence unpacks the mindset and methods used by top leaders and teams to assess, adapt, and respond to unforeseen challenges and ambiguity. With this book, you'll learn how to seize the unexpected as an opportunity to develop your leadership capabilities and build a more adaptive team. From visual models to guided frameworks, Toolkit for Turbulence shares easy-to-implement core tools that you can use to construct your own leadership solutions -- solutions that suit the unique needs of your team, your enterprise, and your community. Authors Graham Winter and Martin Bean CBE share timely advice and practical strategies, together with compelling, real-world stories from prominent executive leaders across a variety of industries. In Toolkit for Turbulence, you'll discover how top leaders succeed even in times of crisis. Backed by performance psychology, the tools in this book will show you how to build the flexibility and resilience your team needs to thrive in a volatile, unpredictable world. In Toolkit for Turbulence, you'll learn how to: * Be an advantage leader: a leader who welcomes disruption, grasps opportunities to adapt, and builds teams and cultures capable of turning adversity into advantage * Use learning loops and training canvases to guide your team in responding effectively and continuously to challenges * Recognise and embrace nonlinear challenges, which require leaders and teams to adopt new ways of thinking and working * Be responsive and proactive (rather than reactive and defensive) and recalibrate when things don't go as expected * Develop a resilient, adaptive leadership mindset, training your mind and transforming the way you think and behave With Toolkit for Turbulence, executives and leaders at all levels can build their strategies for weathering today's only certainty: uncertainty. Its crucial insights into how to pivot dynamically and successfully will prepare you to navigate the unexpected with your organisation and your team -- every day, in real life and real time.

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Veröffentlichungsjahr: 2023

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Table of Contents

Cover

Table of Contents

Title Page

Thank you

Copyright

Dedication

Introduction

Six parts

Building your own toolkit

1 Pathway

CHAPTER 1: The moment

Martin Bean: leaning into disruption

Graham Winter: finding the right moment

Advantage leaders

Insights

Turning adversity to advantage

CHAPTER 2: Advantage leader

The accelerant

In-the-field experience

The toolkit

Mental models

Graham Winter: reimagine and reset

The three principles

Encouragement

2 Mindset

CHAPTER 3: Linear versus nonlinear

Context shapes us

Know your challenges

Capability 1. Notice the differences

Capability 2. Adapt your approach

Capability 3. Apply different tools

Alert your team to the nonlinear

CHAPTER 4: Defeat the defensive mindset

Superpower

Defensive or adaptive?

Why adaptive mindset matters so much

Train your adaptive mindset

See

Squirm

Seek

Mindset can change at scale

3 Recalibrate

CHAPTER 5: Paradigm shifts

Paradigms and mindsets

Element A. Ride the storm

Element B. Create the storm

Element C. Recalibrate your mindset

CHAPTER 6: It starts with you. Anchor on personal values

Reimagine

Graham Winter: black swan decisions

Real values aren't on the wall

The values anchor

Values in action

CHAPTER 7: Let go. Accept the externality of change

The psychology of certainty and control

Go with the instability

Core principles

Principle 1. Embrace the highway of uncertainty

Principle 2. Deal with loss

Control is overrated. Cross the highway

CHAPTER 8: Dial up the learning

Loops and insights

The pace is on

Apply the discipline of loops

Loop and learn shortcuts

Get insights from the field

Training the habit of insights

Start with curiosity

CHAPTER 9: Prioritise self-care

Performance

and

wellbeing

Know your energy patterns and habits

Beware the burnout threshold

Warning signs on the pathway

Attend to your inner game

Peak zone and performance zone

A blueprint for your A-game

Step 1. Understand the blue, red and green zones

Step 2. Identify your A-game triggers and blockers

Step 3. Commit to self-care habits that trigger your zone

4 Team up

CHAPTER 10: A blueprint for teamwork

A shared framework

Three core elements

Operating rhythm

Team Canvas

How to use the Team Canvas

Before we move on

CHAPTER 11: Align for total commitment

Both, and

Paradox mindset

Choosing the team direction

Item A. Team purpose

Item B. Capturing the hearts and minds

Item A. Team commitments (behaviours)

Item B. Team deliverables

CHAPTER 12: Collaborate as one

One team

The spirit of sharing

Getting to know the five shares

Applying the five shares with your team

Item A. Building trust-based relationships

Item B. Make partnerships as important as teams

Introducing the Partnering Quadrant

Implementing the Partnering Quadrant

Item A. Problem solving and co-creation

PROBED collaborative problem solver

PROBED facilitation steps

Item B. Decision making

Three showstoppers

Reduce the decision risks

CHAPTER 13: Make team learning a habit

Team culture

Item A. Openness — reflect, feedback and challenge

Item B. Relentless debriefing

Make it a discipline

Navigation

Item A. Disciplined operating rhythm

Using the Operating Rhythm Canvas

Item B. Deliver outcomes at pace

Rigidity or agility?

5 Coach

CHAPTER 14: Be the coach your people need

Unlocking potential

Three shifts in approach

Guiding principles to ‘be the coach’

Coaching principle 1. Put people first

Coaching principle 2. Make vulnerability a strength

Coaching principle 3. Reimagine the performance conversations

Performance partnering

ADEP and performance partnering in action

Guide to the performance partnering steps

Make ADEP your coaching frame

6 Scale

CHAPTER 15: Turn adversity to your advantage

Toolkit summaries

Primary tools

Choose wisely

Acknowledgements

References

Chapter 1

Chapter 2

Chapter 3

Chapter 4

Chapter 5

Chapter 6

Chapter 7

Chapter 8

Chapter 9

Chapter 10

Chapter 11

Chapter 12

Chapter 13

Chapter 14

End User License Agreement

List of Illustrations

Chapter 2

Figure 2.1: the three core principles

Chapter 3

Figure 3.2: the four dragons of nonlinear challenges

Chapter 4

Figure 4.1: mindset motives

Chapter 5

Figure 5.1: leading the way on paradigm shifts

Chapter 8

Figure 8.1: The PDCA loop

Figure 8.2: loop to learn shortcuts

Chapter 9

Figure 9.1: the burnout threshold

Chapter 10

Figure 10.1: the ACL model

Figure 10.3: Team Canvas evaluation

Figure 10.4: example of optimal setup for a team of teams

Chapter 11

Figure 11.1: examples of paradoxes

Figure 11.2: the magic of accountability

Chapter 12

Figure 12.1: Think One Team Five Shares model

Figure 12.2: five shares (above the line/below the line)

Figure 12.3: I-CORE trust model

Figure 12.4: Partnering Quadrant model

Chapter 13

Figure 13.1: elements of operating rhythm

Figure 13.2: Sky to Ground model

Chapter 15

Figure 15.1: toolkit overview

Guide

Cover

Title Page

Thank you

Copyright

Dedication

Introduction

Table of Contents

Begin Reading

Acknowledgements

References

End User License Agreement

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Do you want to turn the adversity of disruption into an opportunity to grow and to be a better leader?

Are you always thinking about how to equip, develop and support your team to be the best they can be?

Are performance and wellbeing important to you?

If you've answered yes to any of these questions, then you are an advantage leader, and we welcome you to our community!

You're about to read a book full of tools for leaders of every type and at all levels who are striving to turn the disruptions of technology, the economy, pandemics and social change into advantage. It's a Toolkit for Turbulence.

 

Just a few years ago the pace of change began to accelerate, driven by leaps in technology, shifts in cultural values and priorities, and the opportunities and threats of a connected world.

Then along came the pandemic, and what looked like a full stop on progress is now revealing itself as the fuel that accelerated change in the world of work.

Today, on the cusp of the AI revolution, we live in an age of disruption, of never-ending volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity.

Words like fatigued, overwhelmed and uncertain pepper workplace conversations, but there are leaders who see it differently.

Before, during and following the COVID-19 pandemic these leaders welcomed disruption, grasped the opportunities to adapt at pace, and built teams and cultures that are turning the adversity of disruption into the advantage of being adaptable and resilient. We call these people advantage leaders.

How do you view disruption? Can you imagine the possibilities if you and your team were to grow stronger when contending with disruption? Are you willing to accept that success is about transformation, and it starts with you? If yes, then let's go!

Thank you

A massive thank you to each of the following advantage leaders who so generously offered their time and wisdom to benefit other leaders. Please note that the positions outlined below are those at the time of interview for the book.

Andrew McConville, Chief Executive, Murray–Darling Basin Authority

Andrew Westacott, Chief Executive Officer, Australian Grand Prix Corporation

Anna Wenngren, Chief People Officer, SafetyCulture

Ashley Ross, Founder and Head Coach, Coach Learning Solutions

Bernadette McDonald, Chief Executive Officer, The Royal Children's Hospital Melbourne

Brett Wickham, Managing Director, ACCIONA Energía Australia

Chris Tanti, Chief Executive Officer, Leukaemia Foundation

Kate Koch, Chief Financial Officer, SEEK

Kevin Sullivan, Captain (retired) and author of

No Man's Land

Paul Duldig, Chief Executive Officer, State Library Victoria

Paul Ostrowski, Chief Executive Officer, Care Connect

Rebecca James, Group Chief Executive Officer,

humm

group

Robert Iervasi, former Group Chief Executive Officer, Asahi Beverages Oceania Region

Sally Capp AO, Lord Mayor of Melbourne, City of Melbourne

Professor Tanya Monro AC, Chief Defence Scientist, Defence Science and Technology Group, Department of Defence

 

First published in 2024 by John Wiley & Sons Australia, LtdLevel 4, 600 Bourke St, Melbourne, Victoria 3000, Australia

© The Bean Centre Pty Ltd and World Competitive People Pty Ltd T/A Think One Team Consulting 2024

The moral rights of the authors have been asserted

ISBN: 978-1-394-20865-4

All rights reserved. Except as permitted under the Australian Copyright Act 1968 (for example, a fair dealing for the purposes of study, research, criticism or review), no part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, communicated or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written permission. All inquiries should be made to the publisher at the address above.

Cover design by WileyCover Images: © Pixxsa / Adobe Stock

DisclaimerThe material in this publication is of the nature of general comment only, and does not represent professional advice. It is not intended to provide specific guidance for particular circumstances and it should not be relied on as the basis for any decision to take action or not take action on any matter which it covers. Readers should obtain professional advice where appropriate, before making any such decision. To the maximum extent permitted by law, the authors and publisher disclaim all responsibility and liability to any person, arising directly or indirectly from any person taking or not taking action based on the information in this publication.

 

From Graham Winter

To Carol, and to Mark, Kate, Leo and Eva, and Ben, Kim and Jackson

From Martin Bean

To Mary, and to Maddie, Georgie and Harriet

Introduction

This book will give you deep practical insights into the thinking, behaviours and tools of leaders who thrive in times of turbulence. You will hear about the fundamental mindsets that can make or break people and teams during disruption. You will learn how to recalibrate your thinking to suit a continually disrupted world. You will be introduced to frameworks to form, build and accelerate the performance and wellbeing of your team, and learn how to scale this approach across your life, team and enterprise.

This is not a theoretical or academic book, and neither is it a typical management or self-help guide. The ideas covered are drawn from the experiences of highly successful leaders who are navigating the emotional roller coaster of the pandemic and its aftermath. They have coached, cared for and built high-performing teams. They have rebounded from setbacks such as cyber-attacks, supply chain disruption and massive budget shortfalls, and pivoted then pivoted again when the unimaginable has become the inevitable.

Their mindset and leadership toolkit helped them to be the best leaders they could be and to coach others to unlock their potential at a time when the default response for many was to be more defensive and protective. If you are reading this book, our guess is you'd also like to bring your best self to leadership, when and where it is needed, and to unlock the potential of the people, teams and enterprises you lead. In short, you want to be an advantage leader.

Six parts

At every step in this book's development we have reminded ourselves that most leaders are time poor, yet they aspire to learn about and apply better and proven tools to bring out the best in themselves and their teams in a turbulent business environment. We applied three tests when choosing content to frame and fill the book:

simple, easy-to-apply tools

to effect positive change in personal leadership and team behaviours

pragmatic and expert guidance

from people who are practising these techniques on the ‘front line’ so readers can trust in the source and content

proven working models

using performance psychology principles to change habits and enable quick, simple and effective implementation.

Toolkit for Turbulence is divided into six parts, each with a core theme and a brief description of the intent.

The book is designed around a combination of real-life stories, working models and practical tools featuring contributions from top Australian and international business leaders. Visual canvases and step-by-step tool guides simplify the techniques, and (with additional online resources) make them quick and easy to apply.

Here is a quick guide to terminology, so you can see how it all fits together:

Tools

. These are practical resources designed to help you to address and overcome leadership challenges and unlock potential. Twenty-five

primary tools

are the ‘go-to’ guide to master key challenges, and these are supported by a host of

secondary tools

and activities to encourage reflection and stimulate insights.

Models

. Leaders encounter a great deal of complexity, and that's where models help to simplify complex concepts and pave the way to successfully implement tools and practices. You'll find engaging and thought-provoking models spread throughout the book along with examples to illustrate how leaders apply them to advantage.

Canvases

. A distinctive feature of

Toolkit for Turbulence

is the use of canvases as visual guides to organise thoughts and map action plans. These are incorporated into individual tools and are used to organise multiple tools. For example, the

Team Canvas

is a blueprint for setting up a high-performing team and draws on the outputs of a variety of team-building tools.

Building your own toolkit

In our consulting we are often asked the best way to construct a leadership toolkit and we always reply there is no one right way.

This book describes approaches that are proven to be effective across a wide variety of settings where uncertainty and complexity are rampant. Stories from the field will show you how to design and use tools for yourself, with your team and in the wider enterprise or ecosystem. You can follow the instructions or modify them to suit your preferences or circumstances.

Here are three options to consider based on ways that people currently use Toolkit for Turbulence as a leadership resource.

Frame

Focus

Find

Use the six-part structure of the book as a frame or canvas to plan your whole leadership toolkit. In addition, add your own favourite tools and any that catch your eye along the way.

Select one or more parts where you have a specific need. Leaders with new teams often begin with

Part 4

‘Team up’ and add our ready-made models and tools to their team-building toolkit.

Treat the book as a ‘go-to’ resource whenever you need a tool to meet a personal, team or enterprise-wide challenge. The format of tools makes them easy to apply on the run.

It's up to you to choose the best way to build and maintain your leadership toolkit. We are confident that as you read the stories, test the tools and see the results you'll be able to build your own toolkit for turbulence. The only choice you can't make is to do nothing; your effectiveness as a leader will depend on it.

1Pathway

… from disruption to advantage

 

 

In this opening part you will learn about the pathway from disruption through adaptation to advantage.

After reflecting on the nature of turbulence in your own world, you will learn three principles and priorities that are crucial to turning adversity into advantage: calibrate mindset, engage your team and be the coach.

You will hear stories from advantage leaders who have gone beyond just absorbing disruption and have built the capabilities and culture to become versatile enough to get stronger from tough experiences.

Then you will be ready to begin creating your own toolkit for turbulence!

CHAPTER 1The moment

 

‘You must have chaos within you to give birth to a dancing star.’

Friedrich Nietzsche

Martin Bean: leaning into disruption

On 31 March 2020, the first of 263 days of COVID-19 lockdowns in Melbourne, Australia, I was five years into the role of Vice Chancellor at RMIT University, one of Australia's largest universities. (‘Vice Chancellor’ is what universities like to call their Chief Executive Officer). As lockdown began, I found myself pondering a big question: What do you do when over 11 000 staff and 80 000 students are relying on you as their leader, and in your gut you fear your tried and tested leadership playbook is suddenly made obsolete by a global pandemic?

Let's be clear. I am not one to panic, and this wasn't my first rodeo. Half a decade running The Open University, the largest university by number of students in the United Kingdom, and General Manager of Worldwide Education Products for Microsoft are two of many other leadership roles I've filled. I know markets, finance and technology, my DNA is in leading positive disruption at scale, and I can adapt as well as anyone. But this was different.

To borrow the earthquake metaphor I'd learned from living in California, this was ‘the big one’.

The viability of a 133-year-old institution threatened by the complete closure of campuses and borders. Thousands of students stranded. Australia, Vietnam, Singapore, China all closed. Other universities making rapid resolutions that could dramatically impact our options and decisions. An unsympathetic federal government and a highly distracted state government.

Never to go back

If COVID-19 was the earthquake, then experience told me a tsunami would follow. Its name would be ‘technology’ and it would transform the world in unforeseen ways.

Microsoft Teams, Zoom and other collaboration tools, combined with accelerated automation, and generative artificial intelligence would forever change the workplace, while social media waves would amplify social causes and movements. At the time I really didn't give much thought to potential aftershocks that we now call supply chain shortages, energy crises, workforce and talent shortages, geopolitical uncertainty and volatile economic conditions. The world of work was changing and we'd never go back to the way it was before that day.

No plan survives first contact with the enemy

The world was a more predictable place when I joined RMIT University. This would be my last chief executive gig. An opportunity to bring together all I'd learned about developing leadership teams, running complex enterprises, and building cultures so people and technology could blend together to do great things. I intended to create a positive legacy that could be expressed in the five words that announced our RMIT University strategy: ‘Ready for Life and Work’.

Whether it was Eisenhower, Rommel, Churchill or, more likely, Prussian Field Marshal Helmuth von Moltke who first famously pointed to the failure of the best-laid plans on first contact with the enemy, it certainly rang true for me on 31 March 2020.

What to do first?

I had my team set up a Microsoft Teams meeting with Graham Winter, an Australian psychologist we'd engaged to help me to build my executive team. I've always believed the most important task of a leader is to build and grow their team, and I intended my Vice Chancellor's Executive (VCE) to be the best team of my career. I recruited outstanding talent and gave them time and resources to do the same in their teams.

My first contact with Graham had been a couple of years earlier at a meeting of Vice Chancellors where he'd skilfully facilitated a smart group of leaders with multiple agendas to find common ground and a breakthrough way forward. He had a style that helped make the complex simple. I assumed it reflected his diverse career experiences. He'd started in organisational psychology, then ventured into sport (even playing first-class cricket), with peak roles as Chief Psychologist to three Australian Olympic teams, then into a Big Four experience in the Asia Pacific region. For the past decade he had run his own business, Think One Team, which grew from authoring a best-selling book of the same name. His clients were top-performing leadership teams across defence, universities, government and corporate.

Unlike many psychologists, Graham used small words, and one caught my attention. That word was tools. He used it to describe the mental models and psychological skills athletes, business leaders and other high performers bring to achieve excellence in high-demand environments.

Positive disruption

I engaged Graham to help coach my executive team, and they responded well to his style and practical tools. A few months before COVID-19, Graham challenged me to reflect on whether I was really ‘all in’ on the desire for VCE to be the best team I'd ever led. He felt I was holding back — not surfacing some simmering tensions and wanting to keep things tidy and predictable.

‘Martin, your team needs positive disruption to take them to the next level,’ he warned. It was challenging to hear, but he was right. I needed to fight against my natural instincts as a ‘peace maker’ and to lean into the conflict, allowing the conversations that were needed. Looking back, it was then that the first seeds were sown for a way of thinking about myself, my team and my university that enabled us to turn the adversity of COVID-19 into advantage.

Graham Winter: finding the right moment

Martin is one of the best leaders I have worked with across my whole career in both the corporate world and elite sport. His superpower is to make people feel special, and he does that at scale across a room, an auditorium or even an online platform. He has that special connection with people that so often separates a good coach from a great coach.

Martin's playbook

When Martin first asked me to work with him and his team, I was excited by the opportunity to help shape an outstanding group of individuals into a high-performing team, and also the chance to learn from him. I quickly found why most of his team listed ‘learning from Martin’ as one of the attractions of their job.

What he called his ‘playbook’ was quite intimidating, because I often felt what I offered wasn't as good as what Martin could deliver by himself. Analysing this, I started to form a view that both Martin and I were holding back, albeit for different reasons.

I felt there was more Martin could give, more he wanted to give, and perhaps I wasn't the right person to partner with him to unlock that potential. We had a deep conversation, including about some of the contradictions of being a Chief Executive.

The gathering storm

Martin was like the admiral of the fleet torn between the responsibility to sail the charted course on which his enterprise had been travelling for more than 130 years and the sense that over the horizon was a gathering storm demanding not just a change of course but a rapid reset (if not transformation) of his ships and crews to suit completely different conditions.

We talked about leaders subconsciously seeking predictability and control, and why that wasn't surprising given the governance and culture pressures they felt every day.

Martin was attracted to leading-edge performance psychology and when we spoke about skills training for military, first responders and elite sport his eyes lit up as he wisely observed, ‘They prepare to thrive in unpredictability while we do everything possible to eliminate it. That's why I need positive disruption, and so do my team. We just have to find the right moment.’

When Martin called on the first day of lockdown, I could tell he was as open to a new way as I'd ever known him.

‘This is our moment, Graham,’ he announced as I got familiar with the Microsoft Teams platform, which would become our primary channel of communication for the next 18 months.

And so we sketched out the model you see in the primary tool The Pathway. It became our first model and primary tool in the Toolkit for Turbulence. The statements next to each phase in the model capture our thinking.

Underpinning The Pathway were two well-known concepts:

Anti-fragility.

The term ‘anti-fragile’, coined and popularised by Nassim Taleb in his book of the same name, describes the characteristic of a system to get better from experiencing disorder.

VUCA (volatility, uncertainty, complexity, ambiguity).

VUCA originated as a concept in the 1980s and was brought to the world's attention by the US Army War College following the terror attacks of 9/11, when military planners found their conventional ways of planning, problem solving and managing risk were obsolete in an increasingly unpredictable and fast-changing world. Not surprisingly, the business world has embraced VUCA to describe their operating environment. We summarise that in one word,

turbulence

.

Figure 1.1

(overleaf) offers a handy reference to business VUCA, including leadership risks.

PRIMARY TOOLThe Pathway

The Pathway captures the essence of the approach taken by advantage leaders. This approach is born from necessity and underpinned by the two concepts of anti-fragility and VUCA (see table 1.1).

INSTRUCTIONS

The Pathway is referenced regularly in the book as a simple way to describe the three phases through which advantage leaders guide their teams.

Use the model as a tool for self-reflection and a conversation starter with your team and leadership colleagues. Here are some prompts:

Where are the

creative opportunities

in disruption?

How can we use this disruption to grow and strengthen

adaptive capabilities

?

What's needed to scale these capabilities to enhance

versatility

for the whole enterprise?

VUCA

What's this about?

Business examples

Leadership risks

Volatility

The surprise factor of fast and unpredictable change

Stockmarkets, cyber-attacks and changing COVID-19 rules

Overreacting to threats; paralysed decision making

Uncertainty

Unpredictability is at the core of uncertainty, now and in the future

Supply chains, natural disasters, interest rate rises, disruptive technology

Too short term focused, stuck in minutiae, trying to control the uncontrollable

Complexity

Lots of factors interacting together in unpredictable ways

Global markets, organisational culture, climate change, media response to issues, increased governance intervention

Overwhelmed by scale, bogged down in analysis, oversimplification, lacking perspective

Ambiguity

The meaning of things is unclear or in conflict

Workplace paradoxes like profit and sustainability, short and long term, care for people and making tough calls

Rigid thinking about either/or, missing opportunities to innovate, avoidance thinking

Figure 1.1: outline of VUCA

Advantage leaders

Woven through Toolkit for Turbulence are quotes, stories and advice from experienced leaders about how they and their teams navigated the pathway from disruption through adaptation to advantage. All faced COVID-19, and each navigated the initial disruption and the turbulence that followed and continues to this day.

These are our co-creators and advantage leaders, because each can lay claim to having guided their team successfully along the Pathway. The varieties of turbulence they navigated helped shape the richness of their tools. We specifically sought out these leaders to contribute because they are exceptional people, and they represent a diverse spread of sectors and therefore types of turbulence.

Whether in defence, banking, aged care, health, technology, sport, energy, education, aviation, manufacturing, community services, major events, the arts, online employment or multiple tiers of government, our advantage leaders have confronted just about every form of VUCA and emerged stronger.

Andrew McConville, Chief Executive of the Murray–Darling Basin Authority, characterises the mindset of these leaders: ‘I don't believe you can be a leader without accepting that you're going to have to deal with turbulence, or with uncertainty or volatility. That's why you sign up for the gig.’

Insights

Before moving on to explore The Pathway take the time to complete the insight exercise opposite.

We believe insights are one of the greatest accelerants of adaptability and a huge contributor to advantage. For a deeper dive into the concept of insights go to chapter 8, Dial up the learning.

INSIGHT EXERCISEA brief stocktake of your current turbulence levels

How significant is the turbulence you are personally experiencing as a leader, and is it the same for your team?

In each of the four VUCA aspects, use the figure above to reflect on recent examples of turbulence you have faced or are facing.

Which of the four VUCA elements are most impactful, and in what ways? For example, is complexity making prioritisation more challenging, or is uncertainty affecting workforce planning?

Is your team experiencing anything different? If so, what is the effect for them and why is it different for you?

What benefits are you looking to gain from

Toolkit for Turbulence

for yourself, your team and your wider enterprise?

Turning adversity to advantage

On a calm, clear day in 2008, just off the sparsely populated northwest coast of Australia, the fate of 315 passengers and crew on Qantas QF72 from Singapore to Perth lay in the hands of Captain Kevin Sullivan, a highly experienced pilot who had flown fighter jets in the US Navy and the Royal Australian Air Force.

They were cruising uneventfully at 11 000 metres when the onboard computers broadcast a series of confusing and contradictory signals before pitching the plane into two violent dives towards the Indian Ocean below, wrenching the pilots physically upwards from their seats and sending passengers and galley equipment crashing to the ceiling and back again.

More than 100 people were injured, many seriously, with fractures, lacerations and spinal injuries as the pilots fought for control of the Airbus A330-300, which, according to flight computers, was simultaneously stalling and over-speeding.

A later report would find a software error had caused the flight control computers to command the aircraft to pitch downward violently, wrenching control of the plane from Captain Sullivan and his crew. The automatic systems designed to make the plane safe had malfunctioned in a way that the pilots had not been trained to respond to. As Captain Sullivan wrote in his book No Man's Land, ‘There is never any suggestion that the automation can fail … [because] there are enough back-up systems in place to cater for a wide range of failure situations.’

The pilots had only seconds to find an alternative to the pre-programmed ‘playbook’ that was hurling them earthward.

The 315 people on that plane owe their lives to Captain Sullivan's decisions and skills in taking back control of the plane and, after issuing mayday calls, landing the plane at remote Learmonth Airport (rather than risk the two hours to Perth), where they received emergency medical support from the first responders, the Royal Flying Doctor Service, CareFlight, the Western Australia Police Force and some generous members of the local community.

One of our advantage leaders, Kevin Sullivan shared in vivid detail how he wrested back control of his plane by falling back on leadership tools learned in US Navy training for a way out of what seemed an impossible situation.

‘Everything is unprecedented until it happens for the first time,’ observed another Sully, the equally heroic Captain Chesley Burnett ‘Sully’ Sullenberger III, captain of US Airways Flight 1549, which he landed without loss of life in the Hudson River after both engines were disabled by a bird strike.

How does this happen? How do pilots like Captains Sullivan and Sullenberger meet these unprecedented challenges by making superb team-oriented decisions when there is nothing but turbulence all around them? How do they cast aside conventional wisdom and playbooks to cobble together the tools they and their team need in the moment to turn adversity to advantage? And how can you replicate this approach in your leadership and with your team?

Learnings

Turbulence

is the mix of volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity (VUCA) affecting leaders, teams and enterprises worldwide.

Embrace

positive disruption

. Disruption can be an opportunity to turn adversity into advantage provided you are willing to embrace disruption, lean into conflict and allow for the conversations that need to happen.

The COVID-19 pandemic has

accelerated

the adoption of advanced technology and has forever changed the world of work.

The

Pathway model

describes three phases:

disruption

,

adaptation

and

advantage

.

Toolkit for Turbulence

shows how top leaders use disruption as a catalyst for change and develop adaptive capabilities to emerge stronger from any type of turbulence.

Embrace

anti-fragility

. While conventional wisdom advises us to build resilience to withstand disruption, an anti-fragile mindset seeks to get stronger from the experience.

Throughout the book you will learn from

leaders

in a diverse spread of sectors who have experienced many different types of turbulence and emerged as advantage leaders.

CHAPTER 2Advantage leader

 

How do advantage leaders approach a disruption such as COVID-19? What mindsets help or hinder? How do they sustain their own and their team's performance and wellbeing? What have they learned and taken forward? What did they leave behind? What's new in their playbook, or do they even have a playbook?

The accelerant

Everyone experienced COVID-19, and that's why The Pathway begins there, although it's not the only reason. We also start there because the pandemic became a force multiplier of change in workplace mindsets and behaviours that might have taken years to develop in other circumstances.

Early in the pandemic Martin described COVID-19 as ‘an accelerant with the potential to supercharge the adoption of technology in a way that would disrupt the world of work forever’. It was no exaggeration. There's no going back to the ways of work of early 2020, no matter how much some people might miss past habits and routines.

Here's a snapshot of what happened:

In the blink of an eye, Microsoft Teams and Zoom enabled millions of people displaced and isolated by the virus to connect and continue working away from the office, most never to return to the old ways.

A boom in e-commerce washed over the economy, leaving cash-and-carry retailing in its wake.

Telemedicine and online education took a giant leap into a new digital age, changing hundreds of years of mainstream practice in weeks.

Vaccines were developed and distributed in timeframes unthinkable two years earlier.

People's attitude to work fundamentally changed, and the war for talent ignited.

The impact of social media and digital activism expanded as the shifting generational mix led by Millennials and Generation Z took stronger positions on the big social, environmental and political dilemmas.

Disruption piled on top of disruption as borders closed, a war broke out in Ukraine clogging supply chains and government spending added fuel to the fire of inflation.

COVID-19 unquestionably changed the dynamics of the world of work. While most leaders had hitherto faced the usual array of business ups and downs, this was like climbing into the largest roller coaster ever built and being catapulted forward without warning.

In-the-field experience

To whet your appetite for the breadth of experiences you will enjoy throughout the book, here are two examples from our advantage leaders.

On Friday, 13 March 2020, with a crowd in excess of 70 000 expected and thousands queuing before the gates had opened at Albert Park, Melbourne, Andrew Westacott, CEO of the Australian Grand Prix Corporation, stood resolutely adjacent to the International Media Centre to announce to the world’s media the first COVID-19-related cancellation of a major international sporting event. Just five days earlier 80 000 people had crammed the MCG to watch the Australia women’s cricket team win the World Cup. For 45 minutes Andrew and Formula 1® stakeholders, with whom he’d built the deep relationships needed to work in sync under pressure, fielded question after question live from the world’s media. Little did they know that it would be two years before another Formula 1® Grand Prix would be held in Australia, and this would present them with an extraordinary set of challenges to navigate.

Bernadette McDonald, now CEO of The Royal Children’s Hospital Melbourne, was leading the Canberra Health Services in early 2020. ‘It looked like a tsunami coming towards us, with patients taking up our beds, but also potentially no workforce. I was running the hospital, reporting to two ministers and a chief minister and a cabinet, and had to provide the reassurance — “We’ve got this”, “We’ll be okay”, “What are we doing?”, “How many ventilators do we need?” — while also dealing with the media.’

Andrew Westacott, Bernadette McDonald and all the advantage leaders now point to experiences during the turbulence of COVID-19 as game-changing for themselves, their teams and their organisations. There is no formula for what they did. Each used their own unique leadership tools and techniques. However, the principles are remarkably similar to those we adopted in the early days of the pandemic and applied successfully with the VCE team.

Those principles, and stories of the tools and techniques applied across a vast range of industries and sectors, provide a wonderful guide for any leader who recognises that we now live in the age of disruption.

The toolkit

What Martin called his ‘playbook’ was not a document to read and follow but rather a metaphor for the beliefs, tools and tactics accumulated over a career of diverse leadership experiences.

When COVID-19 hit, it was entirely understandable that he should feel disoriented, because many of the assumptions underpinning the way he had learned to lead his team and enterprise had just flown out the window.

Staff were no longer physically in the workplace, revenue targets were unachievable with students locked out of their campuses and of Australia, volatility made planning unreliable at best, basic community freedoms were suspended, and the physical and psychological wellbeing of all staff —including the most senior leaders — was quickly becoming a major concern.

It was time to challenge the mental model of a ‘playbook’ and replace it with something fit for purpose.